PadsFS

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  • in reply to: Trade Ideas/Acquisition Ideas/Non-Cards Rumors – 2017-2018 #37167
    PadsFS
    Participant

    I had been thinking $158.6M since that takes us to 5% over ($7.4M) our 2017 payroll of $151.2M.

    We’ve averaged spending around 5% more per year on payroll since 2007. With $126.0M on the books for 2018 right now, that’s about $32.6M to spend, but if we go to $170.0M, that’s $44.0M, or $175.0M, giving the team $50.0M extra to spend on payroll.

    With just $33M to spend, Stanton is unattainable without some maneuvering since we need to spend on other upgrades as well. I’d like to see $10-15M spent on the bullpen. We are losing over $20M in salary from the 2017 bullpen ~ Oh, Rosenthal, Siegrist, Broxton, Duke, and Nicasio.

    in reply to: MLB playoff thread #37166
    PadsFS
    Participant

    Houston used to be in the NL!

    in reply to: Trade Ideas/Acquisition Ideas/Non-Cards Rumors – 2017-2018 #37164
    PadsFS
    Participant

    I wouldn’t mind a guy like Alex Cobb because he could represent a huge bargain if he returns to form, which is rare in a free agent. He’s also young. I have no idea what his market is, but if it’s similar to a guy like JA Happ or Charlie Morton, then I could get behind adding a starter. We have the depth to cover for injuries if something like a Brandon McCarthy-type signing happens.

    The guys that aren’t living up to the contracts: Jimenez, Garza, Leake, Nolasco….those are the guys to stay away from and I fear Lynn will be in that category.

    in reply to: Trade Ideas/Acquisition Ideas/Non-Cards Rumors – 2017-2018 #37160
    PadsFS
    Participant

    Just want to point out one thing here that Goold has mentioned a few times:

    People often ask in these chats about the prospect cost in acquiring someone like Donaldson or Stanton. My question is about the actual cost. Any savings derived from the presumed departures of Lynn, Duke, and Rosenthal have already more than evaporated thanks to the large salary increases due to Carpenter, Martinez, Wong, and Molina. The payroll was a shade under $150 million at the start of 2017; are the Cardinals even willing/able to add a $20+ million bat next season?
    by JJ October 17 at 3:02 PM

    They can handle a rise like that, yes. They’ll see more than that in added revenue from the TV deal, and they were already in position to stomach a payroll in the $175m range, according to ownership’s five-year plan discussed in PD reports in 2014.
    by Derrick Goold October 17 at 3:03 PM

    Where’s the ceiling? Because right now there is $110 million on the payroll for the 2019 season, so a 40-50 million a year contract would bring that up to 150-160 million, (maybe $175 million once that roster is filled out) and it seems to me that the fanbase would be justified to expect that kind of investment from the Cardinals.
    by strider379 July 12 at 12:59 AM

    The Cardinals can go that high, yes. They’re ready to move up, and they’ll have more space and more revenue coming in in the coming years, so that’s realistic.
    by Derrick Goold July 12 at 1:00 AM

    in reply to: Trade Ideas/Acquisition Ideas/Non-Cards Rumors – 2017-2018 #37157
    PadsFS
    Participant

    I think Simmons would start with Kelly and Archer would start with Reyes.

    in reply to: Trade Ideas/Acquisition Ideas/Non-Cards Rumors – 2017-2018 #37152
    PadsFS
    Participant

    I don’t think the Angels are looking to trade Simmons unless they got a real SS in return. Diaz wouldn’t likely be the SS they are going to count on in 2018. They can get the role players they need via free agency.

    I don’t think they were counting on Maybin, Espinoza, Valbuena, and Escober to nosedive so hard.

    They also have almost $70-80M to spend this offseason after losing several FAs (like Upton) and the Hamilton/Street contracts.

    in reply to: Trade Ideas/Acquisition Ideas/Non-Cards Rumors – 2017-2018 #37150
    PadsFS
    Participant

    Carlos Martinez also didn’t really seem ready to get the call up in 2013 and spent that year and most of 2014 in the bullpen. I don’t think that’s a good path for Flaherty to follow.

    in reply to: Trade Ideas/Acquisition Ideas/Non-Cards Rumors – 2017-2018 #37148
    PadsFS
    Participant

    I’d like for Flaherty to get a little more time in AAA personally. 15 starts doesn’t seem like a lot to me. I would rather Gant get the 5th starter role out of spring than Flaherty or Reyes. Flaherty did pitch 170 innings last year, which is fantastic. If you look at Gant though, his stats look really close in AAA to Flaherty. He even had a better FIP. Those AAA numbers for Flaherty had an unsustainable LOB% and a lower-ish BABIP. Gant can shift to the bullpen in June if Flaherty or Reyes are ready.

    I wouldn’t mind a veteran starting pitcher added. I don’t really want to mess with Lyons, but I also would like to let him get stretched out in spring training. That’s a smart move and would be similar to his work up to last year.

    Weaver, with 150 innings, seems like the one that will run out of gas by next September. That’s when I’d like Reyes/Flaherty to be ready. They can come on strong by then like Wacha in 2013.

    in reply to: Giancarlo Stanton thread #37103
    PadsFS
    Participant

    I don’t see how adding Gordon and losing Wong helps.

    in reply to: 2017 Arizona Fall League #37102
    PadsFS
    Participant

    Knizner is raking. Kelly put up a .286/.387/.455/.842 line last year and it looks like Knizner is trying to beat him.

    in reply to: Trade Ideas/Acquisition Ideas/Non-Cards Rumors – 2017-2018 #37101
    PadsFS
    Participant

    I trust McGee. All of his numbers in 2017 were more in line with what he did with the Rays. His 2016 was abysmal, but that will also keep his cost low. He also has one of the highest velocities among FA relievers.

    I really want to add several relievers. At least two though.

    in reply to: Trade Ideas/Acquisition Ideas/Non-Cards Rumors – 2017-2018 #37098
    PadsFS
    Participant

    That’s the first I’ve heard of Lyons moving back to the rotation. I thought that ship sailed with his performance this year? He did make four starts with Memphis in 2017.

    I’m fine with Cecil and Lyons as the LH pitchers with Sherriff backing them up in AAA.

    Also, Corey Littrell should be back on track and he is dominant against LH hitters. Jordan Schafer may also be pitching in Memphis in 2018.

    in reply to: Trade Ideas/Acquisition Ideas/Non-Cards Rumors – 2017-2018 #37073
    PadsFS
    Participant

    Joe Smith, Bryan Shaw, and Jake McGee would be fine as well.

    in reply to: Trade Ideas/Acquisition Ideas/Non-Cards Rumors – 2017-2018 #37068
    PadsFS
    Participant

    Holland probably lands a 4yr/$60M deal this offseason.

    Perhaps we can offer an opt-out option and get a better deal. I don’t really like Holland as our FA signing, but that’s probably what he will get.

    I’d much rather go after Addison Reed. He was traded so no draft pick loss. He’s younger (29), he’s not expecting to be the closer. His velocity has held steady. He’ll likely be cheaper too and he’s pretty healthy.

    Reed and Nicacio are my ideal choices.

    in reply to: Trade Ideas/Acquisition Ideas/Non-Cards Rumors – 2017-2018 #37067
    PadsFS
    Participant

    Man, that is so convoluted.

    in reply to: 2018 St. Louis Cardinals Top Prospects Voting #37066
    PadsFS
    Participant

    I’m not sure I’ll be able to continue voting either. I don’t know any of these guys hardly at this point.

    We can vote for #71-75 and see how many voters we have and maybe it can spark some discussion too.

    in reply to: 2018 St. Louis Cardinals Top Prospects Voting #37065
    PadsFS
    Participant

    I’m going to close it for #66-70.

    #66 – Andrew Summerville (24)
    #67 – Evan Guillory (16)
    #68 – Ivan Herrera (13)
    #69 – Jesse Jenner (12)
    #70 – Leandro Cedeno (10)

    in reply to: 2018 Gold Glove Award "finalists" #36971
    PadsFS
    Participant

    Sort of ridiculous Pham didn’t get recognized in LF or Gyorko at 3B.

    in reply to: 2018 St. Louis Cardinals Top Prospects Voting #36969
    PadsFS
    Participant

    14Ny – This will probably be the last round if you want to finish out the vote.

    My votes are:

    #66 – Andrew Summerville
    #67 – Evan Guillory
    #68 – Carlos Soto
    #69 – Ivan Herrera
    #70 – Shane Billings

    in reply to: Trade Ideas/Acquisition Ideas/Non-Cards Rumors – 2017-2018 #36918
    PadsFS
    Participant

    thejager – both of those take MLB’s valuation on signing bonuses (average it out over 3 years) on Heyward ($20M) and Lester ($30M). They also have them paying the full year’s salary on Quintana, Avila, Rivera, and Wilson, which they aren’t. Then they have the Cubs not covering Miguel Montero even though he was acquired by Toronto in trade 7/3/17 after being DFA by Chicago Cubs 6/28/17, with Cubs paying most of $6,885,245 left on contract.

    They also have all the little minor league contracts for shuttle players so they are more accurate in that aspect.

    5M – Lester
    7.3M – Heyward
    3M – Quintana
    1M – Avila
    .88M – Rivera
    1.4M – Wilson
    6.9M – Montero

    Total $25M-ish minus the minor leaguers ~5M-ish gets us to the same payroll.

    1M – R

    in reply to: 2018 St. Louis Cardinals Top Prospects Voting #36899
    PadsFS
    Participant

    Closing it for #61-65:

    #61 – Arturo Reyes
    #62 – Daniel Castano
    #63 – Ramon Santos
    #64 – Daniel Ortega
    #65 – Winston Nicacio

    I had the count at 17, 15, 15, 14, 12 with Castano getting 6-4 over Santos in the previous round.

    Voting is open for #66-70!

    in reply to: Trade Ideas/Acquisition Ideas/Non-Cards Rumors – 2017-2018 #36862
    PadsFS
    Participant

    The Cubs spent $164M on payroll in 2017, up from $145M in 2016, and they have $117M committed for 2018. I don’t see where $177M or $94M came from.

    in reply to: 2018 St. Louis Cardinals Top Prospects Voting #36824
    PadsFS
    Participant

    I think we are only waiting on desmetlax to close it out since brianpnoonan, dave greenwald, and mudville have all sadly bowed out.

    in reply to: 2018 St. Louis Cardinals Top Prospects Voting #36823
    PadsFS
    Participant

    Good to know on Guillory. I didn’t realize he was so dominant in his six starts.

    I also saw the GCL article on Winston Nicacio. He really turned it on in the second half of the year which I failed to account for.

    in reply to: 2018 St. Louis Cardinals Top Prospects Voting #36798
    PadsFS
    Participant

    #61 – Ramon Santos
    #62 – Daniel Castano
    #63 – Andrew Summerville
    #64 – Arturo Reyes
    #65 – Dennis Ortega

Viewing 25 posts - 1,476 through 1,500 (of 1,877 total)