Outfield Situation

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  • #200284
    Ratsbuddy
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    Are there any free agent outfielders this off-season that we might pursue?

    #200285
    1toughdominican
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    Euro…Yeah, there is. Not too long ago, I read an article in the StL. Post Dispatch that laid out the all the qualifications. It indicated that Edman has enough innings this season at both 2B and SS to qualify for the award at either position. It’d be a shame if he didn’t get another one for this season. I can’t recall him making a bad play at either position all year.

    #200286
    blingboy
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    Thinking about OF developments this winter, I notice that Nootbaar (OBP, OPS+) and Dickerson (BA, OPS+) are the two best hitting outfielders whether you are talking BA, OBP or OPS+, and mostly by a rather wide margin over the rest. This is going to be an interesting sub plot.

    Two former hype cadets who have moved to the back burner are Carlson and Gorman. I doubt either will be proclaimed the “starting” this or that going into ST. That changes things up since we had it wrote in ink.

    #200287
    1toughdominican
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    Bling…Yeah, when Bader went to the Yankees there were several articles in the local media that quoted both the coaching staff and FO proclaiming that the trade was a strong vote of confidence for Carlson being cemented in as the Redbird CF’er for this season and the future. Things change in a hurry. Regarding Gorman, best I can tell is that he’s displayed similar tendencies with the Cardinal affiliates as he has in the Big Leagues. He goes on a genuine tear for awhile, and then multiple holes emerge in his swing. I’m only going by numbers, but that’s what it looks like with Gorman on a couple of stat websites.

    #200288
    1toughdominican
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    Haha…What am I doing on an OF thread? I wish there was a game thread. Come to think of it, I wish there was a game…

    #200289
    stlcard25
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    Two former hype cadets who have moved to the back burner are Carlson and Gorman. I doubt either will be proclaimed the “starting” this or that going into ST. That changes things up since we had it wrote in ink.

    Perhaps it’s not in ink…but it will be in very dark pencil that those two will be every day players next year. Marmol has been playing the hot hand and next year there will be less competition for at bats, at least early.

    #200290
    Ratsbuddy
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    Gorman should be very thankful for the DH. I hope he is better at 3rdbase than what he’s shown at 2ndbase. I suppose if Arenado opts out he becomes the everyday 3rdbaseman. Not sure I can handle his 200 strikeouts for the entire season.

    Again, are there any free agent outfielders we might be interested in?

    #200291
    jj-cf-stl
    Participant

    If you pull Baders offensive numbers from the outfield production, the outfields offensive numbers improve.

    Bader (93) is the only outfielder with an ops+ below 100. No black hole, just solid production with depth.

    #200296
    Card4Ever
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    I would say mediocre, not terrible, but by no means top shelf.

    Note: Sorting just the Cardinals by stat from Baseball Reference. For some reason, a few sorts only go 9 deep.

    STL Cards Team Rankings

    OPS (Only 9 deep)
    Nootbaar 4th
    Carlson 8th
    O’Neill 9th

    OPS+ (Only 9 deep)
    Nootbaar 5th
    Carlson 8th
    O’Neill 9th

    OBP (Only 9 deep)

    Nootbaar 4th
    Carlson 7th
    O’Neill 8th

    Throwing some counting stats in for giggles

    Doubles
    Carlson 4th
    Dickerson 6th
    O’Neill 9th
    Nootbaar 10th

    Triple
    Carlson 2nd
    Nootbaar 3rd
    Dickerson 8th
    O’Neill 9th

    Home runs
    O’Neill 5th (tie with Gorman)
    Nootbaar 7th
    Carlson 9th
    Dickerson 11th

    RBI’s
    O’Neill 3rd
    Carlsom 6th
    Nootbaar 8th
    Dickerson 10th

    BAVG (Only 9 deep)
    Carlson 6th
    O’Neill 8th
    Nootbaar 9th

    #200297
    1toughdominican
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    Card4ever…You know, O’Neill’s BA at .228 is certainly nothing to boast about, but he’s collected 58 RBI’s in only 325 AB’s. That’s pushing quite a few runs across HP for that many chances.

    #200298
    Card4Ever
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    Just saying there aren’t very many that land in the top 40% of their own team stat-wise. It seems some are trying to say we have a really good outfield and I don’t think the stats back them up. Our outfield is decent, at best.

    #200300
    Card4Ever
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    NL Central Outfielder WAR

    WOW the Reds are bad…… And can you imagine the sCrUBS if the had a 3rd outfielder?

    Cardinals
    1.8
    1.7
    1.1
    0.7

    5.3

    Brewers
    2.6
    2.0
    1.7

    6.3

    Cubs
    3.9
    1.5
    -0.1
    —-
    5.3

    Reds
    1.1
    0.4
    -0.8

    0.7

    Pirates
    2.1
    0.0
    0.1

    2.2

    #200302
    1toughdominican
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    Card4ever…Oh, I agree. I think so long as the defensive aspect of the current OF’ers hold up, decent production from the bats will suffice with the way the position player portion of the roster is put together. I mean, the Redbirds undoubtedly have the best corner IF duo in the entire Big Leagues and it quite possible they could end up being one of the best all-time, if they’re not already. Those two guys can counter balance a middle of the road offensive performance in the OF. In any event, I agree with your impression.

    #200310
    blingboy
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    Rat, I would think that the most obvious FA outfielder that Mo might pick up this winter is Dickerson.

    Last winter Mo picked up Dickerson to hit vs RHP and it has worked out well for 2nd-3rd year arb type money and no long term commitment. He was probably envisioned as a platoon counterpoint to Albert in the DH role, but has emerged as very useful to replace the youngster Carlson who stumbled badly vs righties.

    We will be relying upon young guys again next year, and it seems like Mo would be on the lookout for a comparable situational guy this winter, as prior history of success vs MLB pitching is a good fall back position if younger unproven players stumble. We have seen, both last year and this, that having more young guys to bring in and try does not always answer.

    #200312
    CariocaCardinal
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    Losing Puhols and with Donovan, Gorman, Yepez, Nootbar and Burlson all hitting better against RH pitching Mo needs tô find a RH hitting version of Dickerson who can also play some OF. Dickerson hás been good but not sure he is what we need going in tô 2023.

    #200314
    CariocaCardinal
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    You can add Edman tô the list of those who hit worse against LH pitching. Then you have Dejong that cant hit any pitchers.

    #200315
    jj-cf-stl
    Participant

    Good point on the splits CC. If they do move on from PDJ, a middle infielder good vs lefties would fit well with Gorman and Edman, who are best vs righties.

    #200321
    bccran
    Participant

    OF batting averages this season so far –

    Carlson – .240
    O’Neill – .228
    Nootbaar – .223
    Dickerson – .293

    One guy who puts the ball in play consistently. BA isn’t the end all by itself, but it’s an important factor.

    #200322
    stlcard25
    Participant

    Jager really likes the guy and with CC’s note that some of the OF candidates are better against RHP (I don’t agree with Edman but O’Neill traditionally has been so it’s sort of a wash) I wouldn’t mind kicking the tires on Mitch Haniger for next year. He’s a bounce back candidate who may be fairly cheap. He also has a good career line vs lefties. Then again I bet Jordan Walker could hit lefties well too even as a rookie.

    #200323
    bccran
    Participant

    With O’Neill, Carlson, Nootbaar, possibly Dickerson, Yepez, Burleson, Gomez, and Walker I doubt if the Cards will wade into the FA market beyond Dickerson. Especially with guys who are looking for multiple years.

    #200324
    1toughdominican
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    Not sure what the basis is for determining that Edman has less success vs. LHP’ing. He’s always been a better hitter when facing a LHP’er.

    #200331
    bccran
    Participant

    What will really be interesting to watch is who will rise to the occasion. Will O’Neill return to the player he was in 2021? Will Carlson mature into an All Star caliber player as some expect? Is Nootbaar a starter or #4? Will Yepez and Burleson be platoon dynamos at DH? Is Gomez for real? Will Walker measure up to his hype? Will they re-sign Dickerson for a year or two?

    #200334
    Brian Walton
    Keymaster

    Paid - Annual

    Edman’s OPS splits:

    2022 vs LHP: .816
    vs RHP:.715

    Career vs. LHP: .843
    vs. RHP: .704

    It isn’t even close.

    #200336
    gscottar
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    Again, are there any free agent outfielders we might be interested in?

    I would say no. I suppose they could bring Dickerson back but I am not sure it makes sense to pay him between $5-$10M when we have so many options who will make less than that.

    O’Neill
    Carlson
    Donovan
    Nootbaar
    Yepez
    Burleson
    Walker

    #200339
    jj-cf-stl
    Participant

    I stand corrected on Edman vs lefties, I had it backwards. Thanks for the correction. Best vs lefties.

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