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May 3, 2025 at 12:38 pm in reply to: St. Louis 2025 Game #35 thread – Sat, 5/3 vs. Mets moved to Sun 5/4 DH G2 #281002
Game is banged. Doubleheader tomorrow.
The FCL team is currently beating the Mets’ FCL team so I am happy to see at least one of our teams can beat the Mets.😊
Bryan Torres is putting up pretty good numbers. He doesn’t have much power though.
He seems to be a Donovan type, but I haven’t seen enough defense to judge though I don’t get the impression he is gold glove caliber.
I need to watch more Memphis games. I have plenty of time now.
The Deep State is at it again.
Relievers are fungible. There are plenty to be had in the system.
Give me a good starter conspiracy and you have my attention :>)
“That’s $56 million to not win anything”
R-words ain’t cheap.
That’s about $30M in salary according to Goold. Goldschmidt is another $26M off the books.
It’s going to be interesting to see how much more this “reset” is going to cost. 😜
March 30, 2024 at 8:29 pm in reply to: St. Louis 2024 Game #3 thread – at Dodgers, Saturday, March 30 #245658Well hello Harry Houdini
March 30, 2024 at 8:16 pm in reply to: St. Louis 2024 Game #3 thread – at Dodgers, Saturday, March 30 #245649This feels eerily similar to something…….
March 30, 2024 at 5:34 pm in reply to: St. Louis 2024 Game #3 thread – at Dodgers, Saturday, March 30 #245627Maybe this is the “I’m expecting a rain out” lineup. :>)
March 30, 2024 at 4:24 pm in reply to: St. Louis 2024 Game #1 thread – at Dodgers, Thursday, March 28 #245609Well I don’t know enough to get into the weeds on the mechanics of it all. That is for the people who know the stat better than I do.
I think it all boils down to how many runs you prevented making the most difficult plays to make based on how far you had to run to get to the ball and how much time it took you to do it and make the out.
March 30, 2024 at 3:57 pm in reply to: St. Louis 2024 Game #1 thread – at Dodgers, Thursday, March 28 #245601The way I understand it with OAA the measure is actual success rate in relation to estimated success rate. Each play is given an estimated success rate measured by distance and time. There are categories of plays based on probability of making the play.
So the difference is how often a player turns a low probability play into an out. in the example given, Bobby Witt Jr turned plays with a 67% estimated success rate at a rate of 69%, which is a 2% success rate added. Hernandez turned plays with a 74% estimated success rate at a rate of 69%, which is a negative success rate added.
It all depends on the difficulty of the plays that were turned into outs. You can’t just look at success rate alone in a vacuum. If you look at the Statcast leaderboard, you can see that the players with the most OAA are the ones with the highest success rate added.
March 30, 2024 at 1:38 pm in reply to: St. Louis 2024 Game #2 thread – at Dodgers, Friday, March 29 #245567I’m not a huge fan of Marmol but I think the rush to always blame the manager for a team’s failures is vastly misplaced.
One has to think of the dynamic that could be in place between the manager and the front office. How much autonomy does the manager actually have? It is different for each team.
Personally, I think blame often (but not in every case) lays at higher levels than the manager.
In any event, the second game of the season is a little early for panic. I plan to wait at least a couple of weeks :).
When I think about spring stats, I think about the fact that Pete Kozma used to routinely finish spring training with an OPS of .900 or above.
I hope for the Cardinals’ sake that Carlson does hit better this season, since we don’t know about the health of either Edman or Nootbaar.
I agree with Brian. Edman is the better CF and should play over Carlson when he returns. Even with less innings in CF, Edman showed much better range there than Carlson.
Carlson is fine while Edman is out, but I have always maintained that defensively, he is better in a corner position. He doesn’t have the speed or the range that Edman has.
Furthermore, Carlson has to show me he can hit from the left side consistently. Spring stats are meaningless. If he hits well consistently from the left side in the regular season, then I will reconsider my position.
I would venture that the bulk of the success of both is due to other teams.
Both of those pitchers suggest that perhaps the Cardinals front office does not evaluate very well either.
Based on Gibson’s age and on stats that actually matter (of which games won is not such a stat) my answer is yes.
Games won relies on way more than a pitcher’s skill. A good offense and defense will make a pitcher appear better than he actually is.
Frankly, based on what I have seen them do now, I don’t believe the front office ever gave a single thought to signing Yamammoto.
I’m guessing they heard the $200 million or more prediction and said “not in our budget”.
The only way the Cardinals will ever get an elite pitcher is to draft and develop one. Unfortunately, the draft and development genie abandoned them years ago.
One way to get a number #1 starter is to spend money wisely. For example, don’t waste $22 million dollars on old and washed up pitchers like Lance Lynn and Kyle Gibson.
When I was in high school track I came in third in my event at a particular track meet.
What makes that not special is there were only four people competing in my event.
Gray had an 8-8 record in 2023. While W/L record is not a stat that is particularly indicative of skill, there are some credible baseball analysts who have pointed out that his record is unusual for a runner up in a Cy Young race.
The point I am rather ungracefully making is that being second in the AL Cy Young race does not grant Sonny Gray some kind of pitching omnipotence nor does it suggest that he will pitch well going forward.
I have no serious problem with Gray in a vacuum. I have a problem with anointing him a our future ace. His past record suggests he is more of a #2 starter than a #1.
The Cardinals needs a #1 starter and they don’t have one.
LOL
I will not suggest that I know how to run a baseball team.
If you are asking whether about pure intellectual ability, then I might be intellectually superior but I would need more information to know for sure.
Seriously though, just because someone is a GM does not automatically mean they are infallible with respect to putting a team together.
One would have to believe Mozeliak has never made a mistake and I would doubt that is the case.
November 27, 2023 at 5:33 pm in reply to: Trade Ideas/Acquisition Ideas/Non-Cards Rumors – 2021-2023 #238377I am more optimistic on Walker than I am about this rotation.
I regret to inform you that the Sonny Gray contract indeed includes a no trade clause.
Brian is right. This rotation is not even a Division winner. It is third or fourth place at best and that is if you squint.
Also, they got Arenado basically for free for the first couple of years. They won’t get that kind of deal from the Padres.
Soto is likely to get $30 million in arbitration. No way the Cardinals want that.
Sure, it’s money and you think the Cardinals want an outfielder they don’t need for money they aren’t willing to pay for what they do need?
Don’t believe what Morosi says.
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