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I am not sure I understand you, bb, but I did mention ticket sales and TV ratings in the Molina article. I believe it is negligible.
The team’s plan is to sell 28% of seating capacity for at least half the season with the hope they can go to full capacity during the summer. Hope. They can fill 28% with or without either Yadi or Waino. The far bigger question is fan comfort going to games with the virus still among us.
TV ratings depend on how the team does, not individual players. An exception could be if the team is terrible, in which case the two stars might be the only reason to watch every fifth day when Waino pitches. But that is not expected.
However, if Waino announced before or during the season that this is his last year, then yes, there could be increased attention to his “farewell tour”. Knowing how his brain works, though, he would not do that. His mental focus would suffer by the distraction and at this stage of his career, he needs every tool in his arsenal.
Bottom line, I did not figure attendance and TV in, because I do not believe they would be significant in 2021 either way. Other can disagree, of course, but that is how I see it.
Another way to spin it is that any ticket sales and TV effect would be included in the “Cardinals legacy” adder that both players may get. That would be over and above the straight math comparison to other players as you noted… (though I still think that has much more to do with the positive impact on the team than on tickets and TV).
You forgot, “What numbers should I bet on in Powerball?” đ
Pitchers and catchers report in 25 days. As Tom Petty wrote, “The waiting is the hardest part.”
I guess it gets back to Bernie’s point the other day. Maybe for some to understand what 2021 is and perhaps more importantly, what it is not, someone from the team has to tell them point blank (not that it would actually happen). Seems to me that expectations are set too high for some, though they let the disappointment happen to themselves.
“Yeah, yeah, I know they have a down payroll, but they are going to re-sign Wong and add another outfield bat, right! Maybe they can get Springer…”
With jj’s approval, I packaged his excellent arbitration comps for Flaherty into an article.
Jack Flaherty is The Cardinal Nationâs Projected Arbitration Winner
If Yadi does not return, they will likely do both. The question will be how much time the veteran takes away from Knizner.
Another infielder off the board.
The Red Sox and INF/OF Enrique HernĂĄndez have agreed to a multi-year deal, per source.
— Mark Feinsand (@Feinsand) January 23, 2021
What's your favorite Hank Aaron stat?
Here's mine:
If you took away Hank Aaron's record-breaking total of 755 home runs, he'd still have more than 3,000 hits. Barry Bonds, Babe Ruth and ARod can't say that. Neither can ANY hitter in the 500 HR club.
Hammerin' Hank had 755. pic.twitter.com/TtSaI9mxh7
— Tom Haberstroh (@tomhaberstroh) January 22, 2021
Hank Aaron is one of the greatest I had the pleasure of seeing play live. May the most iconic Brave ever rest in peace.
(For #stlcards fans, the fact he spent his last two seasons with the Brewers did not diminish his legacy one bit. He remains the greatest Brave of all time.)
— Brian Walton (@B_Walton) January 22, 2021
jj asked:
If MIN paid market value, what would Adamsâ one year contract amount be?
Per Fangraphs, Happ is projected to be a 1.5 WAR pitcher in 2021. Adam is at 1.2, so that would make his comparable value $6.4 MM.
For me, it really is driven home when guys I watched play are passing away – not ones from the past I saw on film.
I haven’t read the article yet (I will) but which team in a comparable position has ever “played it straight with the fans”? (When I say “comparable position”, I mean good enough to win the division but not a World Series contender.)
That sounds really good, but is not realistic.
For the Cardinals to say that, it would not only potentially hurt their revenue in 2021, it could put them on the spot to make promises for 2022 that they don’t want to make, I bet.
Besides, they have already said the payroll will be down. We just don’t know how much. They released their leadoff man and best defender for one reason alone – to save money, which they readily admitted. DeWitt already said they will let Yadi and Waino walk if they don’t like their offers. The Cards have not said they are spending on anyone else.
So what more do they need to say for fans to understand what is going on? It is not like anyone who has been paying attention can say they are being misled… I just don’t get the demand for a public apology/explanation for what is clear as can be.
You are on two separate points. One is whether the 2022 TEAM will be non-contending BECAUSE of the choice of catcher – specifically if Molina does not remain. This is what I disagree with.
The catching position is below average now (see link to 2020 MLB team catching WAR ranking graph below) and likely will continue to be for the foreseeable future. Tying the team’s result to which below-average catcher is playing when there are so many other needs (as you pointed out) does not hold water for me.
When all is said and done, I’d rather see the new guys tried, who at least have a chance to overachieve. It would be far better if the cost savings could be used elsewhere to help the offense – but that is probably asking too much.
https://blogs.fangraphs.com/2020-positional-power-rankings-catcher/
stlcard25 asserted:
I donât blame those who wish to be rid of Yadi and move on, but we all need to understand that 2022 becomes a non contending season in that case.
I do not agree with your prediction. Why couldn’t 2021 be the year in which the in-house candidates are tried? And if they fail, use the increased 2022 financial resources to beef up the position from outside?
By keeping Yadi, it just delays the inevitable need to try someone else.
Weak bench = weak pinch-hitting results.
Unless there are different players, I do not see how platooning would help this stat. After all, the entire reason to pinch hit is to try to gain the advantage. It did not work because of the personnel available, IMO.
Difficult for me to envision how Edmundo Sosa or Austin Dean, for example, would change this trajectory. Maybe they will get some platoon guys off the scrap heap when prices dip lower…
#Cardinals trouble in a pinch is a part of the motivation behind looking into ways that can can change the lineup.
In 32 PH AB #stlcards had a single. Thatâs it. They went one-for-32 (.034) with 12 strikeouts.âWe were not good,â Shildt said. âAt all.â https://t.co/vvQ0D8lRYt
— Derrick S. Goold (@dgoold) January 22, 2021
Since 2005, the BBWAA has been cornered into the position of serving as cover for MLB, HOF in determining character. It's a really bad place for journalists to be, as human shields for two private companies.
— Buster Olney (@Buster_ESPN) January 22, 2021
Expanded the discussion here into an article.
What would be a fair offer to free agent catcher Yadier Molina to reflect the market plus his legacy value to the #stlcards? Using this week's Jason Castro deal with the Astros as a base, would 40% to 50% over market value be a "ridiculous" offer? (free) https://t.co/Bv05xLRRg7 pic.twitter.com/PkzuX1AJYz
— Brian Walton (@B_Walton) January 22, 2021
In other words, it is too early to declare winners and losers – despite 95% of the fan base having done just that – and the pressure was bad enough for the team to issue a public mea culpa.
Now they are piling on…
Jon Lester, one of the greatest free-agent signings in Cubs history, was supposed to leave Chicago on his terms. But the team turned its back on him, writes @BNightengale. https://t.co/svmo10k1Pg
— USA TODAY MLB (@usatodaymlb) January 22, 2021
