Forum Replies Created
-
Posts
-
But since Bob brought up the idea of a lefty-swinging backup on one of the threads, Chris Herrmann is a left-handed batter, who can also dabble in the outfield to get some playing time
I would expect the Brewers to get someone like Jed Lowrie on a 2 year deal to be 2B, acquire at least one pitcher in the JA Happ/Dallas Keuchel realm (if not trade with Cleveland for Kluber or Bauer), and be willing to go after at least one reliever such as Familia or Robertson…
This is their window.
But those moves haven’t been made yet, so…
Technically, McCarthy could be a utility player – he plays 1B & OF.
They could always get Kolten’s younger brother, Kean.
According to Goold, the Cardinals still don’t believe in investing heavily in relievers.
So, veterans that can be signed to cheap deals: Oliver Perez (age 37, 1.39 ERA in 2018; 4.39 career ERA) & Tony Sipp (age 35, 1.86 ERA in 2018; 3.67 career ERA)
Non-tendered candidates: Luis Avilan (age 29, 3.77 ERA in 2018; 3.09 career ERA), Xavier Cedeno (age 32, 2.43 ERA in 2018; 3.69 career ERA) & Dan Jennings (age 31, 3.22 ERA in 2018, 2.96 career ERA)
I would start with Avilan and Jennings.
Ideally? Trade JMart to Tampa for Joe McCarthy.
But as NJ315 indicated, we have Fowler, and are likely stuck with him.
Maybe he’s just trolling us
This seems to have everything to do with their payroll. According to Roster Resource, it’s projected at more than $219 million in 2019. In the eyes of the luxury tax, it’s nearly $232.5 million. That puts them in range for second-tier penalties, with third-tier penalties (starting at $246 million) not far away.
I would still like the left-handed bench player to come from a JMart for Joe McCarthy trade.
Just in case Ozuna bolts next year…
At this point the Cardinals are penciling Dexter Fowler as their starting right fielder for opening day.
nooooooooooooooooooooo……….
The Warriors has nothing to do with getting stadium funding. It has everything to do with moving to a richer environment, where they can cater to a wealthier crowd.
Self-Financed
The Players
The fansAs for the NFL teams: There is absolutely, positively, no way a community can ever recoup the money for building a stadium for an NFL team. They only play 8 regular season games per year, a couple of preseason games. Public funding of an NFL stadium is the worst idea ever.
Oh, and about that Chargers move:
Owners discussing viability of LA ChargersI am more worried about giving up Andy Young than Weaver or Kelly, though I thought Kelly had better use as part of a package for a different upgrade (Kluber or right fielder).
Oakland Approves Stadium for Raiders
San Diego Chargers left San Diego because the citizens voted down the funding of a new stadium, because they were still subsidizing the old stadium and would have been on the hook for more than $2.3 billion over 30 years for a new stadium. San Diego Stadium Proposals
Voice of San Diego reported on March 11, 2015, that a new Chargers’ stadium would likely not make San Diego money, citing that the city still owed millions in tax dollars for the renovations to Chargers’ Qualcomm Stadium repairs from 1997, and is currently paying about $12 million yearly for Qualcomm. The article stated that San Diego taxpayers subsidize Qualcomm stadium with over $10 million a year because the Chargers and other stadium events didn’t generate enough revenue to cover costs. Qualcomm stadium also cost taxpayers almost $2 million each year for police and fire services at Chargers games, as well as repairs to the stadium, costs which were not compensated for by the Chargers.
On August 15, 2016, the Public Resources Advisory Group published an independent report which estimated the stadium plan would have required a public contribution of $2.3 billion over 30 years, which was more than twice as much as the estimate of $1.1 billion by the Chargers.
Why people think welfare for billionaires is a good idea is beyond me.
I very clearly stated that a trade would open up spots to sign the (LH) relievers they have openly stated they are going to sign.
There are really only two people on Arizona I would consider as upgrades besides Goldschmidt – Peralta over Fowler and Greinke over Wacha.
but how does his acquisition fix 3B or RF? How about closer? Is Hicks the guy? What am I missing?
Well, 3B isn’t really an issue, as we will get at least average production from 3B just like we do everywhere else. If you get Machado to play 3B, then yes, it makes sense to upgrade, otherwise, not really.
No, it doesn’t fix the fact that Dexter Fowler is our RF.
No, it doesn’t fix the relief corps, though it could open up roster spots to sign guys.
What this is, is a typical Cardinals move to moderately improve without being locked into a long term mistake (like Dexter Fowler).
They have to play Fowler so that he can improve.
LOL.
The only way he is going to improve if they tell him he can go double-or-nothing on his contract if he wins a Gold Glove.
Like with anything, it depends on the cost.
With Harper, it is about the money. With Godldschmidt, it is about the prospects. Who do the Cardinals have to give up to acquire Goldschmidt?
It would be lessened if they took on Greinke, but reports are saying the Cardinals are unwilling to do that…
Oh, and one more thing. In the 10 years prior to revenue sharing, the A’s averaged 2,050,802 fans, while the Giants average 1,811,738. That is a difference of 239,064.
To put it another way, the A’s averaged 13% more fans per year. That is statistically significant.
Moneyball is a con.
The history of gaming revenue sharing
TV Contracts
Oh, and look at that, before the TV contract that kicked in for the Cardinals this past year, Oakland actually had a larger TV contract than the Cardinals.Such a poor, small market team…
So 2016, you are going to base your argument on a rounding error of 3000+ fans?
Ha! You said they never broke 2 million. They did. All you had to do was take a 3 second glance at the data to see the trends and actual numbers.
The fact remains that even when the A’s have won (and the have been in the playoffs far more than most teams since 2000) they still have not attracted a significant fan base.
They lose their fan base because whatever periods of winning they go through are followed be severe and sudden dropoffs in winning caused by selling off the team.
Do some basic trend analysis and plot their wins against their attendance! Do they follow each other or not? Why yes, they do!
2016, i am surprised that has a statistics nut you would present correlation as causation.
Fact is, the A’s were outdrawing the Giants in the Bay area until revenue sharing was introduced. The A’s made a business decision to milk revenue sharing for all it is worth and invented the concept of moneyball, which the Rays and Marlins have copied. The idea is to plead poverty, accept welfare, and sell of high dollar players on a continual basis.
When they go though these sell-offs, they lose their fan bases (big surprise).
The Giants invested in their team (you can compare payrolls), invested in a new ballpark (AT&T park opened in 2000 – do you see the correlation)?
This is why DeWitt has built a model where he wants to consistently contend and NOT go through teardowns.
The defense will be fine, if O’Neill starts most games in RF.
Ahh…but we all know that as long as Dexter Fowler is on the team, they are going to keep trudging him out there in RF.
That’s a cost of $10-12M per win if you got him for just $25M per year
A team at St. Louis’ player payroll level cannot pay more than $10-12M per wins on the open market.
Of course, $3M per win upgrade is more of a best case scenario, rather than a realistic standard. Maybe $6-7M per win upgrade would be a plausible goal,
Statements like these drive me nuts. When talking about $/Win, that is a load of ______. Assembling a baseball team is PORTFOLIO THEORY, it is not INDIVIDUAL ASSET PRICING.
The Cardinals can spend right up to the luxury tax and still be profitable.
Take your WORST positions, and try to upgrade them EVERY year. Last year, the WORST position was right field. DUMP DEXTER FOWLER.
