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Given the prices of beer, hotdogs, t-shirts, etc., declining attendance will impact revenue significantly, even if ticket sales don’t drop off until next year’s batch of season tickets go on sale.
Lynn, a seasoned veteran having a decent year, versus a nobody that struggles to get minor leaguers out. All other factors being equal, we should be heavy favorites. However, all other factors aren’t equal……
I wonder if he (Gray) wishes he would have signed elsewhere?
I wonder what he wishes when he starts losing decisions 4 – 3, 3-2, and 2-1?
Regarding Goldy, I wonder if his problem is bat speed.
A year or two ago I heard a Tiger announcer talk about the great Miguel Cabrera. They said that he had reduced bat speed at the end of his career. To compensate, he started his swing earlier. They said this worked with fastballs, but not breaking stuff.Maybe we need a new hitting coach, and not just for Goldy
Gray’s best era, over a full season, has been in the 2.75 ballpark, and he’s done that four times. Is it possible he could go a whole season pitching with an era of 2.25, more or less? Probably not, but even if he did, he’s going to start giving up about three runs for every seven innings of work.
We need to improve our offense, just to win Gray’s upcoming starts, to say nothing of the rest of the rotation.
I don’t see how the hitting can get any worse. Guys will get better or they will be replaced with 4A types or guys that show up on the waiver wire as the season progresses. We’ve got guys well below the Mendoza line, and others around .215 BA. I don’t think they can bench Goldy, yet, but these other guys are on thin ice. They already demoted two whiz kids.
…since the last inning of game 1 of the ’22 NLWC. Anyone else?
After the great Cardinal teams of the early 60’s, the ’65 and ’66 teams were big letdowns, even though they played .500 ball during that stretch.
The bar is lower now, hoping for a wildcard berth, but that seems out of reach.
WAR is trying to measure the individual players contributions.
However, this isn’t the track and field, but rather a team sport. How many times last year did you see a Cardinal relief pitcher pitch effectively in garbage time, only to stink up the joint in a close contest?
Kittridge was asked to hold a lead, and he didn’t do it, and we eventually lost he game. Who cares what he does in a mop up role tomorrow2006, late in the season, the closer goes down and they have to put a rookie in that role. All hope is lost, right? Wrong.
No, in my post above, I showed Kittredge was rewarded for a phenomenal outing, even though he allowed inherited runners to score.
So WAR ignores both inherited runners allowed to score AND blown saves!
As far as the Herrera at-bat to end the game, he should not have been taking there. Umpires and players have competing agendas in that situation. The umps already have worked three hours of unpaid overtime, so they just want to get out of there. Every pitch within a quarter mile of home plate will be called a ‘strike’.
So, I thought it was worthwhile to see how bWAR is calculated and whether it is a measure of a player’s value.
Is relief pitcher WAR sophisticated enough to capture ‘inherited runners allowed to score’? For example, Kittredge allowed two inherited runners to score yesterday, without an error involved, but got a zero ERA for the outing. He was tagged with a blown save, according the the box score.
At what point, if any, can a pitcher refuse to work due to safety concerns?
Back when the Cards had Eli Marrero (catcher/outfielder), he was playing rightfield at Wrigley, in the rain. As I recall, he suffered a muscle injury directly related to the muddy conditions, and they finally delayed the game due to that.
I think both managers would have to gang up on the umps to get them to do anything.
Why do we stink at it?
Don’t know the answer to that, but I have another ‘stink’ question. Why do we stink at allowing inherited runners to score? Anybody know where to find stats on this?
I’m guessing it is hurting our starting pitcher era numbers. And our won/loss record.
On second thought, there are two ways to lower starting pitcher ERA. One is pray that Gray doesn’t get hurt. His brilliant pitching isn’t yet having that big of an impact on staqff ERA due to small sample size.
The other is to move Liberatore back to the rotation. But that would take one of our most reliable relief pitchers out of the pen. So no net gain there.
I appreciate your comment, Brian. I just don’t see that much upside from the starting pitchers. If true, we either have to score more runs or give up fewer during innings 6 – 9.
It is starting to look like 2022 was a fluke. Phat Albert returned to the Cards for a final hurah, and played well at the same time as Goldy and Arenado.
Now it is bad luck that both Goldy and Arenado have lost 100% of their power output at the same time, but if you had some up and coming studs in the lineup the fallout would be mitigated.
And the complete absence of any reliable middle and setup relief pitching is starting to take it’s toll. Let’s review the Brewers’ series. Two very high quality starts converted into losses. The other start, while not good, left us trailing by exactly one run, which was promptly converted into a blowout loss.
And this is with LL and Gibson pitching about as well as anybody could have reasonably expected. What is going to happen if/when they tail of a little?
If the Cards were willing to eat some salary, I think they could get something decent for Mikolas. Part of his problem is that he has had so many starts with no offensive support in the last few years.
He is one of those guys that might thrive in another organization. You only need one GM to think the same to get a dealIt seemed like a lot of posters here were bullish on Thompson and Pallante this Spring.
At some point, it might be better to give some 4A guys a few major league inningsGscottar-I’ve seen a lot of comments lamenting Goldy’s slow start including mine. But I think it is starting to change. Now, like you say, we are thinking, ‘is his career as a top tier, or even second tier slugger over’?
Imagine if they had inked an extension in the off season!
Is anbody else worried about Goldy? His career average OPS is .903, and last year he was at .810, a career low for a full season.
His current OPS is .483, 420 OPS points below his career average. If that wasn’t bad enough, almost 3/4 of that shortfall is slugging decline. His on base percentaqge is low, due to low batting average, but he is drawing a few walks, so that helps.
Even worse, he’s striking out 2.5 times for every walk. His career average is only 1.7 SO/
BB. If he were striking out a lot, in order to hit more extra base hits, that would partially explain things. But he has only one extra base his in 19 games.Below I quote the wikipedia entry for ‘Mendoza Line’. Even if you are a gold glove shortstop, you are expected to hit at least .200. What on earth is going on with the Cards? You can’t throw away quality starts like this and expect to go anywhere.
BTW, it is still April and we Helsley alread has several poor outings, where he didn’t get the job done. Yes, I know, he is a good closer, but he is not an elite closer.
“The Mendoza Line is baseball jargon for a .200 batting average, the supposed threshold for offensive futility at the Major League level.[1] It derives from light-hitting shortstop Mario Mendoza, who failed to reach .200 five times in his nine big league seasons.[2] When a position player’s batting average falls below .200, the player is said to be “below the Mendoza Line”.”
You hate to lose when you outhit the opponent. Even if you use the metric hits plus walks, we were ahead, but still lost the game.
Anybody know offhand if Goldy is generally a first half or second half kind of hitter? Seems like he has been pretty steady in his Cardinal years.
Regarding what they got for him in trade, they had no reason or motivation to take less than market value for him. Sadly, that seemed to be his value.
I disagree on two points. First of all, I posted on this Open Forum, right after the O’Neill trade the view of the Boston press corps. They were shocked at how cheap they acquired Tyler.
Second, once they decided to keep Olí another year, they became desperate to unload Tyler, and everyone in MLB knew it.
Just because you are whistling past the graveyard doesn’t mean the ghosts and goblins aren’t out to get you, lol.
