14NyquisT

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  • in reply to: What’s it gonna take to fix the Cardinals #242742
    14NyquisT
    Participant

    And we haven’t heard from Girsch again. 🙂

    in reply to: 2024 Spring Training News #242741
    14NyquisT
    Participant

    Mud said:
    Wish I was…wish we all were going with you.

    Wouldn’t that be something! It only happens in dreams.

    in reply to: 2024 Spring Training News #242740
    14NyquisT
    Participant

    2/24 John Denton:

    Marmol confident Cards ‘have what it takes’ to get back to postseason.

    The irony is that the Cards would have a better chance without him.

    in reply to: 2024 Spring Training News #242700
    14NyquisT
    Participant

    cardfan64….. I hope that you have a super time. We’ll expect your reports and comments.

    in reply to: What’s it gonna take to fix the Cardinals #242637
    14NyquisT
    Participant

    Pecota is far more optimistic about the 2024 Cardinals than zips as far as a division championship. P=49.4…. z= 33.2. But they both agree on a WS win….. about 2.8% and 2.9%. Both 84+/- wins.

    in reply to: 2024 Bullpen #242631
    14NyquisT
    Participant

    He’s back….. Jacob Bosiokovic signed on to a minor league contract.

    in reply to: Cardinals Odds and Projections #242525
    14NyquisT
    Participant

    I said that based on some sound starts at the end of ’23. If he can carry that into ’24 remains to be seen but he’s due for a comeback, healthy season.

    in reply to: Cardinals Odds and Projections #242520
    14NyquisT
    Participant

    This year, guys mostly just have to do what they have been doing. The exceptions are Winn needs to hit some and Matz needs to stay healthy.

    Matz is the X-factor for ’24. He has the potential to exceed expectations and over-achieve. This would not surprise me at all. ***IF healthy.

    in reply to: Cardinals Odds and Projections #242494
    14NyquisT
    Participant

    These projections were way off for some teams. But that was what they put out for ’23.
    Buyer beware.

    December 27, 2022 at 9:31

    ESPN+ coming out with initial Power Rankings via Steamer with some tweaks from the author (Doolittle). Cards are #4 in the NL with around 92-93 projected wins. Mets are currently first overall with about 103 (that’s with Correa), Padres are 2nd with 100(!!) mostly due to giving Tatis Jr a 5-6 WAR projection despite all the extenuating circumstances and Soto winning the MVP, and Braves round out third with 99. Here’s the top 10:

    1. Mets (102.8)
    2. Padres (99.9)
    3. Yankees (99.4)
    4. Braves (99.2)
    5. Rays (94.4)
    6. Houston (93.2)
    7. Cards (92.3)
    8. Jays (89.9)
    9. Dodgers (89.7)
    10. Guardians (88.7)

    in reply to: Cardinals Odds and Projections #242493
    14NyquisT
    Participant

    I went back on TCN’s postings to see what the Cardfs were expected to do last season:

    February 18, 2023 at 2:18 pm#212842REPLY

    Bob Reed

    2023 regular season win over/unders came in today from betonline.ag…

    NL Central
    St. Louis Cardinals 88½
    Milwaukee Brewers 85½
    Chicago Cubs 77½
    Pittsburgh Pirates 67½
    Cincinnati Reds 65½

    Cards 89.5
    Brewers 85.5
    cubs 77.5
    Pitt 66.5
    Redlegs 64.5

    Overall top O/U totals
    Hous 96.5
    Dodgers 95.5
    Yanks 95.5
    Braves 95.5
    Mets 94.5
    Padres 93.5
    Toronto 92.5February 18, 2023 at 2:18 pm#212842REPLY

    2023 regular season win over/unders came in today from betonline.ag…

    NL Central
    St. Louis Cardinals 88½
    Milwaukee Brewers 85½
    Chicago Cubs 77½
    Pittsburgh Pirates 67½
    Cincinnati Reds 65½

    Yup, no big surprises. Thanks for relaying the info, Brian. Those numbers are quite close to those that my website (bookmaker.eu) came up with:

    Cards 89.5
    Brewers 85.5
    cubs 77.5
    Pitt 66.5
    Redlegs 64.5

    Overall top O/U totals
    Hous 96.5
    Dodgers 95.5
    Yanks 95.5
    Braves 95.5
    Mets 94.5
    Padres 93.5
    Toronto 92.5
    Cards 89.5
    Phils 88.5
    Milw 85.5

    ************************************************************************************

    in reply to: Trade Ideas/Acquisition Ideas/Non-Cards Rumors – 2024 #242474
    14NyquisT
    Participant

    Originally posted on ClutchPoints | By Joey Mistretta | Last updated 2/5/24

    Cardinals’ Dylan Cease trade offer
    Prospect rankings via MLB.com.

    White Sox receive: RHP Tink Hence (Cardinals 2023 No. 2 overall prospect), LHP Cooper Hjerpe (Cardinals 2023 No. 7 overall prospect), OF Travis Honeyman (Cardinals 2023 No. 11 overall prospect)

    Cardinals receive: RHP Dylan Cease

    I would be well tempted to get it done.

    in reply to: 2024 Bullpen #242370
    14NyquisT
    Participant

    After hearing all the rumors about the Cards picking up just about every free agent reliever, we windup with a guy that, to my knowledge, was not mentioned at all. Kind of makes you wonder if that is the reason Mozeliak selected him to sign on. Mo loves surprises. As far as thee 40-man goes…. a P added and a P dropped has been a trend but I don’t know if Middleton is even a better choice than Zuniga. GZ may have a higher ceiling. I said “may”.

    Middleton will have all the competition he can handle from our in-house rotaion prospects moving to the BP.

    in reply to: 2024 Bullpen #242280
    14NyquisT
    Participant

    I heard that talks with Stanek are heating up.

    in reply to: Mo discloses the 2024 lineup #242279
    14NyquisT
    Participant

    That’s easy…… his puppet characteristics make him ideal for Mozeliak to be Mo.

    in reply to: Mo discloses the 2024 lineup #242265
    14NyquisT
    Participant

    I would say 1/1/2 but it should be 1/1/1. Marmol is basically a lost cause and offers very little to any pluses this team has. IMO few people listen to him….. much less the FO. He is the true definition of the word “puppet”.

    in reply to: 2024 Rotation #241897
    14NyquisT
    Participant

    But I will always go with the highest odds scenario while others can hold out for highly unlikely possibilities.

    Like the Carpenter signing?

    in reply to: Former Cardinals in the News #241712
    14NyquisT
    Participant

    Mo was on Amazon and pressed the wrong “buy” button. Actually I won’t mind seeing him around.

    in reply to: Matt Carpenter resigned #241711
    14NyquisT
    Participant

    Of all the hundreds of players mentioned here that the Cards should obtain….. not one comment about bringing MCarpenter back. I guess “Welcome backs” are in order.

    in reply to: 2024 Winter Warm Up #241585
    14NyquisT
    Participant

    Inside The Cardinals on FanNation
    Cardinals’ John Mozeliak Expected To Leave Front Office In Near Future
    Story by Nate Hagerty •
    19h

    https://www.msn.com/en-us/sports/mlb/cardinals-john-mozeliak-expected-to-leave-front-office-in-near-future/ar-AA1n19nU?ocid=BingHp01&cvid=140d084ea5974a6eb877b3b1fedaf7f5&ei=9&fbclid=IwAR03v7det9sHfqKQ5xsYF-FZhIFoyKaYZpvWBymnMC139GPESyhy_s9OMfU

    Has anyone else hear anything else on this?

    in reply to: Palacios traded for Kittredge #241397
    14NyquisT
    Participant

    Ironically…. Palacios may be blocked by Arozarena.

    in reply to: 2024 Arbitration cases #241395
    14NyquisT
    Participant

    That is not now. So, why create negatives without evidence?

    Sure seems that way. I can see a trade and I doubt Edman will be a Cardinal come opening day.

    TWIC or BW….Just a little cynicism. Some people here are still dangling Edman out there as trade bait. Stop it.

    in reply to: 2024 Budget #241337
    14NyquisT
    Participant

    bcc: What makes you think they won’t replace Lynn and Gibson with internal guys?

    The internals for ’23 are now on other teams. Liberatore has ’24 to prove himself or he’ll be playing elsewhere in ’25. The FO always has high hopes for these kind of pitchers but maybe one year soon one guy will prove him right.

    in reply to: 2024 Arbitration cases #241335
    14NyquisT
    Participant

    bccran: I wonder if long term this is a ticket out of town.

    Sure seems that way. I can see a trade and I doubt Edman will be a Cardinal come opening day. Maybe better for him to get out of DeWitt’s Camp Cheapo.

    in reply to: Your top Cardinals memories #240767
    14NyquisT
    Participant

    Bikemike:
    But I did sit at the same table for breakfast at the old Stouffers Riverfront Inn

    I was working for The Stouffer’s Westchester Inn on their management team. That brought back a memory. A position was offered to me to transfer to St. Louis. I passed and stayed in NY. Good non-move call.

    in reply to: 2024 Rotation #240666
    14NyquisT
    Participant

    Brian:
    My response followed a discussion in which quality starts was being touted, which of course has nothing to do with offensive support and also excludes unearned runs (bad defense). One can often find some substat (variety of factors) to reinforce a point of view. Not right or wrong, just different things to consider.

    gscott:
    I prefer to focus on ERA, WHIP, and Avg. Against.

    The top comment suggests that the second comment is more accurate as an indicator. I use gscott’s stats as well as GameScore and K/IP to evaluate performance and effectiveness. I have every GS for the last five seasons including the affiliates. For MiLB games I modify the formula slightly (i.e. a subtraction for HRs allowed.) Also I use a line graph to show improvement and consistency.

Viewing 25 posts - 26 through 50 (of 4,581 total)