Forum Replies Created
April 19, 2021 at 12:01 am in reply to: 2021 Cardinals MLB Game 15 thread – Sun, April 18 at Phillies #158569
It’s kind of hard to believe he never had an 85 rbi season
Pugs you have super-high standards, befitting a Cardinals fan. But do you know how many batters in the NL had 80+ rbi while batting first, in the years 2013-2019? One batter, Charlie Blackmon, accomplished in two different years. During those seven years, Carp finished 1,1,2,2,3,4,and 14th (2019)(not in chronological order)
NL rbi leaders while batting first. 2013
Yes he looks like toast now, especially if he is widening his zone. He can still barrel the ball, but he sure is striving.April 18, 2021 at 2:46 pm in reply to: 2021 Cardinals MLB Game 15 thread – Sun, April 18 at Phillies #158509
At least we were perfect with RISP.April 15, 2021 at 2:02 pm in reply to: 2021 Cardinals MLB Game 10 thread – Mon, April 12 vs. Nats #158177
The sport is much stronger for the changes that have happened since the days of it being a Northeast/Midwest and white-only sport.
Heartily agree, Card25. That’s why I find the ongoing discussions about HOF inclusions from the Negro Leagues so interesting. So glad these players that were denied their proper places in society are being recognized.
And on the issue of dilution, during to 50’s, MLB mostly drew players from North America, but has a history of foreign/born players from about 26 counties prior to 1950. But realistically, MLB was drawing from about a 200-300m population.
Since the 50s, if you count the current population of countries that have either hosted or won a Baseball World Cup, their population is about 850m. And of course the number of Major League teams has about doubled.
On the other hand, if you throw minor leagues into the evaluation, baseball has shrunk in the US, and I’m saddened by the losses to baseball at its roots. Post WWII we had 400+ teams in 50+ leagues.April 13, 2021 at 9:47 pm in reply to: 2021 Cardinals MLB Game 11 thread – Tue, April 13 vs. Nats #158078
Carp -see ball, hit ball. Simple.
This is the third or fourth time you’ve made a comment like this. I think what you are missing is that the advanced metrics are not for the batter while he/she is having an AB. It’s not like they are wearing special contacts, or implants like in the old ESPN Pujols ‘Machine’ commercials. The stats are to understand why hitters are successful or not, and how to get better. Ten years ago, BABIP was the rage, with regression to the mean being the mantra of some. Then the correlative analysis came out, that showed that BABIP was sustainable based on launch angle and exit velocity. It’s not for the batter during an AB. It’s to let them know how far away they are when they are slumping or just missing. Carp, for instance, has been just missing. It’s why he’s being getting so many batting opportunities even without results, until today. Yes you could say he was lucky Castro made an error at SS today, but when you hit it at 105mph you make your own luck.April 13, 2021 at 9:29 pm in reply to: 2021 Cardinals MLB Game 11 thread – Tue, April 13 vs. Nats #158075
I was surprised they gave an error on carps hit. It should be an error but they routinely in this day and age give guys hits on hard hit balls that aren’t played well even if they get a glove on it.
It hit off Castros’s chest, after deflecting off his glove. Whatever it was, it hurt.April 13, 2021 at 9:09 pm in reply to: 2021 Cardinals MLB Game 11 thread – Tue, April 13 vs. Nats #158063
Love to see your PHer (Dean) get two AB in the inning.April 13, 2021 at 8:57 pm in reply to: 2021 Cardinals MLB Game 11 thread – Tue, April 13 vs. Nats #158049
Carpenters results are finally catching up with his performance metrics.
He is now number 4 in Baseball with %Barrels
He has been so close a few times this season. They gave their SS an error on Carp’s bullet to SS at 105mph. Might be ruled a hit before day’s end.April 13, 2021 at 7:15 pm in reply to: 2021 Cardinals MLB Game 11 thread – Tue, April 13 vs. Nats #158016
Yes, Goold said today:
Kwang Hyun Kim will start Saturday vs. #Phillies in Philadelphia.April 13, 2021 at 6:41 pm in reply to: 2021 Cardinals MLB Game 10 thread – Mon, April 12 vs. Nats #158010
I hope you can stick to posting rules as well. Try not mocking people’s posts that bring up performance metrics.April 13, 2021 at 6:17 pm in reply to: 2021 Cardinals MLB Game 10 thread – Mon, April 12 vs. Nats #158007
I find your posts a mass of odious contradictions. Is that better?April 13, 2021 at 5:47 pm in reply to: 2021 Cardinals MLB Game 10 thread – Mon, April 12 vs. Nats #158004
I did not demean you, bccran. I demeaned your contradictions that you act under on this forum. I’m not the first one to notice them, or the first one to call you out for them.
I don’t have aquaintance with you, nor do I know you well enough to evaluate whether we you would benefit from having a personal evaluation of you (which you would call an attack), so all I can do is observe your posting behavior and call that out.April 13, 2021 at 5:22 pm in reply to: 2021 Cardinals MLB Game 10 thread – Mon, April 12 vs. Nats #158002
Bet Stan the Man monitored that constantly
Bc, I find it interesting that you respond to people debating you by continually accusing them of personally attacking you, yet whenever people use statistcs and modern metrics to support their points of view, you often belittle them and their posts.
You are a mass of odious contradictions.April 12, 2021 at 5:52 pm in reply to: 2021 Cardinals MLB Game 10 thread – Mon, April 12 vs. Nats #157899
He looks to me like he has lost some weight over the last year, which would be a good thing for his health. I hope he didn’t use steroids while weightlifting.April 12, 2021 at 4:57 pm in reply to: 2021 Cardinals MLB Game 10 thread – Mon, April 12 vs. Nats #157896
Bc it’s not hard to find my comment, if you bother to scroll up a few inches.
Yes he can, based on his exit velocity, but not his contact. As you know, he is not selective enough, but has quick wrists and a compact swing. Four years is a long time to have hope. I’d be happy to see him sent down to learn patience, if we had better.April 12, 2021 at 2:08 pm in reply to: 2021 Cardinals MLB Game 10 thread – Mon, April 12 vs. Nats #157888
NY I think they will go the cheap
route in July, if we are plodding along at .500 (in a horrible division) and Mo cannot stand the prices for upgrading. I’d love to see Gorman, but only if he is to play a lot. I’m far from giving up on Lane. He had a bad case of COVID last year, worse than normal. He could comeback strong. Bader can come in when ahead in the 6th inning. O’Neill is the puzzle for me. He can be a star if he can lay off bad pitches and get more selective. If we trade him he will become another Arozerena. Maybe it’s time for another batting coach.April 10, 2021 at 2:57 pm in reply to: 2021 Cardinals MLB Game 8 thread – Saturday, April 10 vs. Brewers #157623
Welp, that’s the last time Arenado will see a decent 3-1 pitch with RISP. They pitched around him and watched DeJong whiff on three pitches with the bases loaded.April 10, 2021 at 2:37 pm in reply to: 2021 Cardinals MLB Game 8 thread – Saturday, April 10 vs. Brewers #157619
Trick question. If the ball was a DP to short, can guarantee you that it wasn’t barreled.April 10, 2021 at 2:05 pm in reply to: 2021 Cardinals MLB Game 8 thread – Saturday, April 10 vs. Brewers #157614
O’Neill out with right groin tightness.April 10, 2021 at 2:04 pm in reply to: 2021 Cardinals MLB Game 8 thread – Saturday, April 10 vs. Brewers #157613
I will take the under. Winner gets a free French gourmet meal flown in from CIF.
I didn’t know that you were a Luddite, bc. The fog is beginning to clear.
Looks like a hyper-flex of his left knee to me. I had that continually in high school, while vaulting.April 10, 2021 at 12:22 pm in reply to: 2021 Cardinals MLB Game 7 thread – Thu, April 8 vs. Brewers (Home Opener) #157604
There will be multiple openings in the 2022 rotation.
Unless Carlos shines, Mikolas heals, and Waino maintains excellence.
Sorry to rehash this but it irks me to no end. I lost all respect for our GM on that day. This team would be so much better now if we were able to spend the Fowler $$ on some real talent to go along with the youngsters instead of believing that Fowler was the answer after just one season of fame in Chicago
I feel the same way, NY, but without as much irksomefullness.
1) 12.5 is a great barrel rate. You have to get everything right. That’s Tatis. His ‘hard hit’ rate is 62.5, which includes ‘any launch angle’ and ‘greater than 95 mph’. Much easier to do!
2) 12.5 is measuring the ratio of Barrels to PA. For Tatis, with a Barrels rate of 12.5, his ration of Barrels / BBE was 19.5, obviously higher because of all the PA where he was walked or struck out.
Back to the Cards:
1) O’Neill in 2018, at 12.0%, was pretty amazing. That why there is hope for him. There is no luck involved in barreling a batted ball. If you barrel a lot, you will mash. O’Neill’s problem currently is that if you whiff, you can’t get a BBE.
2) There is hope for Dean (great number, small sample), and also Williams, who had great exit velocity in Spring, and is at 7.1 right now to 2021. They need experience, which is why it is great that Dex is gone, though I liked him.
Turning to Arozarena,
Randy at 7.9, very good but not great. I do not know if the postseason is included.
Right now, he is sucking wind, down at 3.7, hitting the ball into the ground at a-7.3 launch angle.
Carpenter (14.3), Carson (11.5), Molina, O’Neill, Goldschmidt (7.1)
Nota Bene: if you want to play with their website, and want 2021 data, you have to edit the URL yourself.
I have set the minimum for the above tables at BBE=1, so as to see our unqualified batters. BBE = Batted Balls.
For comparison, here is a normal year (2020) with the min BBE of 25:
2020 BBE min of 25
Leaders Tatis (12.5), Seager (12.1), Soto (11.7), Jimenez 11.5), Hernandez, Harper, Lowe, Sano, Belt, Davidson, Chapman (10.5)
No surprises at the top.