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Scoreboard watched from Coors Field and saw we went from 6-2 to 6-5 in the ninth, but fell short.
Rockies picked up two in the home 8th to
take a 4-3 lead into the ninth in the local contest. Pittsburgh loaded the bases with no out in the top of the ninth, our old friend Marcel Ozuna starting the rally with a lead off single. But then strike out and 6-4-3 double play and there’s your ball game.I hope McGreevy isn’t this years Liberatore. What I mean by that is starting the year off really strong and faltering mid year. McGreevy does have very concerning batted ball metrics that say he should regress significantly ERA wise. I didn’t think he was a true sub 3 ERA guy but I do think he is better at some small aspects of the game and will settle as a #3 type with a 3.75 ERA.
McGreevy does have very concerning batted ball metrics
One must ask ‘concerning’ as compared to what, or who? McGreevy is a survivor of the attrition war. If the organization stays the course, the rotation will be populated by the survivors, not necessarily by those who sport the fanciest batted ball metrics coming up in the system. Judging a pitcher who can stay on the mound against one who can’t is apples and oranges.
One must ask ‘concerning’ as compared to what, or who?
Other MLB pitchers taking the mound regularly this year. Pitchers with good stuff do exist and pitch regularly in MLB rotations just not the Cardinals so maybe that is your disconnect with stuff based pitchers.
McGreevy’s ERA is fine right now, but he has good batted ball luck and he has allowed some really hard contact. Based off his batted ball data, his expected ERA is 5.68. That doesn’t account for the Cardinals defense, which despite some beliefs, is really good and ranks as 6th in MLB by OAA. His ERA will run a good amount lower with that defense, but maintaining 2-3 full runs better than his expected over a season in unheard of in baseball history. His FIP is 4.42 so still a run worse than his ERA.
Again I see him more of a 3.75ish ERA based off what I have watched of him, but there is luck in baseball and McGreevy has been the beneficiary quite often. But his luck will not always be so good and he will regress to more of the expected ERA for him.
McGreevy’s ERA-to-expected level is like our club as a whole. We have been a bit charmed based on our run differential of +2. Not drastically so as we are 6 games over .500 and you would normally think we would be .500, which is only three games.
It’s been fun to see the hustle and spirit of this club result in success, not to mention improvement in some of our home grown players. But it wont be a big surprise if we falter some and eventually drop back by double digits games behind Milwaukee.
Two pretty good LHP’ers in the person of Sale and Harrison trading punches in Georgia this afternoon as the Brewers lead the Braves by a score of 2-1. Now Sale exits the game after 101 pitches in 5.2 innings of work. Hopefully the Braves can overcome the slim 1 run Brewer lead. Harrison’s nowhere near to being a bargain at 8-1 with an ERA of 2.42. These Brewers throw more arms at you than those scary looking Hindu deities…
Been watching some of the world cup. Germany game was thrilling. My combo bets are still alive.
I believe Dakota Hudson was able to pitch against the underlying bad metrics for a season or so before injury and the league finally caught up to him. He’s pitching in indy ball currently. I don’t know what the future holds for Mr. McGreevy but Oli has pulled him a couple times when while not giving up many runs but giving up hard contact.
Just get a win tomorrow. We can put this sort of nightmare series behind us.
Good news down in Georgia as Albies lifts the Braves to a 4-3 W over the Brewers with a walk off 2 run tater to hand the Brewers their 3rd consecutive L. The Redbirds make money and gain a little ground today while they sleep through a soccer game.
Just get a win tomorrow. We can put this sort of nightmare series behind us.
They have been pretty entertaining all year. These funks happen. I do suggest Velasquez be dh only.
They’ve been consistent as witnessed by never having suffered more than 4 consecutive W’s which has happened twice this season. They achieved 6 consecutive W’s twice along with one stretch of 5 consecutive W’s. And they’ve yet to feature a month below .500 with monthly W/L records of March 3-2, April 15-11, May 13-13 and 9-8 thus far in June. The kryptonite seems to be the 10 games above sea-level plateau as they’ve had 3 chances to attain that mark and failed to do so each time. Like you mentioned KCB, they’ve been fun to watch and it’s rolling around close to July. In March I would have guessed they’d be buried by now so any success the team has is bonus time. The whole thing could scatter in a hurry and I’d have to say the odds of that happening are better than even, but I’ll tune in and enjoy watching them while they’re playing winning baseball. And if I ever feel like watching a guaranteed dead-lock shoo-in, I’ll simply tune into the Dodger game…Haha!
We are 22-21 since the end of April. That consists of 13-13 in May and 9-8 in June. So it seems safe to say we have settled into playing .500 ball. That is on the optimistic side of what people were thinking this spring if I am remembering.
That’s entirely true, Bling, but that’s only 43 games. They’ve played 74, so if I look at the entire season thus far, I have to concede that they’ve avoided any prolonged tail spins which, in my estimation, is a sign of a baseball teams’ resiliency. They haven’t hung a losing month up on the board and haven’t lost more than 4 in row. Even Milwaukee featured a losing month at 12-13 for April and has lost 6 consecutive games earlier this season. And that’s with a rotation that’s second to none. It probably won’t last until Sept, but The Cardinals have done pretty good so far.
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