Jnevel

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  • Jnevel
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    No home runs tonight equals no runs. The Yankees hit two out for 2 runs. This series has been all about the home run thus far.

    Ferguson looked solid in his debut. Good fastball with a couple wrinkles. He’s probably lefty #1 for us ahead of Bruihl.

    Jnevel
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    I’m no expert on diagnosing hitters. Overall though, Herrera just hasn’t seemed right at the dish for about 2 months aside from roughly about a 5-game span that ended about a week ago. I know he went to Driveline over the break to fix his swing. But yeah, I was still super surprised they stayed with the lefty there only to bring on Bednar for the next batter anyway.

    Jnevel
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    Herrera used to destroy lefties. You can see the difference this season as the Yankees stick with a lefty against Herrera with Bernard warming. And then Herrera strikes out swinging at a pitch above the zone. Ugh.

    The Yankees then change to Bernar and the Cardinals counter with Burleson pinch hitting.

    After falling behind 2-0, they intentionally walk Burleson to get to Velasquez who strikes out on 3 pitches looking completely overmatched. That would have been the time to use Walker if he was at all available. Must not be.

    • This reply was modified 2 months, 1 week ago by Jnevel.
    • This reply was modified 2 months, 1 week ago by Jnevel.
    in reply to: Minor League Game thread – 2026 Week 20 #315341
    Jnevel
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    Well, hitting more homers is certainly a better sign than striking out every other at bat (or every at bat) even if it is Memphis.

    in reply to: Roster Matrix thread 2 #315312
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    I strongly believe Matthews is a lot better pitcher than Dobbins and is more likely to be part of the future core. But, maybe that’s the point with this move. It could buy another year of service for Matthews in the long run – maybe. But it will likely burn an option year which shouldn’t matter. Also, give Dobbins credit for pitching well in his MLB opportunities. AAA though has been a mixed bag for him.

    in reply to: Roster Matrix thread 2 #315301
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    Prieto getting the call up to replace Nootbaar. No Baez. Not even Saggese. I guess Baez needs more work and Torres gets some more runway in LF.

    in reply to: 2026 Season Trades #315289
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    I think they saved $5 million LA with the loss of Noot and addition of Ferguson being essentially a wash for the remainder of this season. Really $4 million after they add a player at the minimum to the roster. But I get your point. However, I don’t believe that these transactions to save $4 million had anything to do with money. Or at least not hardly anything to do with saving $4 million today.

    • This reply was modified 2 months, 1 week ago by Jnevel.
    • This reply was modified 2 months, 1 week ago by Jnevel.
    in reply to: JJ Wetherholt #315272
    Jnevel
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    This brings up an opportunity to discuss the inter workings of WAR.

    As BB points out, JJ is a 3% below league average hitter since May 1. Similarly, Ivan Herrera is 1% below league average in that same timeframe. But here’s where it gets interesting and some of you aren’t going to like it. Wetherholt’s 3% below league average is providing him positive WAR value. Not tons of positive value, but some. However for Herrera, his 1% below league average is providing him negative WAR value. Why is that? It’s because of the position that they play. WAR recognizes that 2B is a far more demanding position than mostly DH and part-time catcher and that second basemen typically hit far worse than your average DH. Therefore, it credits them more value when they hit close to average. Therefore, a roughly league average hitting second baseman who runs the bases well and plays stellar defense at that demanding position is considered extremely valuable, which is why JJ is listed as one of the best players in baseball.

    • This reply was modified 2 months, 1 week ago by Jnevel.
    in reply to: 2026 Season Trades #315240
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    I found that interesting too BB. That one is a bit of a head scratcher. I’m not sure why they didn’t just give the job to Mautz and let him try.

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    Fun game tonight. Great to see offense again. Maybe the weight of the deadline is off the players’ backs and now they can just play baseball again.

    Nice work by Graceffo for the last 2 to keep the Yankees off balance. But Burleson is the big hero in this one.

    Jnevel
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    I like this Yankees pitcher. Glad they didn’t trade him. Burleson with his third HR of the game – all the 2-run variety.

    Jnevel
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    Huh. More slug equals more runs. Who would have thunk it?

    Especially at Yankee stadium!

    You could tell Crooks was going to swing for the fences as soon as he stepped up there. His eyes and look gave it away.

    • This reply was modified 2 months, 1 week ago by Jnevel.
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    Sigh. Stanek. Hard contact. More hard contact. Sigh again.

    in reply to: 2026 Season Trades #315205
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    Bad example Rats. As Albert said, Flaherty’s value wasn’t high at the time. And despite our minor league system being far worse back then, none of those prospects we got back were top ranked in the Top 20 (I don’t think at least). We got Rom, who was not exciting at all, Prieto, who is still around and has been called up a couple times with poor results, and a lower level pitching prospect (name escaping me at the moment) who was interesting, but got hurt and became ineffective. I didn’t like that trade at the time because we watered down what little value Flaherty had for 3 fliers.

    A better example to make your case is Jordan Hicks. In that trade, we got Sem Robberse and Adam Kloffenstein who both made it into the teens in our prospect lists. Kloffenstein threw one big league inning and was released the next season. Robberse hasn’t made it yet and has been hurt a lot. Basically no value for what at the time was an excellent bullpen pitcher.

    The other big trade that deadline was Mo dealing Montgomery for Saggese and Roby. This one still could pay off but hasn’t yet. I didn’t really like this trade at the time. Roby looks fantastic when he’s healthy, which isn’t often. Saggese came over and won the MVP of the Texas League but hasn’t really done all that well in the big leagues. Another example of prospects being risky.

    • This reply was modified 2 months, 1 week ago by Jnevel.
    • This reply was modified 2 months, 1 week ago by Jnevel.
    in reply to: 2026 Season Trades #315168
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    They brought Dobbins up (I assume he was there traveling with the team) but also acquired Ferguson. When Ferguson arrives, a pitcher needs to leave. The Cardinals may tell him to wait a few days to report to give Dobbins another piggyback start before sending him back down. Other options are an option for Graceffo or Gastellum or a DFA of Stanek or Stryzecki. I’m curious which they choose.

    in reply to: 2026 Season Trades #315161
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    It’s supposed to be a PTBNL coming to us. But that could have conditions on it like be based on how healthy Nootbaar is.

    I also don’t know much about the 2 DBacks pitchers. I’m learning more now!

    in reply to: 2026 Season Trades #315156
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    We have to do both well Rats. First we need to build a strong foundation and then buy talent to supplement it. We aren’t close enough yet. Compare our team to the Dodgers position by position. Are we better than them with any single player on our 26-man roster? Almost certainly Wetherholt over Edmans at 2B. Maybe Walker over Kyle Tucker based on recent results. That’s it. They would have 24 to 25 better players in a head-to-head matchup. Even the Cubs probably have a 20 to 6 advantage.

    We have to build the base first. These prospects have a chance to improve that future or become traded for proven MLB talent when the time is right.

    in reply to: 2026 Season Trades #315151
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    Those others are staying. Stanek could be a DFA candidate if we have an arm we’d like to try in his place who needs a roster spot to retain them (Hancel Rincon or Cade Winquest maybe?).

    in reply to: 2026 Season Trades #315146
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    I guess we got Caleb Ferguson from the Reds for International money.

    in reply to: 2026 Season Trades #315143
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    No more trades after Noot according to Jeff Jones.

    in reply to: 2026 Season Trades #315142
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    Probably Josh Baez plus Hunter Dobbins. Saggese and Fernandez are the alternative options.

    in reply to: 2026 Season Trades #315138
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    Could be Saggese recalled. He could also play LF. Or I guess it could be Victor Scott returning, but that doesn’t make a lot of sense. His offense still needs fixing. So probably Baez in LF.

    in reply to: 2026 Season Trades #315134
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    I’m waiting to see if Nootbaar was traded for Arenado . . .

    Probably does mean Baez gets promoted, but not necessarily. I could see Torres playing there for another month.

    in reply to: 2026 Season Trades #315119
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    I think I would have Frias at 7 and Ragsdale at 13 or 14 (which I guess is 14 or 15 after Frias gets put in ahead of him). I’d like to see more of Frias to be sure. I’ve seen some of Ragsdale in action in the past. Even if I’m a bit more pessimistic on where these guys are ranked vs some, I still see this as a great win for St Louis.

    • This reply was modified 2 months, 1 week ago by Jnevel.
    in reply to: 2026 Season Trades #315101
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    Dustin May was an outstanding signing for Bloom this offseason. He cost the Cardinals around $7 million and we got 2/3 of a season of mostly good results and now get a top 100 prospect for him (assuming Frias for May and Ragsdale for Romero). Well done.

Viewing 25 posts - 251 through 275 (of 4,677 total)

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