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September 15, 2023 at 9:13 pm in reply to: 2023 StL Game #147: Friday, September 15 vs. Phillies #233951
I agree, Rat. It’s time to move on. Mainly because his is injured 1/3 of the year every year. They’ll also save about $5 million, which hopefully they will use on pitching.
September 15, 2023 at 8:45 pm in reply to: 2023 StL Game #147: Friday, September 15 vs. Phillies #233948That was a sad era Mr P. I remember one year the ‘ace’ was Kent Mercker with about 10 wins.
Well Bling, this year our “ace” is Mikolas with a 4.75 ERA and 7 wins
September 15, 2023 at 5:58 pm in reply to: 2023 StL Game #147: Friday, September 15 vs. Phillies #233932“I think the answer is likely yes.”
He’s already walking it back from a few weeks ago.
September 14, 2023 at 3:19 pm in reply to: Trade Ideas/Acquisition Ideas/Non-Cards Rumors – 2021-2023 #233890Was this year enough to jolt them into it?
If ever there was a year, this would be it. They like keeping prospects/young players, that is there model. The only way to do that is to go into free agency.
Will they strike quickly even if it means overpaying perhaps or wait for the market “to develop” and risk losing out on the prime targets?
I am hoping they go into the offseason with clear targets identified. For instance, Jordan Montgomery should be one of their primary targets. They should call him on Day 1, and try to get a deal in place ASAP so they can focus on another SP via FA and one via trade.
This is, of course, assuming they haven’t burned bridges with him.
September 14, 2023 at 10:01 am in reply to: Trade Ideas/Acquisition Ideas/Non-Cards Rumors – 2021-2023 #233873It’s the value each club places on the players. It takes two to tango.
September 14, 2023 at 9:57 am in reply to: Trade Ideas/Acquisition Ideas/Non-Cards Rumors – 2021-2023 #233871Noot seems to have the most value, at least according to this source.
Well, BTV isn’t necessarily how front offices see things. Seattle may have a higher value on Gorman than Nootbaar.
But in constructing a team, your job is to maximize the overall roster subject to roster and payroll constraints.
If you take a guy with a .750 OPS and upgrade to .820, you add about 70 points on offense.
If you take a guy with a .660 OPS and upgrade to .800, you add 140 points of offense.
If I was Seattle, I’d be asking for Gorman instead of Nootbaar.
Also note: 750 OPS was the lowest of their 5 outfielders, and .660 OPS was the highest of their three second basemen.
September 13, 2023 at 9:43 pm in reply to: Trade Ideas/Acquisition Ideas/Non-Cards Rumors – 2021-2023 #233853Yes, and the Mariners need a 2B more than they need an OF. They have five OF’s with an OPS of .750 or above. At 2B, none of their players have an OPS higher than .660.
So, to get a pitcher, we’d have to trade Gorman.
September 13, 2023 at 8:19 pm in reply to: 2023 StL Game #146: Wednesday, September 13 at Orioles #233846Bullpen had two shutouts in a row! I think that might be the first time this year!
September 13, 2023 at 8:18 pm in reply to: 2023 StL Game #146: Wednesday, September 13 at Orioles #233845Do we believe King has had a pitching epiphany since coming to StL or is this just going be an expensive mirage?
He was known as a ground ball pitcher when we acquired him
September 12, 2023 at 8:27 pm in reply to: 2023 StL Game #145: Tuesday, September 12 at Orioles #233787The bullpen held!!!
September 12, 2023 at 7:59 pm in reply to: 2023 StL Game #145: Tuesday, September 12 at Orioles #233784The bullpen could have a 6.00 ERA over these last three innings and we will still bring home #199
Wainwright left with a 1 run lead. They need two more innings of goose eggs to get him to 199.
What is the alternative? Spend big on guys like Holland, Cecil, and Miller?
Cecil had about three months of good performance in his entire career when the Cardinals acquired him, and everybody thought they were nuts with what they gave him. Especially when you have guys like Tony Watson who was better throughout his career, was typically available on 1-2 year deals, and only twice made $3.5 million per year.
Miller was past his prime by the time the Cardinals acquired him. They paid him for how they remembered him, not what he was at the time.
Give me Tony Watson-types players and contracts all day long.
To me, and ERA above 4.0 is mediocre and you should be at least exploring upgrades.
An ERA above 4.50, you have to actively seek out upgrades with urgency.
An ERA above 5.0 – What are you doing? Find someone else, now.
September 11, 2023 at 7:50 pm in reply to: 2023 StL Game #144: Monday, September 11 at Orioles #233707I guess so. Pallante has pitched in a team-high 56 games. He is 0-for-5 in save situations and has 13 holds. 40.5% of his inherited runners have scored this season (15 of 37). The bullpen average is 31.3%. So he doesn’t seem the optimal choice to take over a bases-loaded situation.
P.S. Looking at the numbers, only Helsley and Romero look good, plus King (1-for-7, 14.3%). Gallegos is worse than Pallante at 46.4% with VerHagen at 34.5%.
So, with the Cardinals supposed focus on analytics, they can’t figure this out this late in the year.
Maybe the Cardinals should fire the analytics staff.
If I recall he challenged the Cardinals on his salary last year ala Flaherty. That is his right but I always get a bad vibe when young players do that.
I don’t hold this against him at all. He put in a spectacular season last year. He felt he deserved more.
The bottom line is that relievers are almost universally a crapshoot and a volatile group. You never know what you are going to get year to year.
This is true just because most relievers aren’t good, and they run into a year where they are good. Your good relievers tend to be good over time.
I think the best strategy is to load up on quantity in hopes that you will strike it big on a few.
There is this thing called roster size. You are limited as to how many people you can have on the roster. You can’t just throw numbers at it.
Besides, this appears to be the Cardinals philosophy on international signings, and how is that working out for the organization?
The key might be an analysis of which in-house starters have the potential to be the next Gallen or Alcantara.
That would mean we are at least two years away.
We also have to fix the bullpen, which was a complete disaster this year.
The Cardinals used 7 pitchers tonight. Only one has an ERA below 4.0
BB – Speed never goes into a slump.
Sure it does. See Billy Hamilton.
If you can’t get on base, speed doesn’t matter.
Walker is doing a great job playing DH tonight.
I think Rajcic has been the most consistently good pitcher throughout the year.
We also need to fix the bullpen.
The Cardinals have blown 25 saves in 53 opportunities.
September 2, 2023 at 8:49 pm in reply to: 2023 StL Game #136: Saturday, September 2 vs. Pirates #233030I was getting ready to type, “Man, I thought VerHagen was terrible, but he has the best ERA of any of the pitchers we used tonight.”
Then, he gave up a home run and no longer has the best ERA.
We learned our lesson with the Leake signing.
Leake had never been more than a #5 starter when he was signed. I don’t know how he could be a disappointment other than the organization gave way too much time and money to a #5 starter.
I guess I’m somewhat influenced by the Alcantara and Gallen trade. On the other hand, I’m all for trading for guys with low budget teams who are going to get expensive.
That trade was with a low budget team for a guy who was about to get expensive. He was also injured.
I don’t know how anybody can be advocating for just one external pitcher to join the rotation given the dumpster fire we have had this year.
September 1, 2023 at 7:34 pm in reply to: 2023 StL Game #135: Friday, September 1 vs. Pirates #232939Next year we will have Donovan, but how would he fit into the daily lineup?
If you trade Carlson & O’Neil, he is your starting LF.
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