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MM3. Even with China telling the truth there will be additional waves in China. It is non debatable.
.60%-80% of the population will most likely be infected (China, Italy, US, it doesn’t matter). Remain in place and social distancing alone wont change that. All we are doing is drawing this out with the idea of reducing the stress on the health care system and hoping for a medicinal cure or vaccine. Anyone that thinks that after locking down an area for a month will bring things back to normal is delusional.
Assuming stricter travel restrictions are not put in place let’s look at Brian’s points one by one.
Umpires and visiting teams. I have not heard of hotels being of specific problems. Airports either. Airplanes is debatable but most are undergoing higenization between flights now. As stated elsewhere the teams fly commercial. I am sure if they wanted that they could make the umpiring crews regional enough that they could travel by car.
I would argue 35 players and coaches on each side in seperste dugouts (actually less because many are in the bullpen does not constiute more than 50 people in one assembly.
You could provide an opt out for players who chose not to participate – a special IR.
The revenue lost from losing tv revenue is greater than any other source. It only makes economic sense not to play for tv if you are not going to pay the players for not playing.
All that said, I agree it is not going to happen.
Not sure what criteria was used but Japan had closed their schools for a month but are reopening them aftrr 2 weeks.
Here is an off the cuff idea if they are not able to start before mid-august.
32 team elimination tournament (4 rounds, all best of 7 series). 32 teams? How is that you ask. You have two independent teams. One made up of unsigned/free agent players and another of top minor leaguers.
Teams would be seeded based on last years records.
Experts say we are one to two months away from the peak. June 1st is optimistic. July 4th is possible but far from guaranteed.
Anyone that thinks the virus numbers are going to look better in two weeks doesn’t understand how this thing spreads.
Cards owe Ravelo because a Korean team wanted him? I dont think so. We had this discussion last year regarding Martinez.
The Mariners probably own or have a lease on their Spring training/AZL league facility so the stadium operator might be the Mariners themselves.
Fitst, Putting Ravelo on waivers doesn’t mean we lose him. He might or might not get claimed on waivers. If not claimed he could declare himself a FA but I dont see that happening.
If 4 of Bader, Fowler, O’Neill, Dean, Thomas, Carlson, and Williams get injured or dont pan out I dont really see Ravelo as a real saviour.
But to each his own.
Obviously I am less concerned about the options of a marginal player than some. Let’s look at this from a different viewpoint – if Ravelo is so valuable and highly regarded then why would the Cardinals have even considered letting him go to Korea?
Part of the issue will be that the virus isn’t distributed evenly across the country. While it may be prudent to keep fans away in Seattle there may not be enough cases in STL or Cinci to warrant it.
Interesting that some have lobbied hard for Carlson to go North under the argument the best 26 should go but dont make the same case if Dean is one of the best 26.
I get that Ravelo doesn’t have options and we could lose him. Is he incrementally better than 10 other OF’s that will hit the waiver wire or become FA’s over the next month?
Or if you prefer to reference Rabelo’s minor league numbers as his norm we can say that Ravelo has now dropped far below his norms.
