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October 30, 2019 at 8:59 am #113097
That fact that 2019 is not yet done does not stop the gamblers…
First odds I've seen for winning the 2020 World Series (from @betonline_ag) have the Astros at 5/1 favorites, with the Nats and Yanks at 8/1. The #stlcards are well down the list at 25/1, third in the NL Central after MIL (14/1) and the Cubs (20/1).
— Brian Walton (@B_Walton) October 30, 2019
October 30, 2019 at 9:08 am #113100Milwaukee seems very overrated and the Cards underrated there. Flipping them sounds about right. What were the Cards’ odds at the beginning of 2019?
October 30, 2019 at 2:12 pm #113144If I remember correctly, the Cards were in the 14/1 to 16/1 range to win the World Series before last season. Adding Goldschmidt gave them a shot.
(There is a thread with that info here somewhere – if you care enough to search for it…)
October 30, 2019 at 5:28 pm #113156At this point (before 2019 is done), you’re obviously betting on more unknowns, with hot stove activities being a biggie. Seems like those odds for the Cards are at least a partial hit on the confidence in the front office to do things like replace Ozuna’s offensive production in LF or generate offensive production at other positions. Maybe the odds makers believe Mo and Shildt are serious about making Carp a LFer.
October 30, 2019 at 5:36 pm #113157Your suppositions make sense to me, Euro.
I do have one question. Has Mo or Shildt actually been quoted anywhere saying they are considering Carpenter in left field? I ask in all seriousness. I know some fans are discussing it, but a comment directly from those in the know would be very different and I’ve not seen anything from them on it. Thanks.
October 30, 2019 at 6:20 pm #113162Good question, Brian, and I don’t know the answer. I have been thinking the discussion of Carp possibly moving to LF was based on more than random fan speculation. But sometimes we hear things enough and they end up carrying more credibility than they should. After a quick search, I didn’t seen a Mo or Shildt quote, but did see this from BenFred in response to the possibility.
BENFRED: We will find out. The Cardinals have not rolled out a campaign or anything about it. People want to know what the options are for Carpenter if he’s back, and left field is one of them. If he hits like he did this season, Carpenter at any position is not great.
October 30, 2019 at 6:32 pm #113163When I probed, I got thumbs down, but time will tell.
October 31, 2019 at 10:06 am #113327I don’t know a lot about gambling but Goold’s observation here makes sense to me.
This says nothing about the team and everything about how bored bettors are with the team. So it’s trying to spur action.
— Derrick S. Ghould (@dgoold) October 30, 2019
October 31, 2019 at 10:20 am #113330Of course, odds always try to reflect bettor attitudes. Nothing new about that.
October 31, 2019 at 10:38 am #11333414NyquisT
ParticipantBettors will be jumping on the Dodgers at 12/1.
October 31, 2019 at 2:57 pm #113366Dont understand the Colorado love. I like the Phillies better than the Cards at 25:1 because they will likely do more to improve. For the same reasons I might take a flyer on the White Sox at 50:1
October 31, 2019 at 4:05 pm #113375The Phils already have made moves by hiring Joe Girardi and Bryan Price. The Sox’ upside is good young talent. They supposedly were in the free agent market last winter and did nothing.
October 31, 2019 at 4:57 pm #113378Cleveland wins it all in 2020. I’ll tell you one team I wouldn’t take at 50-1, let alone 8-1. And that’s our present world champions. No way they repeat.
October 31, 2019 at 5:24 pm #113382I believe the current Cardinal odds reflects the amount of uncertainty with the team’s roster. At this point, I would not be willing to project the Cards as a top eight team. Two or three good offseason moves may propel them into that category.
October 31, 2019 at 11:27 pm #113397Going back to the Carp in LF suggestion above, his throws from 3rd to 1st (even when he’s rushing) look like lob passes in the NBA.
I am sure the FO feels the pressure to figure out “what do we do with him” followed with “why did we give him that deal” but anything that involves throwing a ball farther than 60-90 feet shouldn’t be discussed.
November 1, 2019 at 9:41 am #113422Going back to the Carp in LF suggestion above, his throws from 3rd to 1st (even when he’s rushing) look like lob passes in the NBA.
I am sure the FO feels the pressure to figure out “what do we do with him” followed with “why did we give him that deal” but anything that involves throwing a ball farther than 60-90 feet shouldn’t be discussed.
Maybe Mo should lobby real hard for the DH to the NL to be implemented for 2020. lol
Seriously, it probably won’t happen until 2022 if at all.
November 7, 2019 at 10:10 pm #113953Even more or less standing pat as it seems the Cardinals may, so many of them underperformed at the plate last year that you have think there will be some improvement with the offense?
November 8, 2019 at 12:01 am #113956Even more or less standing pat as it seems the Cardinals may, so many of them underperformed at the plate last year that you have think there will be some improvement with the offense?
CArpenter has nowhere to go but up. He should be in a timeshare wherever he plays
Dejong will not improve enough to matter
Wong I could see a little regression.
Goldschmidt could rebound a bit.
Expect a regression from Edman
Fowler who knows. Should be a timeshare IMO.
Molina who knows. You get a .750 ops and you run with it.
Bader has nowhere to go but up but he has to change his approach to do it.
Team will not get to 90 wins as currently constructed on offense.
BTW I always thought Carpenter was destined for LF at some point. Maybe next year is the 1 year experiment.
November 8, 2019 at 9:30 am #113978Did any of the analytic or betting sites have the Cardinals pegged to win the NLC in 2019? If so, there weren’t many.
November 8, 2019 at 9:46 am #113983At least one had the Cubs and Cards co-favorites after all the signings. Others had the top three tightly bunched.
Here is the link to the corresponding 2019 thread to this one.
https://thecardinalnation.com/forums/topic/2019-projections-thread/
November 10, 2019 at 9:42 am #114067People who write prediction articles for next season before any free agents sign are working with incomplete assumptions at best. Given that, MLB’s Anthony Castrovince throws up a Hail Mary, picking the Reds to win the NL Central in 2020.
Guessing he is not heading to his place of gambling to put down a bet on it, though. If they somehow make it, you can bet he’ll be crowing about it later on.
https://www.mlb.com/news/way-too-early-mlb-division-predictions
November 20, 2019 at 7:20 pm #115183I’ll GIVE 20-1 odds that Kris Bryant is not a Cub on Aug. 1, 2020. Any takers?
November 21, 2019 at 9:21 am #115230A more interesting question is will he be a Cub on April 1?
November 21, 2019 at 9:23 am #115232People who write prediction articles for next season before any free agents sign are working with incomplete assumptions at best. Given that, MLB’s Anthony Castrovince throws up a Hail Mary, picking the Reds to win the NL Central in 2020.
Guessing he is not heading to his place of gambling to put down a bet on it, though. If they somehow make it, you can bet he’ll be crowing about it later on.
https://www.mlb.com/news/way-too-early-mlb-division-predictions
Yeah, this guys seemed to be going for shock value. He picks the Reds, Rays, and White Sox as division winners. Really?
November 21, 2019 at 9:56 am #115235In my view of the world, there is often a direct tradeoff between shock value and credibility. I guess if you don’t have the latter or don’t care about it, then what’s the harm? Forget individuals. Sites like Deadspin and Barstool have made that part of their business model.
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