Marilyn Green

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Viewing 25 posts - 26 through 50 (of 170 total)
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  • Marilyn Green
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    Game is banged. Doubleheader tomorrow.

    in reply to: 2025 Weekly Minor League Team Notebooks #280998
    Marilyn Green
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    The FCL team is currently beating the Mets’ FCL team so I am happy to see at least one of our teams can beat the Mets.😊

    in reply to: 2025 Minor league game thread – Week 6 – 4/29-5/4 #280978
    Marilyn Green
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    Bryan Torres is putting up pretty good numbers. He doesn’t have much power though.

    He seems to be a Donovan type, but I haven’t seen enough defense to judge though I don’t get the impression he is gold glove caliber.

    I need to watch more Memphis games. I have plenty of time now.

    in reply to: Roster Matrix #280970
    Marilyn Green
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    The Deep State is at it again.

    Relievers are fungible. There are plenty to be had in the system.

    Give me a good starter conspiracy and you have my attention :>)

    in reply to: Player news #270958
    Marilyn Green
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    “That’s $56 million to not win anything”

    R-words ain’t cheap.

    in reply to: Player news #270955
    Marilyn Green
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    That’s about $30M in salary according to Goold. Goldschmidt is another $26M off the books.

    It’s going to be interesting to see how much more this “reset” is going to cost. 😜

    Marilyn Green
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    Well hello Harry Houdini

    Marilyn Green
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    This feels eerily similar to something…….

    Marilyn Green
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    Maybe this is the “I’m expecting a rain out” lineup. :>)

    Marilyn Green
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    Well I don’t know enough to get into the weeds on the mechanics of it all. That is for the people who know the stat better than I do.

    I think it all boils down to how many runs you prevented making the most difficult plays to make based on how far you had to run to get to the ball and how much time it took you to do it and make the out.

    Marilyn Green
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    The way I understand it with OAA the measure is actual success rate in relation to estimated success rate. Each play is given an estimated success rate measured by distance and time. There are categories of plays based on probability of making the play.

    So the difference is how often a player turns a low probability play into an out. in the example given, Bobby Witt Jr turned plays with a 67% estimated success rate at a rate of 69%, which is a 2% success rate added. Hernandez turned plays with a 74% estimated success rate at a rate of 69%, which is a negative success rate added.

    It all depends on the difficulty of the plays that were turned into outs. You can’t just look at success rate alone in a vacuum. If you look at the Statcast leaderboard, you can see that the players with the most OAA are the ones with the highest success rate added.

    Marilyn Green
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    I’m not a huge fan of Marmol but I think the rush to always blame the manager for a team’s failures is vastly misplaced.

    One has to think of the dynamic that could be in place between the manager and the front office. How much autonomy does the manager actually have? It is different for each team.

    Personally, I think blame often (but not in every case) lays at higher levels than the manager.

    In any event, the second game of the season is a little early for panic. I plan to wait at least a couple of weeks :).

    in reply to: Burleson is going to be a fine hitter, however #244843
    Marilyn Green
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    When I think about spring stats, I think about the fact that Pete Kozma used to routinely finish spring training with an OPS of .900 or above.

    I hope for the Cardinals’ sake that Carlson does hit better this season, since we don’t know about the health of either Edman or Nootbaar.

    in reply to: Burleson is going to be a fine hitter, however #244836
    Marilyn Green
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    I agree with Brian. Edman is the better CF and should play over Carlson when he returns. Even with less innings in CF, Edman showed much better range there than Carlson.

    Carlson is fine while Edman is out, but I have always maintained that defensively, he is better in a corner position. He doesn’t have the speed or the range that Edman has.

    Furthermore, Carlson has to show me he can hit from the left side consistently. Spring stats are meaningless. If he hits well consistently from the left side in the regular season, then I will reconsider my position.

    in reply to: Sonny Gray #238580
    Marilyn Green
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    I would venture that the bulk of the success of both is due to other teams.

    Both of those pitchers suggest that perhaps the Cardinals front office does not evaluate very well either.

    in reply to: Sonny Gray #238575
    Marilyn Green
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    Based on Gibson’s age and on stats that actually matter (of which games won is not such a stat) my answer is yes.

    Games won relies on way more than a pitcher’s skill. A good offense and defense will make a pitcher appear better than he actually is.

    in reply to: Sonny Gray #238572
    Marilyn Green
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    Frankly, based on what I have seen them do now, I don’t believe the front office ever gave a single thought to signing Yamammoto.

    I’m guessing they heard the $200 million or more prediction and said “not in our budget”.

    The only way the Cardinals will ever get an elite pitcher is to draft and develop one. Unfortunately, the draft and development genie abandoned them years ago.

    in reply to: Sonny Gray #238565
    Marilyn Green
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    One way to get a number #1 starter is to spend money wisely. For example, don’t waste $22 million dollars on old and washed up pitchers like Lance Lynn and Kyle Gibson.

    in reply to: 2024 Rotation #238479
    Marilyn Green
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    When I was in high school track I came in third in my event at a particular track meet.

    What makes that not special is there were only four people competing in my event.

    Gray had an 8-8 record in 2023. While W/L record is not a stat that is particularly indicative of skill, there are some credible baseball analysts who have pointed out that his record is unusual for a runner up in a Cy Young race.

    The point I am rather ungracefully making is that being second in the AL Cy Young race does not grant Sonny Gray some kind of pitching omnipotence nor does it suggest that he will pitch well going forward.

    I have no serious problem with Gray in a vacuum. I have a problem with anointing him a our future ace. His past record suggests he is more of a #2 starter than a #1.

    The Cardinals needs a #1 starter and they don’t have one.

    in reply to: 2024 Rotation #238477
    Marilyn Green
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    LOL

    I will not suggest that I know how to run a baseball team.

    If you are asking whether about pure intellectual ability, then I might be intellectually superior but I would need more information to know for sure.

    Seriously though, just because someone is a GM does not automatically mean they are infallible with respect to putting a team together.

    One would have to believe Mozeliak has never made a mistake and I would doubt that is the case.

    in reply to: Trade Ideas/Acquisition Ideas/Non-Cards Rumors – 2021-2023 #238377
    Marilyn Green
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    I am more optimistic on Walker than I am about this rotation.

    in reply to: Sonny Gray #238376
    Marilyn Green
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    I regret to inform you that the Sonny Gray contract indeed includes a no trade clause.

    in reply to: 2024 Rotation #238371
    Marilyn Green
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    Brian is right. This rotation is not even a Division winner. It is third or fourth place at best and that is if you squint.

    in reply to: Sonny Gray #238338
    Marilyn Green
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    Also, they got Arenado basically for free for the first couple of years. They won’t get that kind of deal from the Padres.

    Soto is likely to get $30 million in arbitration. No way the Cardinals want that.

    in reply to: Sonny Gray #238336
    Marilyn Green
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    Sure, it’s money and you think the Cardinals want an outfielder they don’t need for money they aren’t willing to pay for what they do need?

    Don’t believe what Morosi says.

Viewing 25 posts - 26 through 50 (of 170 total)

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