Baseball America Cardinals prospect rankings

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  • #194877
    Brian Walton
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    Here’s some of the detail…

    #194879
    Cardinals27
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    5 draft picks from 2022 draftin the top 30. Is that 11 from the last 3 drafts?

    #195961
    DangerZone
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    Anyone got an opinion on who Gordon Graceffo would be comparable too in MLB/Retired? As in someone comparable whether it be stuff, delivery……

    I understand that no players are identical, just trying to get a feel for him as a prospect. I really haven’t heard much about him outside of what I have read on this board.

    Thanks.

    #196241
    Cardinals27
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    I think Graceffo might comp to Wacha, as both threw near upper 90s with a very good change up.I think Graceffo has another possibly plus pitch of a slider.

    #196242
    Cardinals27
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    Baseball America posted team prospect rankings, and they placed the Cards 7th. 7 prospects in the top 100 deserve attention.

    #202074
    Brian Walton
    Keymaster

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    Is this Player of the Year or “Top Prospect” Player of the Year?

    #208250
    Brian Walton
    Keymaster

    Paid - Annual

    Geoff also had a chat yesterday about his new list. The top 10 is behind their pay wall, but top tools and 2026 projected lineup are free.

    #211115
    Brian Walton
    Keymaster

    Paid - Annual

    Their new Top 100 is posted.

    4. Jordan Walker
    47. Tink Hence
    48. Masyn Winn
    79. Matthew Liberatore

    https://www.baseballamerica.com/rankings/2023-top-100-prospects/

    #211126
    Jnevel
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    No Graceffo, Burleson, or Herrera? A little surprising. I guess being the best hitter at AAA isn’t worth what one might think.

    #211132
    Brian Walton
    Keymaster

    Paid - Annual

    #211133
    Brian Walton
    Keymaster

    Paid - Annual

    In the last BA list I saw, back in August, so post-draft, Burleson, Graceffo and Herrera were all in the top 100, along with the four that remain. Makes one wonder what has changed so much given so little baseball has been played since then.

    #211140
    blingboy
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    Maybe what little baseball that was played didn’t help. Burly and Herrera both hit about .200 in September.

    As to Graceffo, he had a bad August, maybe non-Cardinals homers see a 5th rounder with a 4 ERA in AA and say ‘meh’.

    #211145
    Brian Walton
    Keymaster

    Paid - Annual

    Why would they focus on Graceffo’s bad August rather than his sensational September? Five exceptional months and one rough one.

    #211146
    stlcard25
    Participant

    As to Graceffo, he had a bad August, maybe non-Cardinals homers see a 5th rounder with a 4 ERA in AA and say ‘meh’.

    They didn’t seem to say “meh” in season, which is odd. Anyway, an ERA around 4 in AA isn’t bad at all at 22 years old. Only 10 pitchers were better over the low bar of 70 IP there (Graceffo had 93-2/3).

    Still, it’s possible that you’re right. It’s just a bit puzzling.

    #211150
    blingboy
    Participant

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    Makes one wonder what has changed so much given so little baseball has been played since then.

    I tossed out a possible explanation, Brian. What’s yours?

    #211154
    Brian Walton
    Keymaster

    Paid - Annual

    I cannot explain their inconsistency but it affects three Cardinals, not just Graceffo.

    Different rankers maybe? This current list (perhaps the annual one that goes into their book?) seems to be a blend of multiple analysts. Maybe they put more effort into this one, with the in-season rankings prepared by Joe Intern.

    In August, they had seven Cardinals in the top 100. Going down to three is a big red flag on them.

    Maybe one of our readers goes on their chats and can ask them. In August, they had:

    Burleson 72
    Graceffo 73
    Herrera 93

    I can see Herrera maybe falling off, but how can anyone explain Burleson dropping at least 29 spots and probably more and Graceffo 28 or more in that very short period of time? There cannot be a reasonable explanation. Destroys the credibility of their in-season rankings with me. I get they have to do all 30 systems, but it’s their reputation on the line…

    #211155
    blingboy
    Participant

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    It kinda sounds like blaming the messenger.

    #211156
    Brian Walton
    Keymaster

    Paid - Annual

    Please clarify.

    #211166
    blingboy
    Participant

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    Finding fault with their process because you don’t like the result.

    70 to 100 probably aren’t too much different from the couple dozen after 100. Maybe it’s like the Oscars and there is a lot of jockeying and PR and influence at work to get a guy over 100 instead of under.

    #211169
    Brian Walton
    Keymaster

    Paid - Annual

    Thanks for clarifying. It is not that I don’t like the result. I am questioning the comparative inconsistency between their own rankings, which I think is considerable. Did the three players do something bad at the end of the season, or did 30 other guys do something greater in terms of long term potential to jump ahead of two of them?

    If I moved guys around that drastically, I know that I would either need to explain it or rightfully get questioned on it. The way I do it, every ranking is not new. It bridges back to the prior ranking. I explain why guys move up or down when the changes are big, like these. Not for two or three spots, but for 10 or 20 or 30, absolutely. Otherwise, it can appear random. They must do rankings differently.

    #211175
    blingboy
    Participant

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    My guess is its computer generated, with no human empowered to step in and fix something that is bizarre and defies baseball common sense. Like what happened with our lineup in the WC series.

    #211176
    1toughdominican
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    The primary reason for the unexplained jockeying around of different names at different positions is probably a simple case of the desire of those who compile these rankings to keep those who have any interest in them continuously thumbing through the pamphlets and brochures that these “analysts” issue. If they don’t routinely shuffle the deck, no one will continue to play. In my view, the best way to avoid a bad game is to not take a seat at the table…

    #211179
    14NyquisT
    Participant

    I never knelt at the BA altar…. BA continues to lose cred, at least with me.

    #213111
    Brian Walton
    Keymaster

    Paid - Annual

    #213132
    Bob Reed
    Participant

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    I confess I’m too painfully cheap for a BA subscription, Brian. On the bright side, I’ll die rich.

    Could you please tell me where they rank Leonardo Bernal, Jimmy Dale Crooks 3, Alec Willis, and Jonathan Mejia? (I have them 5th, 11th, 9th, and 13th, respectively.) Thanks much!

    If the mere numerical ranking placements are considered proprietary info, please forgive me. I know not the ethics in this instance.

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