Home › The Cardinal Nation Forums › Open Forum › Paul Goldschmidt Thread
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March 21, 2019 at 4:38 pm #84363
I mean it makes perfect sense where they can get the money from to make this happen. Decline Gyorko’s 13 million dollar option and pay him 1 million to go away and let Marcel hit free agency and there’s 24,250,000 million right there. lol
That’s .900 ops 100 RBI production at least for that amount of coin the majority of that deal. If he does that 3 out of the 5 years then it’s a solid gamble. I just don’t understand the rush.
March 21, 2019 at 4:58 pm #84367March 21, 2019 at 5:30 pm #84368He’s a smart man. There is litte doubt that a player such as Goldy has HoF aspirations. His numbers look like he’s probably going to be teetering right on the fringe of enshrinement when he hangs them up 6-7 years from now. What will put him over the top will be a world’s championship or two. I think as Goldy assessed his opportunities, the Cardinal organization and particularly the gold rush of quality young pitching, cemented his desire to finish his career in St. Louis. As a Cardinal fan, I feel really good about that.
March 21, 2019 at 10:08 pm #84392I am impressed. God job, Junior. Having him in tow until 24 could yield great possibilities. If they can just replace Fowler this winter with a real player then who knows what might happen.
March 21, 2019 at 10:09 pm #84393I fully expected them to sign Goldschmidt. But now that it has actually happened, I am thrilled. If he starts breaking down before the end of his contract, Montero or Nunez can start taking some of his innings. For now, why worry about it? This is great news. It would have been a disaster if they hadn’t extended him because the fan base would have felt betrayed by the front office, IMO. Time to pause for a celebration, and that will apparently happen tomorrow.
March 22, 2019 at 7:59 am #84405Harper isn
t that good? A player heading into his 26-30 seasons..prime seasons...And comparing Carp and Harper....I like Carpenter and I like Goldy but I do wonder about the extension of a player past 30 when you could have taken a shot at a player heading into his prime.The Harper isn
t that good nonsense is ridiculous.March 22, 2019 at 8:00 am #8440614NyquisTParticipantGreat job by the FO! I didn’t think that they had it in them. Goldschmidt should be a cornerstone for the years of his contract. This is the best news that the team has had in years. Flaherty is next on the list.
After so much disappointment we needed this.March 22, 2019 at 8:02 am #8440814NyquisTParticipantGoldschmidt> Harper or Machado.
March 22, 2019 at 8:32 am #84416BW, I didn’t say Harper isn’t good. I said that he isn’t as good as the contract he is getting. It’s all hype. I already showed that Carpenter and Harper were approximately the same value since they broke into the league (and both well behind Goldy), and with modern aging curves it’s likely that Harper won’t beat Marp’s accumulated WAR by that much over the first 7 years of the deal. Unless you really value home runs, I’m not even that certain that Harper will age better than Marp.
So I’ll ask again…was Matt Carpenter *worth* a 13 year, $330M deal at the start of his career? If not, then Harper shouldn’t have been that exciting to you at that price.
March 22, 2019 at 9:05 am #84417Considering Harper’s first 7 years started at the age of 19 and Carp’s started at the age of 26 that in itself is a huge difference…..and as for War, right now Harper has Carp beat in career WAR as it is…..and he is 26!
March 22, 2019 at 9:09 am #84419Well said- Onyxgem
March 22, 2019 at 9:36 am #8442914NyquisTParticipantMark Saxon
@markasaxon
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MoreSome people think St. Louis is boring. Some people think Paul Goldschmidt is a boring superstar. A match made in heaven.
I had to chuckle at this! Sounds right to me.
March 22, 2019 at 9:41 am #84430Please explain why Harper’s “best years are ahead of him” when his only true exceptional season was four years ago – at age 22? It was his only season being voted anywhere in the top 10 in the MVP voting. He is good, but this hope that he will return to 2015 levels of performance is just that – hope.
This is just a theory on my part, but we first read about Harper at about 14 years of age. He was groomed and developed to be what he is. He did not need all of that development time early so perhaps his peak was really earlier than the traditional player who played in college and worked this way through the minor leagues.
On the other hand, Goldschmidt has been very, very consistently good. No wide variance in annual results. Four top six MVP placements, including two seconds and a third. Predictable is boring, but predictable.
March 22, 2019 at 9:50 am #84433I would take Goldy over Harper every day of the week. Not even close.
Stl25, good job pointing out the values of Harper and Carp. The one thing I would say about Harper is that he does bring a lot of marketing value to a club with jersey sales, ticket sales, etc…. Good grief I think the Phillies sold 100,000 tickets within one day of the signing. Of course 13 years is a long time. Things could go sour.
March 22, 2019 at 9:51 am #84434Considering that most players hit their prime in their late 20
s I think its a fair chance Harper can improve and raise his game a bit.I am not knocking the Goldschimdt extension I worry about extending a player over 30 years old.I do admit players are better conditioned and baseball is pretty much a year long job anymore.. players don
t get real out of shape during the winter and use all Spring training to get in shae like the old days.Speaking of “hope” ..don`t we Cards fans “hope “Goldy can continue to perform well until the end of his contract? After his stats declined last season from the previous year?March 22, 2019 at 9:53 am #84435NJ315ParticipantThat’s why I love baseball! We will find out in the coming years whether Harper’s best years are indeed ahead of him and whether Goldy will stay predictably boring or decline with age.
March 22, 2019 at 9:57 am #84437Agreed, NJ. Predictions are worth nothing compared to results.
March 22, 2019 at 9:57 am #84438Matt Carpenter is poor at 3B,adequate at 1b,can`t hit anywhere but leadoff and is a liability n the basepaths.He walks a lot and he strike outs a lot.His brainlock about hitting anywhere but leadoff is silly.I like Carpenter but I think he is overvalued by many on here.
March 22, 2019 at 9:59 am #84439Since we don
t know future results yet then all these discussions are nothing but discussion.
March 22, 2019 at 10:00 am #84440Goldschmidt’s OPS+
2016 133
2017 140
2018 139Goldschmidt’s fWAR
2016 4.9
2017 5.2
2018 5.1My goodness! What a down year he had in 2018! Why don’t you share Harper’s numbers in recent years?
March 22, 2019 at 10:16 am #84442It must be a depressing time to be a Diamondbacks fan. Last year, they lost JD Martinez. This winter, it was AJ Pollock and Goldschmidt. Hard to believe their ownership couldn’t have afforded the $130 MM to keep their homegrown star in Goldy for his entire career.
March 22, 2019 at 11:50 am #84454You miss my point Brian…….Besides being snarky at me…….. I simply ask why harper was not considered since most players hit their prime in their late 20`s? You imply that Harper maybe we have seen the best of harper……..I disagree.For the record I have nothing against the Goldy extension.Glad he likes the Cards enough to stay for the long haul.I really hope he stays consistently good and boring.
March 22, 2019 at 12:25 pm #84457You made a number of points. This is the one my prior comment was directed to.
“Speaking of “hope” ..don`t we Cards fans “hope “Goldy can continue to perform well until the end of his contract? After his stats declined last season from the previous year?“
March 22, 2019 at 12:54 pm #84459NJ315ParticipantInteresting discussion. I wanted Harper for various reasons.
1. Age
2. Lefty hitter
3. Preferred getting OF over 1B. I wanted Carp to stay at 1B
4. He is overhyped but he still a good player and I was willing to overpay because he generates lots of different revenue streams. He brings attitude some may say bad attitude and that may be true but attitude is something this team hasn’t had since Albert left.
5. He will bring in the millenial fans and create a younger more enthusiastic crowd.I never thought or expected him to be better than Goldy, just a better fit for the team overall. Overpaying and giving him 10 years was the price I thought it was fair to pay.
At the end it doesn’t matter. We have Goldy and he an elite player no doubt about that. But we are not getting 26-31 Goldy. We are getting 31-36 Goldy and he will decline there is no doubt how much remains to be seen. Harper can flame out too even at his age.
My only objection to this discussion is how dismissive the pro Goldy crowd is of those of us that preferred Harper. Harper is not and may never be as good as Goldy. The hubris in declaring Goldy the clear cut better choice for the team is annoying.
March 22, 2019 at 1:30 pm #84461Well said NJ.My point was IMO the Cards could have gotten the prime years of Harper versus Goldy after 30.I probably did not explain myself clear enough.Not a big deal.Goldy is here and heres hoping for 6 great years from him.
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