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Thanks, Bling. Yeah, I’m going through my “young guys with big upside but not much data” phase. That bonus is what caught my attention as an indirect indicator.
15.Hernandez
16. ManiscalsoSantana is impressive as a reliever, but I’m not quite ready to have him in front of these high upside position players who are much riskier.
I agree that Doyle and Eagen are the first two up from Springfield. But in addition to those two and Molina, Memphis could still have Cijinte. Fitts and Roby are coming back from injury and could be in the rotation there. Hjerpe could as well. That’s 7 guys for 5 slots. I’m wondering if Eagen will stay in AA for a bit longer till those other 6 thin out.
One thing I find myself thinking about Condon and Kuhn….I think in any previous year a first round pick would be in my top 10 even if they’ve not played.
Cijntje at 10 for me.
Re the medical folks, I have Roby ahead of Clarke. I’m grappling with him, Condon, and Dos Santos for my next pick after that.
Fajardo for me at 9. Nearly went with Cijntje and Roby.
Bob-
I do not believe the word “coolest” has ever been used in a sentence referring to me. Thanks!
Bob-
I’m here primarily for long winded posts filled with statistical minutiae, so your offer might lead me to vote for someone else!
Add me to the list of folks who are now in tough to decide territory. Those 6 were my top 6, but now I change my mind a lot. I’m thinking of Hjerpe, Fajardo, Je Baez, Clarke, Condon, Roby, Peete, Cijntje, and now, based on Bob’s arguments, Dos Santos. I think Hjerpe, Clarke, and Roby keep jumping out at me the most. I’m probably not thinking about health enough.
Hjerpe at 7 for me.
Franklin for me at 5. I’ve been wondering when there would be a jump to high upside youngsters. I’m not there yet, BobReed, but thanks for getting the ball rolling!
Bernal for me at 4. I’m very comfortable with Doyle having been picked three. I thought very seriously about him back at 2.
Bling-
Interesting. I figured you’d mark Mathews down due to arm issues. If you care to say anything about it, I’d love to hear. Thanks.
Bernal at 2 for me. I’m hopeful this is our main catcher of the next 15 or so years. 22 years old. Minor league gold glove winner. Has some pop and seems to have a good idea at the plate. Doesn’t seem to scare on the big stage. I thought about Doyle here, but lean toward position players given arms are often fragile.
Thanks for getting this started, 25!
Raniel Rodriguez for me, too. I’m betting he takes the role that Herrera filled this year, maybe 50 starts at catch then 100 or so as DH. Seems short for 1B.
I just wanted to confirm we are still considering Gastelum? He’s spent more than 45 days on the MLB roster–called up July 8, so as I understand has used up his rookie eligibility.
If you’re curious about the rush to get draft lottery position…I’d not realized that ties are broken by previous year’s (2025) record. Cards can end up anywhere from 8th to 14th (except 10th, which is SF) heading into Saturday games. Currently they are at 12th. To move up, they need to lose both these last games. They would pass any of Detroit, Washington, or Minnesota that wins both their last games. They move down in order if they win both games and if Toronto or Baltimore loses out. The 8th place team has a 28.7% chance of a top 6 pick. 14th has a 9.3% chance. Cards are currently at 12.5%.
12 teams have won between 73 and 79 games. Not much separating them! And one of them, Houston, would win its division were the season to stop now!
Thanks, all. I posted then promptly got COVID. Doing much better. I assume the Cards’ loss streak was due to their worries about my health and my improvement today brought them back.
Ideally the Rule 5 is cancelled before the Cards have to make the roster decisions. That would make this all much easier! But I believe they will have to set their rosters before Dec. 1, and the Rule 5 won’t be cancelled before then. Do you risk players by not rostering them, counting on a cancellation?
jnevel-
Interesting point re risk vs. protection. Thanks. As usual, you make good points.
Baez, Winquest (who has been added!) and Odle make sense. I think Ledbetter’s surge warrants addition. After that early August surge, Chase Davis is 1 of 22, so that drops both my interest and worry. Given the needs for bullpen arms, and the risk of being taken, I think I’d protect Rincon, Clemente. That would reduce the list to 6 and moot the rest of my discussion.
But following up on that discussion, glad to see Gorman back up in that I assume this is a last chance for him. Odds seem higher they will cut bait if it doesn’t work out.
I know the bullpen gets grief, and much is deserved. But Soriano is 7th in the NL in appearances, Bruihl 11th, Stanek 13th, and O’Brien 21st, per Fangraphs. How much of the meltdowns have been about overusage? Stanek looked pretty good to me for most of the season. I’d lean toward a bullpen with Libby and Bruihl left, O’Brien, Stanek, Winquest, Gastelum, righties, Graceffo as an inning eater, and more free agent to round things out. Hope that Libby/Winquest/Gastelum/new arm can do better than Romero/Svanson/Fernandez/scrum of this year. with Rincon, Clemente, Mautz, and Santana contenders to knock at the door. Really interested to see what Winquest does these next weeks.
I like jnevel’s list, with the addition of Clemente. I’d drop Henderson given the injuries this year. That gets us to 9 folks you’d like to add: Baez, Odle, Winquest, Cho, Davis, Lin, Rincon, Ledbetter, Clemente.
Including Rajcic, they have 40 on the 40 man, so you’d need to drop 9 guys. Probably 10 because I’d think they will add someone to a May-type contract again.
I get 7 fairly easy drops–Ferguson, Fernandez, Rajcic, Strzelski, Svanson, Prieto, Urias. But then it gets hard for me.
I think my last three adds would be Odle (far away from big leagues), Lin (less confidence he will make it) and Rincon. My next three drops/trades would be Scott, Gorman, and Pages. I think I keep the latter. Scott has shown signs on offense of late, an OPS of .851 for August. He’s still just 25. Pages is the safety blanket for the pitchers in case neither Crooks nor Bernal can handle MLB. Gorman has an OPS of .928 in August, and perhaps they can still fix him.
