2019 TCN top 50 prospect list countdown

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  • #76238
    Brian Walton
    Keymaster

    Paid - Annual

    C27, that is a good idea, which I have not focused on yet. Until yesterday afternoon’s trade, looking at Rule 5 candidates was irrelevant since the 40-man was full. Now that there is a roster opening, it is worth exploring. Thanks.

    #76390
    mudville
    Participant

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    I’m getting anxious to see where Jhon Torres comes in on this ranking.

    #76397
    Brian Walton
    Keymaster

    Paid - Annual

    Derek was very aggressive in his Torres ranking, so you have a few days to wait!

    #76433
    Brian Walton
    Keymaster

    Paid - Annual

    #76522
    Brian Walton
    Keymaster

    Paid - Annual

    #76638
    Brian Walton
    Keymaster

    Paid - Annual

    #76646
    14NyquisT
    Participant

    It is good to see that Herrera moved up from #48 on the TCN rankings from Aug. and the jump to #26 on your present list is significant. Maybe that sip at AA was a factor.

    I believe he can add some height and weight to his age 18 frame of 6’0″-180lbs. I like the future for this kid. I can see him at Peoria in April because there isn’t much in the way of C prospects at the lowest levels, after Herrera is CSoto (#66- TCN Comm.)

    #76654
    Brian Walton
    Keymaster

    Paid - Annual

    In the interim, I also spoke to some folks who have seen Herrera a lot more than me who are really high on him. In the monthly rankings, I focus more on movement from the prior month based on game results. For these annual rankings, I try to start over and take a fresh look. As I wrote, Herrera was one I was slow to acknowledge.

    #76659
    14NyquisT
    Participant

    I think that your estimation of Herrera is spot on. Like you said its difficult to judge the low level teenagers…. my belief is, that maturity is a bigger factor than one can spot on the stat sheet.

    #77114
    Brian Walton
    Keymaster

    Paid - Annual

    #77118
    14NyquisT
    Participant

    There is a wide difference as where to place this intriguing player. But all three sources agree that the potential, physical size and a positive mind-set are qualities that can’t be overlooked by any degree.

    I had trouble trying to place this kid on the top-50. He had been #49 on the TCN list but continued to improve throughout August.

    As far as his ’19 placement, I would like to see him stay at extended ST and start him at State College in June. The reasons being that the weather would suit him initially. Having to to start the season in the MWL in April at the age of 18 wouldn’t be the most prudent scenario for Torres, IMO. Riding buses through snowy stretches in April won’t impress him. There is also the possibility of moving him to a corner infield spot, especially if he will still grow a couple of inches and add some weight. A 6’5″ third baseman can be intimidating to batters.

    I say let him get acclimated to the States gradually. I don’t like to see the organization setting some prospects up to fail. At 18, he has plenty of time to adjust. We may have something special here. Derek Shore’s estimation might be a bull’s eye.

    #77119
    stlcard25
    Participant

    Who were #22 and 21? After some searching, I see they are open due to trades, but it would be interested to see where Derek and Brian ranked these guys.

    #77120
    Brian Walton
    Keymaster

    Paid - Annual

    Kelly was originally #7, Young was #22. After the trade, everyone in between moved one spot to fill the gap and complete the top 20, leaving #21 and #22 open.

    That will be great until the next trade, but I still would not change starting the countdown in November.

    #77124
    gscottar
    Participant

    Paid - Annual

    My lack of expert knowledge of the lower level minor leaguers always leads me to ask for comparisons. So how would Torres compare to Adolis-Garcia?

    #77133
    stlcard25
    Participant

    I don’t think Garcia ever had anything resembling a plate approach. Torres seems like he could, based on this season’s results. The quotes in Derek’s section of the article were quite exciting. Jhon could be a gem.

    #77141
    Derek Shore
    Participant

    Paid - Annual

    In comparison to other publications, we were pretty conservative with our ranking of Torres. Fangraphs ranked him at No. 6 in their Cardinals top 40 last month. BA, who has yet to release their Top 10 for St. Louis, but ranked him No. 2 in the Arizona League and No. 6 in the GCL.

    One reader posed the same question in Brian’s write up to Ben Badger in the GCL chat. Why did the Indians trade him?

    Here’s what Badler said: The Indians had good reports on Mercado, who’s close to MLB-ready, while Torres was still in his first year of U.S. rookie ball. Torres is still 3-plus years away from contributing, and probably more than that, but the reports from pro scouts who saw him this year in both leagues were pretty dynamite.

    #77199
    CariocaCardinal
    Participant

    Free

    Nyquis, just because Torres is 6’5″ you think they might move him to 3B? Is there anything else that makes you think that?

    #77200
    CariocaCardinal
    Participant

    Free

    I dont see Torres starting the year at Peoria. If nothing else it is really crowded. Machado, Cedeno, Ynfante, Riley, Warner, and Woodall at a minimum. I also see the Cardinals wanting to indoctrinate him to their defensive and offensive techniques. I dont expect the cold to factor in to it.

    #77203
    CariocaCardinal
    Participant

    Free
    #77207
    Brian Walton
    Keymaster

    Paid - Annual

    CC, they may not start Torres at Peoria, but if he shows this spring he is ready and they are going to let guys like Woodall, Riley and Warner block him, anyway, their priorities are messed up. In fact, not a one of the six names you named is considered by all of us here to be a better prospect than Torres. I am sure there were guys ahead of Carlson, too, but they gave him priority from the GCL to Peoria. And he was not the only one to do that.

    In terms of indoctrination, Torres has/will have this training between now and opening day (assuming he is invited):

    Dominican instructs this fall
    US instructional camp in January
    Spring training in March

    I am leaving out STEP Camp as he is probably too young for that.

    Unless he is a slow learner, he should not also need extended spring training to learn how the Cards want him to play.

    #77237
    BlackHillsCard
    Participant

    Free

    He did play 17 games for the Cards GCL team, so its not like he hasn’t already received some instruction from Cardinals coaches.

    #77239
    stlcard25
    Participant

    Maybe a better comp than Garcia for Torres might be Tyler O’Neill? Power, good defense, and doing great things at a precocious age…minus the huge muscles and Canadian ruggedness, perhaps. Haha. But this kid along with Tyler, Nunez, Montero, Gorman and maybe Baker give the Cards some serious potential on the hitting side of the minors. It should be fun to watch take shape in 2019.

    #77321
    Brian Walton
    Keymaster

    Paid - Annual

    #77323
    14NyquisT
    Participant

    Assuming Kruczynski moves up to AAA, Woodford is the 7th starting pitcher (AAA or above) on this list and in the 11th to 14th P prospect on the organization’s depth chart. That’s telling me that he’ll need to have a breakout ’19 to move up or face spending 2 or more years at Memphis. Still, he’s way too good to give up on.

    #77325
    Brian Walton
    Keymaster

    Paid - Annual

    It suggests the Cards could still trade more pitching and probably not notice in the short term. After Woodford and Kruczynski, however, the cupboard looks fairly empty for a while.

Viewing 25 posts - 51 through 75 (of 194 total)
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