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JJ –
1.) In 2018 at Springfield, Edman’s OBP was .350. When he was promoted to Memphis that season, it was .382. At Memphis in 2019, during the first part of the season his OBP was .356. After he was promoted to the Cardinals it was .350. I wouldn’t put too much stock in 2020 because of the late start, all the double headers and moving around to different positions.
2.) Here’s Dylan Carlson’s OBP at every level –
A – .345
A+ – .345
AA – .364
AAA – .418blingboy –
Should we throw all the minor league performances of the players out the window, as meaningless? That’s not what the Cardinals do, especially at the AA and AAA levels. The players know it’s how they get promoted at the upper levels. That makes it a decent indication.
Many of our offseason concerns are becoming clearer as to whether they should still warrant concern, or we’re simply good to go.
Leadoff: With Wongs free agency and ownerships desire to reduce payroll, Tommy Edman has become the only leadoff man we’ve used in our first 29 games. He’s slashing .294 / .354 / .420 / .774 and STL ranks 11th as “batting first”, among all teams. All mlb leadoff batters have produced a .262 / .340 / .421 / .761 line.
Of all infields STL ranks 11th, and as outfields ranks 10th, offensively by BR OPS+.
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Another concern was the youth in the outfield. I’d like to point out that O’Neill has 1 BB and 23 K’s. How concerned are you with that? His start to the season is that of a two true outcomes batter.I’m also noticing Tyler is giving the umpires fewer chances to ring him up on strike 3. His pitches per PA are at a noticeable career low, and % of pitches swung at are at a career high. Hard to argue with his results so far, a 128 ops+ and a .269 ISO, but are these results sustainable?
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AB/RBI:
4.6 Yadi
4.7 Carp
5.4 Arenado
6.1 O’Neill
7.2 Carlson
7.3 Goldy
7.5 DeJongI am more hopeful as to O’Neill than Williams just because of the difference in their swing. It is really noticeable when they hit back to back. I much prefer O’Neill’s compact hack over Williams big swoosh.
It seems inevitable that O’Neill will see fewer pitches in the strike zone pretty soon. Time will tell how he responds to that.
I think O’Neill has the better shot to stick as well. His minors track record was better and he’s got the speed to fall back on as a very good defender and base runner. I felt Williams was probably an AAAA guy/5th OFer coming into the year and that’s probably not far off. I’m hoping for him to make it as we could use the LH pop and he seems a likeable kid to root for.
Last 7 days (7 games) to 5-5-21′, sorted by PA’s descending:
32 PA’s Edman, .923 ops, .406 obp
29 Arenado, 1.128 ops, .680 slg%, 9 rbi
28 O’Neill, .308 / .357 / .500 / .857, 1/7 BB/K
27 Carlson, .502 ops, 1/9 BB/K
25 Goldy, .304 / .360 / .478 / .838
24 DeJong, .900 ops, 2 K’s, 2 HR’s, 5 RBI
22 Bader, .918 ops, 3 K’s, 2 HR, 5 RBI
13 Carpenter, 1.203 ops, 1 K, 2 HR, 6 RBI
9 Williams, 1.159 ops, 1 HR, 3 K, 3 RBI
4 Sosa, .833 ops
3 Sanchez, 1.000 opsmlb rank through 5-7-2021
swung at first pitch: 3rd, .792 ops, 124 ops+
took first pitch: 25th, .665 ops, 90 ops+full count: 1st, .917 ops, 148 ops+
RISP: 6th, .831 ops, 123 ops+
men on: 3rd, .814 ops, 120 ops+batting first: 11th, .774 ops, 102 ops+
batting 1-2, non-P: 22nd, .710 ops, 90 ops+
batting 3-6, non-P: 14th, .751 ops, 103 ops+
batting 7-9, non-P: 10th, .678 ops, 111 ops+as infield: 11th, .725 ops, 104 ops+
as outfield 11th, .721 ops, 103 ops+BR
After looking at Lars Nootbaars start with Memphis, I am thinking he should be given a try. Not sure what corresponding move would be made to add him. Perhaps moving Mikolas to 60 day DL, or DFA Moroff or Hurst?
Bling…. that’s so true. AL has professional DHers…. NL has bench guys that are replacements to fill positional needs. They are a step above the Ps that they PH for…. at least that is what we have here.
May:
OPS+
179 O’Neill (73 PA)
162 Arenado (116 PA)
130 Sosa (59 PA)
123 Goldschmidt (115 PA)
111 Edman (126 PA)
102 Bader (79 PA)98 DeJong (43 PA)
98 Molina (75 PA)
98 Carlson (111 PA)
78 Carpenter (44 PA)
50 Williams (56 PA)16 Thomas (33 PA)
10 Knizner (36 PA)A good piece by VEB regarding Wong’s replacement.
Edman is still underrated and unappreciated by some here (you know who). I think one commenter is waiting for Edman to prove himself because his play so far may be a short-term thing.
Once DeJong returns to starting, I like Sosa in RF, Edman at 2B.
Unlike the majority of the forum, I don’t mind Carp starting vs RHP’s, but he’s a dead end long term.
I’d rather Sosa get starts at mlb. Auditions is the theme this season and that should include Sosa.
Vs RHP’s (6-10-2021)
ops+
186 O’Neill
130 Sosa
127 Arenado
113 Goldschmidt
107 Molina
Top 5 vs righties are all rhb’s.99 Carlson
96 DeJong
87 Carpenter
85 Bader
83 Edman
53 WilliamsEdman, much like Bader, best vs LHP’s.
Any guesses what lineup we will see Friday with DeJong back?
It really comes down to Sosa or Carp. I would go with Sosa but you never know about Shildt.
June OPS+
120 Arenado
117 Goldschmidt
109 O’Neill
107 Carlson84 Carpenter
57 DeJong
53 Sosa
42 Edman
36 Nootbar
31 MolinaThose are really sorry numbers. They should be easy to beat. I sure hope in July the regulars turn the page. Still think Dejong needs regular time off with Sosa, Edman, or Rondon playing more.
81 games ops+
145 O’Neill in 233 PA
133 Arenado, 328
117 Carlson, 328
108 Goldschmidt, 332
103 Molina, 231
101 Bader, 83 PA92 Sosa, 147
89 Edman, 347
77 DeJong, 203
73 Carpenter, 14953 Williams, 137
51 Knizner, 93
50 Rondon, 3330 Nootbaar, 28
15 Thomas, 58
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