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Dan Szymborski’s ZiPS projections for 2019 are out. They are for individual Cardinals players, not the team as a whole. Always interesting reading.
2019 ZiPS Projections – St. Louis #Cardinals https://t.co/Aeo949TejP #ZiPS19
— Dan Szymborski (@DSzymborski) January 18, 2019
I thought it was interesting that the “outbreak” lineup where all the Cards’ starting lineup missed the whole season would still be projected for an 80 win team. That’s depth.
Also of note…Tyler O’Neill has the best OPS+ projection of all the outfielders. Get that man a starting job! (Says ZIPS, and Bob Reed).
Stupid Bleacher Report! They rank the Cards as being tied with the Nationals for the best off-season in the National League so far with a B+ score – and tied for second-best after the Yankees in all of MLB.
Don’t they know the sky is falling? They need to read message boards more instead of analyzing transactions and rosters! What do they know? 😉
In the land of the blind the one eyed man is king. B+ I thought getting Goldy was an A+++++++++ move. Silly me.
Certainly two big signings will cause a shift. My intent in referencing this article here is to offer an general opportunity to step back and look at the bigger picture. The other clubs in the division, for example, did not fare well at all in this assessment.
I agree. The Cards have had the best offseason within the NLC for sure. The Cubs and Pirates have done very little. The Brewers have made a couple of decent moves. The Reds have made some noise but I’m still skeptical about their rotation.
Having said that I wish the Cardinals would take the next step and go from a good offseason to a great offseason. We have narrowed the gap between us and the Cubs but it would be nice to purchase some more certainty. We never “go for the jugular” to use unpleasant venacular. I would like to see us do it for once.
Odds to win the 2019 World Series (BetOnline):
NYY +700
BOS +750
HOU/LAD +800
CHC/PHI/STL +1200
MIL +1400
ATL/CLE/NYM +1600
WAS +2000
COL +2500
CWS/CIN/LAA/OAK/TB +3300
ARI/MIN/SEA +5000
PIT/SD/TOR +6600
SF/TEX +10000
DET/KC/MIA +15000
BAL +25000— Odds Shark (@OddsShark) January 29, 2019
Jim Bowden projects his top 15 comeback players of the year. Alex Reyes is no. 9 and Dexter Fowler #10. (The Athletic subscribers)
Who might be this season's Comeback Player of the Year? @JimBowdenGM takes a look at 15 players who are poised to recover from down years and significantly help their teams in 2019. https://t.co/uNM9IrKjsD
— The Athletic MLB (@TheAthleticMLB) January 29, 2019
VERY different from Fangraphs. Entire NL Central at .500 or better. Division winners include Mets and Brewers.
Here are the @baseballpro PECOTA projections for the NL.
With congrats to @UKMetsOnline, @UKBrewCrew & @Dodgers_UK! 😉 pic.twitter.com/e556thNir5
— Baseball Brit (@BaseballBrit) February 7, 2019
The joys of projections season. Baseball Prospectus tabs Brewers to win 89 and finish in 1st place in the NL Central. Fangraphs has Milwaukee at 79 wins and fifth/last place. So there you have it…
— Brian Walton (@B_Walton) February 7, 2019
If the Cubs end up 82-80 I will run into the streets singing and dancing but I don’t see that happening. I see the Cubs more of a 92 win team.
My predictions:
1. Cubs 92-70
2. Cardinals 90-72
3. Brewers 87-75
4. Reds 80-82
5. Pirates 78-84I think the NL Central is going to be brutal this year with all of the teams beating up on each other. I wouldn’t be surprised if none of the teams win 90 games.
Also, lets not forget many of the top free agents remain unsigned so these projections seem a little premature.
Does Vegas have under over win totals out? Surely they do with the season around the corner. Maybe they are on the Machado/Harper watch?
Eno Sarris of The Athletic digs into the discrepancy between the win projections for the 2019 Brewers and concludes that he would bet on the higher end.
https://theathletic.com/805821/2019/02/12/sarris-the-one-team-that-projections-cant-agree-on/
According to @betonline_ag, the current favorite to win the World Series are the Yankees at 6-1. In the NL Central, the #Cubs are 12-1, #stlcards and #Brewers are 14-1, #Reds at 33-1 and #Pirates at 66-1.
— Brian Walton (@B_Walton) February 13, 2019
They left out the part that he is a highly-biased Cardinals fan and claimed his fame as the founder of Deadspin. Other than that, I am sure he is objective. 😉
I am guessing that Carpenter does not spend time on message boards.
Carp isn't saying the #STLCards will win the 2019 World Series. But he says this: "We have a team that's built to win a World Series." #CardsSpringTraining pic.twitter.com/PkVVRWTzZ1
— Bally Sports Midwest (@BallySportsMW) February 15, 2019
to me, for the cardinals to finish first, everything has to go perfectly right and that doesn’t happen often. would I love to see the cubs stay about the same or even perform less, as a cub hater, definitely but I think they underperformed last year and im not sure that’s happening again. I think the brewers should be better. the reds I not sure about. they should be improved but we will see. I don’t think they will get off to the same bad start this year as they did last.
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