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  • in reply to: Underrated John Gant #88742
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    Bob Reed

    With tonight’s two-inning stint, Gant is now on pace for 90 appearances and 120 innings — both wildly unacceptable. He likely won’t last through June. But that’s okay. (For the team, if not for John Gant.)

    Every single April we go through this. It is wildly unacceptable to me to paint Shildt as over-using anyone.

    Gant has pitched back-to-back twice all year, never three times. He’s had a day off, or two, or three after every single other appearance. He will undoubtedly have more help later in the year and especially in September.

    But because it’s April, we have a stacked deck of off-days. Presenting data in games or innings pitched based on a 162-game schedule that is skewed to the summer is not accurate.

    Last year it was Jordan Hicks and several years ago it was Walden.

    • This reply was modified 1 month, 3 weeks ago by Avatar PadsFS.
    in reply to: StL 2019 Reg Season Opener – at MIL, Thu 3/28 #84791
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    It’s amazing how young/weak their starting rotation is with Brandon Woodruff, Corbin Burnes, Freddy Peralta, and Zach Davies as the other four starters.

    in reply to: Spring training 2019 games thread #83070
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    Fowler is going to have to do something this spring to justify his place on the roster.

    in reply to: Carlos Martinez shoulder injury #83017
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    Nigel T

    I find it disturbing that so many people over simplify the idea of strengthening an inflamed shoulder period. Then you bring in the context of differentiating between types of pain.

    It’s kind of mind-blowing how clueless everyone acts each time someone pops up with an injury as if there was a clear and obvious path to avoiding said injury and the players, whether it be Wainwright, Martinez, Reyes, or Ozuna, always chose to wrong path.

    in reply to: Carlos Martinez shoulder injury #82809
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    Goold said he had a PRP injection. Usually, you have to put the arm in a sling when you get those kinds of things to allow everything to settle. The sling is not a big deal, except to the great Mark Saxon.

    in reply to: MiLB.com farm system rankings #82512
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    Robert Reed

    The Cardinals have consistently produced major league results that aligned with their minor league performances. That’s all. Nothing fancy. But their minor league performances have frequently been discounted or dismissed outright by the national prospect raters, considerably more so than similar hitters and pitchers from other organizations.

    Your comparison of Ian Happ vs. Harrison Bader a few years ago was spot on.

    I agree wholeheartedly with this premise. One look at Adbert Alzolay going into last year vs. Ryan Helsley would indicate where the Cubs’ top prospect (!!) would sit in the Cardinals system, yet Alzolay was talked about as being near the top 100 and Helsley was nearly 5 or 6 prospect removed from various top 100 lists among the Cardinals prospects.

    in reply to: Carlos Martinez shoulder injury #82222
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    ONe thing this does is clear the logjam that we had on the 25-man roster. With C-Mart and Gregerson most likely on the DL to start the year and the team going with 5 position players, we won’t have to release anyone now.

    in reply to: Carlos Martinez shoulder injury #82203
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    Yeah the most relevant part of this story:

    Brenden Schaeffer
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    Shildt says Cardinals are shifting Carlos Martinez to a no throw program for the next two weeks. His strength in the shoulder is not quite there yet, so they’re backing off him a bit. Shildt describes it as precautionary, says an MRI Mon. showed no structural difference from 2016

    Is that his shoulder seems fine. It looks like Poncedeleon, Gomber, and Reyes will have a spot to fight over after all, at least to start the year.

    in reply to: Cardinals defense #81820
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    stlcard25

    I mentioned this before but going position by position, the Cards have above average to Gold Glove defenders at every position but 3B and RF. RF would be included if O’Neill takes that spot.

    LF would only be considered above-average if Ozuna’s shoulder is healthy.

    in reply to: MLB Payrolls 2019 #81758
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    I would almost take a bet that O’Neill can outproduce just about any other RFer in the NL next year except for Christian Yelich (perhaps Polanco of the Pirates and Nimmo of the Mets too). Franmil Reyes is good too, but his defense hasn’t rated high so far (I haven’t seen him play)

    Beyond O’Neill, we know Jose Martinez could put up a 2.0-2.5 WAR season in RF and we hope that Fowler can return to his productive days so I don’t think there’s a great deal of uncertainty in RF.

    I’m more worried about Bader going through a slump. He hit .264 with a BABIP of .358. That is a large gap for such a good BABIP. Molina had a .264 BABIP and a .261 BA. I don’t care for our potential CF backups in the event Bader loses his hitting unless O’Neill can handle himself in CF on a regular basis.

    • This reply was modified 4 months ago by Avatar PadsFS.
    in reply to: Sickels let go #81757
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    If politics are any indication, sunshine-pumper and sky-is-falling fan sites will take over in the vacuum and everyone will just read what fits their own beliefs via facebook.

    in reply to: Sickels let go #81756
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    Yeah. They are just about the only game in town anymore. I don’t know how you win as Google and Facebook are behemoths now.

    in reply to: MLB Payrolls 2019 #81715
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    There might not be much to fight over by then in a sense.

    IMO, the next recession is going to severely hit pro sports attendance. Now that Hulu/Netflix/Amazon have all gone mainstream, I could see the TV deals dry up for these teams too. College basketball is seeing a major hit to attendance this year.

    in reply to: Sickels let go #81714
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    It’s facinating to me that all these media outlets are letting people go at a time when ad revenue for news/content is at an all-time high. It’s like when the automobile replaced the horse and buggy….except all the money is going to Facebook and Google, who don’t put out any news or content at all.

    in reply to: Keith Law ESPN Prospect Lists #81264
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    I think the pitching in Springfield should be good as well if some of the STL guys begin in Memphis, pushing the Memphis guys to Springfield.

    I mean, if Reyes, Gomber, and Poncedeleon end up in AAA, then there won’t be room for all of Jones, Kruczynski, Woodford, and Cabrera.

    Either way, Oviedo is the guy that really needs to establish himself.

    in reply to: Affiliate observations #81123
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    Siegrist was already a high-risk injury worry out of the minor leagues. I don’t know why this is controversial.

    Rick Ankiel also recently had the repair option on his already TJ-repaired elbow if I’m not mistaken.

    in reply to: Paul Goldschmidt Thread #81064
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    I for one, like the idea. If the 5 years includes 2019, even better. That takes Goldschmidt thru his age 35 season.

    in reply to: Paul Goldschmidt Thread #81063
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    IncarceratedBob “retweeted” the tweet from Ives. His only baseball-related tweet of the day.

    in reply to: Ozuna shoulder irritation #80930
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    14NYQUIST

    This is the point. Along with our designated RFer and Cecil etc, etc, etc, where does responsibility kick in? Mozeliak ducks it and compounds the problem by forcing his mistakes on the team. Ring a bell?

    Probably when the credit he should get from you for the good signings/trades kicks in. Craig/Lackey, Oh, Norris, Holliday, Mikolas ring a bell?

    Also, in what would is Fowler our designated RFer? If he struggles out of the gate, O’Neill and Martinez will be right there to pick up the slack. Mozeliak isn’t forcing mistakes onto the team. Fowler, Cecil, and Gregerson could very well recover. We are already paying them so what’s the harm in seeing what they got heading into spring training?

    in reply to: Ozuna shoulder irritation #80929
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    Brian Walton

    On the bigger picture, Ozuna’s shoulder was obviously a bigger problem than anyone expected. I highly doubt anyone wanted that, but sometimes things happen.

    This is what I don’t get. Body parts are like car parts. If you blow a tire on your car, you have to get it fixed. If you experience shoulder issues, getting it fixed via surgery is the last thing you want to do. As a position player, you would postpone it even moreso. Perhaps Ozuna was instructed to do rest, rehab. You just never know how someone is going to bounce back.

    But everyone is all about saying Mozeliak dealt for ‘damaged goods’ yadda yadda.

    in reply to: MLB Payrolls 2019 #80838
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    This is why a spending floor would be a fantastic model for the MLB. The Rays and Pirates would be forced to take on heavy salaries or sign free agents to ramp their payroll up to the salary floor. That could alleviate some of the big spenders from hitting the caps. If they Rays were to take on someone like Fowler (yes, I know there’s a no-trade) then the Cardinals could sign someone like Harper. Right now, there is zero incentive to take on salary like they do in the NBA.

    Brian Walton

    Good detail Pads. Does someone track “luxury tax payrolls” for all teams, too? Seems like they may be more important than the “real” payrolls.

    I use roster resource for that info:

    https://www.rosterresource.com/mlb-st-louis-cardinals-info/

    It’s very handy, but Cot is the most reliable.

    in reply to: MLB Payrolls 2019 #80816
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    Brian Walton

    The tax line is $206 MM, if I recall correctly.

    It is $206M, but the payroll numbers above aren’t the same payroll figures used. Those could be called the “luxury tax payroll”.

    First, the yearly salaries are determined by AAV’s so we are ‘taxed’ on players like Carpenter at $8.6M rather than the $14.5M we owe him in 2018 since it’s the end of his contract or a higher commitment on someone like DeJong. So right off the bat, there is a $12M over-payment on players from an AAV standpoint with regard to the LT hit.

    However, the luxury tax penalty does include player benefits, which end up around $14.5M. There is also the money paid to MiLBers that are not on the 25-man. That is about $2.3M. Then, MLB includes potential buyouts of next years’ options in this years payroll, which adds another $4.0M (Carp, Greg, Gyorko) So our final luxury tax payroll is $166.7M.

    The Cubs are hurting comparitively. When you add the 2020 options and the ‘player benefits’, they are sitting at $229M and the tier 2 tax threshold is at $226M with tier 3 starting at $246M.Brach was a $4.35M hit to their payroll, which pushed them over the tier 2 threshold.

    • This reply was modified 4 months, 2 weeks ago by Avatar PadsFS.
    in reply to: Ozuna shoulder irritation #80686
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    6) Do your rehab in the Dominican Republic instead of working — at least some of the time — with the Cardinals’ training-medical staff in Jupiter. Don’t stay in touch with John Mozeliak, the team president of baseball operations, who has no idea … in late January… if you’ll be ready to throw, hit, and perform at maximum level in spring training and at the start of the regular season. That’s got to be worth an extra $25 million in your free-agent deal.

    This one too is great. As if Ozuna’s using some third-rate training staff. No offense to the Cardinals, but if I’m an athlete, not amateur-status, I’m going to my own medical staff. I wouldn’t want them to have access to my medical info either. After the Astros did that to Brady Aiken, I am skeptical as what’s in the Cardinals’ best interest is not always what’s in the players’ best interest.

    in reply to: Ozuna shoulder irritation #80685
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    Sounds like something off of Cardstalk. Man, he’s quite the conspiracy theorist.

    This one’s great:

    5) Have a surgical cleanup procedure after the season … but not until a month after the Cards’ final game. Hey, there’s nothing like demonstrating great urgency to get other teams fired up about paying you massive free-agent dollars.

    I wonder how he feels about Molina’s December surgery?

    in reply to: Fun Farmhand Facts! #80662
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    Gorman doesn’t look like a moving-off-third candidate. He just recently shifted off of shortstop. Look at a couple of tidbits that were included in his prospect write-up, for instance:

    “In my opinion, I think he is going to be a solid-average to plus third baseman….. He was for us for the 18U Team last year. He was an exceptional defender at third base.”

    – Former Cardinals area scout and now 18U National Team Director for USA Baseball, Matt Blood.

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First-hand news and commentary on the St. Louis Cardinals™ and their minor league system for 20 years