2020 Cardinals Odds and Projections

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  • #132999
    Avatar14NyquisT
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    Euro:

    There is an upside in that each game will be much more important. I think managers will manage accordingly and we’re starting out at the beginning of a pennant drive. More games will have a playoff feel about them. Maybe that means about the same amount of excitement compacted into a smaller space.

    I tend to follow along with Euro’s thoughts. This is looking at glass that’s half full. After saying that, the genuine article of MLB will start in April 2021…. fingers crossed. But until then at least it will be something interesting to watch.

    #133007
    Avatarbccran
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    Totally agree, 14. A lot of things will shake out in this short season (both good and less than good), that will go into the calculation of what will be needed to prepare for hopefully a very successful normal season in 2021. I’m looking forward very much to watching games this season. But for different reasons than the norm. Mostly watching the development of various players.

    #133213
    Brian WaltonBrian Walton
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    #133215
    stlcard25stlcard25
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    The problem with models like 538’s is that they like to jam everyone into the same mold and assume that average performance over time will continue indefinitely. I looked and saw that they said the Cards will have roughly average pitching for the division. I’m very confident that the Cards pitching will outpace the Cubs, Brewers and Pirates easily. If the Reds pitch to their capability, they might be close to the Cards, but that’s not a given in their band box.

    #133228
    Brian WaltonBrian Walton
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    New look from the gamblers…

    #133359
    Brian WaltonBrian Walton
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    Latest from betonline.ag. I would bet the house on the over for CMart at 3.5 wins. Surely he will win four of 12 starts… Then again, there is a good reason I do not really bet…

    St. Louis Cardinals Regular Season Props
    Paul Goldschmidt – Total BA in the 2020 Regular Season
    Over/Under .290

    Paul Goldschmidt – Total HR’s in the 2020 Regular Season
    Over/Under 11.5

    Paul Goldschmidt – Total RBI’s in the 2020 Regular Season
    Over/Under 34.5

    Paul DeJong – Total HR’s in the 2020 Regular Season
    Over/Under 11.5

    Paul DeJong – Total RBI’s in the 2020 Regular Season
    Over/Under 32.5

    Yadier Molina – Total HR’s in the 2020 Regular Season
    Over/Under 4.5

    Yadier Molina – Total RBI’s in the 2020 Regular Season
    Over/Under 25.5

    Jack Flaherty – Total Wins in the 2020 Regular Season
    Over/Under 5

    Jack Flaherty – Total Strikeouts in the 2020 Regular Season
    Over/Under 81.5

    Carlos Martinez – Total Wins in the 2020 Regular Season
    Over/Under 3.5

    Miles Mikolas – Total Wins in the 2020 Regular Season
    Over/Under 4

    Adam Wainwright – Total Wins in the 2020 Regular Season
    Over/Under 4.5

    Dakota Hudson – Total Wins in the 2020 Regular Season
    Over/Under 5

    #133495
    stlcard25stlcard25
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    On the projection side, ESPN made their updated predictions and though one guy mentioned the Cards as a team that benefitted most from the 10 to 16 team playoff format, he still didn’t pick them to make the playoffs. In fact, only one of the three picked the Cards to be in the top half of the teams in the NL.

    https://www.espn.com/mlb/story/_/id/29520355/mlb-16-team-playoffs-winners-losers-a-good-thing

    #133497
    Brian WaltonBrian Walton
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    Not even logging a .500 record and missing the playoffs would be quite a wake up call, especially with the relatively weak schedule.

    The ESPN article was hardly an in-depth analysis, though…

    #134559
    Brian WaltonBrian Walton
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    #134584
    Avatar14NyquisT
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    Betonline has the Cards at 20-1 to win the pennant…. ninth best in the NL.

    #134885
    Brian WaltonBrian Walton
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    For future reference, it is always interesting to have these snapshots in time…

    #134923
    Brian WaltonBrian Walton
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    Dayn Perry of CBS scores the Cards season to date with an F-minus. I am pretty sure that is the very bottom. 😉

    https://www.cbssports.com/mlb/news/mlb-grades-two-teams-get-a-at-2020-seasons-quarter-mark-astros-nationals-mets-earn-low-marks/

    #135069
    Avatarso_cal_cards_fan
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    Free

    On the other hand, we vaulted into second place in our division today.

    #136839
    Brian WaltonBrian Walton
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    Paid - Annual

    #138109
    Brian WaltonBrian Walton
    Keymaster

    Paid - Annual

    #140227
    Brian WaltonBrian Walton
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    #140243
    Brian WaltonBrian Walton
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    Per betonline.ag, the odds for the Cards to win the division are longer now than on 9/1, but their lines to win the NL and WS are shorter.

    Division 13/2 then to 8/1 now
    NL 20/1 to 18/1
    WS 40/1 to 33/1

    #141282
    Brian WaltonBrian Walton
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    That ground they gained last week in the odds, they lost this week.

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