Forum Replies Created
-
Posts
-
Luna and Carrion still aren’t playing. Last year Strop barely played either. It is a little frustrating that the top money guys they sign apparently are getting hurt.
Nice to see a Saturday night game. I know others like day games but especially in the summer, night games are superior in my opinion. Slightly cooler if you are at the game and easier to watch on TV as most times during the day I have plans.
Free
I was surprised Minasian lasted as long as he did with his awful rush the draftees to the majors strategy
Was that a Minasian effort or one driven more by Moreno? Moreno has been quite clear in the past he doesn’t like paying minor league players.
I did not expect that. I thought Mo would just be done with baseball and enjoy an early retirement. I can’t say I am surptthe Angels would hire him though as Moreno seems incompetent.
Creation of a “Cornerstone Player” provision that draws from the NBA’s Bird Rights provision.
I don’t know what those clueless owners think. They realize baseball has overtaken the NBA in popularity right? They keep trying to make the league structure like the NBA and that is not what fans want. I don’t want such right restrictions on every little detail of a contract. At this point with how agregious the owner proposals are, the players should strike.
I received and MLB survey recently on the current state of baseball. A lot of interesting questions on there and I wish I wrote them down.
One of them was of you liked the current amount of teams making the playoffs. I was a strong diagree and would like only one Wild Card not almost half the league making it
1TD, confidence is the key and Liberatore and Gorman don’t have it. I always hated the cocky kids on the team growing up but part of the reason they were good is because they thought they were not doubting themselves at all.
Liberatore has been brutal lately. Listening on the radio so unsure how bad he is missing locations or if it is just hittable stuff. You think they would have to do something different soon as you can’t keep getting such horrible starts out of a guy.
Dutkanych has been pitching and pitched as recently as 3 days ago at Palm Beach.
Clarke was one in a Wednesday with Walton Kyle has said would be ramping up for a recovery next month. Ixan may have been in that same bucket.
I like Velazquez’s bat, but his glove is horrible and he shouldn’t be assigned fielding duties. He has been -3 runs in just 53 defensive innings.
Who thinks they can pull off the job to sneak in and take all of Velazquez’s gloves to stop him from being asked to play the OF?
JJ is up to 7th in baseball in fWAR. Walker hasn’t been adding more WAR lately and has slid out of the top 30. Burly and Herrera are catching up to Walker’s 2.3 WAR as each has 1.9.
I have to admit I was wrong on Burly a few years ago. He was very GB heavy and chase prone so I didn’t think he would be a good regular. But Burly has been consistently improving his weaknesses each year and he is smashing the ball.
At the moment of typing this out, the Cardinals have 6 guys in their starting lineup with an OPS over .800 now.
Hansen has been getting beat around lately. I was very low on him for prospect rankings but was hoping from his injury return he could maybe be a low leverage bullpen.
Odle walked a few guys but had a great game at Peoria. Gurevitch and Flores did as well. The Peoria team as a whole is the most interesting prospect wise in our minors and lately have been fire. I’m curious after the draft of we see a lot of these successful Peoria hitters in particular move to Springfield.
Sorry yes I had the correct labeling in my head but didn’t post them with the correct label.
I think it is easier for bat control guys to develop power than high strikeout guys to learn plate discipline.
It isn’t like Gurevitch has bad plate discipline. His K% isn’t ideal but his chase rates are about league average. Kyle has stated in the podcasts that he sees signs in Gurevitch is improving and adjusting to pro ball and he expects his K rate to drop as he adjusts more.
Datallo at least has good EVs showing he does have power so I have more hope for him than most bat control guys as does have untapped game power. As far as what is working, what Gurevitch and Dattalo are both working at least for minor league stats. Gurevitch is hitting almost .300 so I’m unsure how stats wise he wouldn’t be a success so far. But realistically the surface level stats don’t matter as much. I want to see them making strides in development, but at the end of the day as well it doesn’t matter what stats they put up in A ball but what progress they have developmentally.
One must ask ‘concerning’ as compared to what, or who?
Other MLB pitchers taking the mound regularly this year. Pitchers with good stuff do exist and pitch regularly in MLB rotations just not the Cardinals so maybe that is your disconnect with stuff based pitchers.
McGreevy’s ERA is fine right now, but he has good batted ball luck and he has allowed some really hard contact. Based off his batted ball data, his expected ERA is 5.68. That doesn’t account for the Cardinals defense, which despite some beliefs, is really good and ranks as 6th in MLB by OAA. His ERA will run a good amount lower with that defense, but maintaining 2-3 full runs better than his expected over a season in unheard of in baseball history. His FIP is 4.42 so still a run worse than his ERA.
Again I see him more of a 3.75ish ERA based off what I have watched of him, but there is luck in baseball and McGreevy has been the beneficiary quite often. But his luck will not always be so good and he will regress to more of the expected ERA for him.
I did really enjoy the discussion this week going so in depth on the draft and the guest appearance of Kareem.
I’m curious on people’s thoughts of Tyler Spangler. I think he will be at the combine so we can finally see him soon. He looked like a hit / power guy who can play the left side of the infield last year. The problem has just been hin being out all year injured and a strong commitment to Stanford. Maybe in an ideal world they can underslot a college bat at 13 and then give a large overslot to Spangler in the comp selection.
Just a minor technical note, but audio wise Brian you are a good amount quieter than Kyle and Kareem. Kareem’s volume is quite high but maybe that is since I had the volume high on my drive to hear Brian.
I definitely am not in on Helfrick. His contact data is very concerning and I don’t think he is going at all. His college power numbers look fine on paper but I just don’t think he is going to have enough hit to reach any real power. You also have to look at how juiced college bats are at the moment so I don’t know how real his power numbers have been.
I really feel like there is a drop off in talent after the first 6 or 7 picks. I really don’t know what I would do at this point but I do know some players like Helfrick I am fully out on.
A is Dattalo and B is Gurevitch. Both have impressive stat lines but also it is a small sample and both have very high BABIPs although especially Datallo.
But prospect rankings are much more than just a 125 PA sample of stats. Datallo has impressed and his underlying data shows 70 grade plate discipline and 60 grade bat control with 45 raw power. Gurevitch is much more power focused with 70 raw power but less hit with 40 grade bat control and 45 grade swing decisions.
If you want more contact, Dattalo is your guy. But in terms of pure upside Gurevitch has a chance to be an impact bat which he does need to play what will likely be 1B. Dattalo is a corner infield only guy and his path to the majors in my opinion is much less likely if he can’t tap into more game power.
I hope McGreevy isn’t this years Liberatore. What I mean by that is starting the year off really strong and faltering mid year. McGreevy does have very concerning batted ball metrics that say he should regress significantly ERA wise. I didn’t think he was a true sub 3 ERA guy but I do think he is better at some small aspects of the game and will settle as a #3 type with a 3.75 ERA.
Even if they lock up young players as well which I want them to do, their salary obligations won’t be that high the next couple of years. They typically start off smaller and build up so May being on the books for 4 years doesn’t prevent them from signing JJ, Herrera, etc to a long term deal as their salaries would start getting a good amount higher ($20+ mill) 4 or so years down the road.
I don’t think the Cardinals will spend any more than they have to until they are more competitive.
Given the overwhelming success of JJ and emergence of Walker, I think the team should likely be targeting 2027 as the start of their real contention window. Those two have helped jump them up timewise. I would hope ownership isn’t painting on 2027 and wanting even further out. Sure sell this year what you can, but try to build a rotation for next year that can support the burgeoning offense that is already very young and controlled outside of Noot for at least 2 more years.
When do you expect their real contention window to begin? Maybe I am overly optimistic but the offense has shown signs that I think it is earlier than the FO expected as this past off-season.