Home › The Cardinal Nation Forums › Open Forum › Manny Machado thread
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Brian Walton.
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January 11, 2019 at 11:41 am #79812
One would think this would mean Manny isn’t going to the Yankees.
Yankees are closing in on a two-year deal with infielder DJ LeMahieu,
— JackCurryYES (@JackCurryYES) January 11, 2019
January 11, 2019 at 11:59 am #79814
stlcard25ParticipantIn a market connected with reality, Machado and Harper are guys who get deals between the Heyward and Price deals. So…mid-upper 20s of AAV for 8 years. That’s a good chunk of change still, but something like 8 years and $200-220 million.
In the warped sense of value that these agents seem to be pushing, maybe they get $300 million but it doesn’t seem logical. There are guys without the character or performance flaws coming onto the market in the next three years that are worth the $300 million plus mark…Arenado (if he has a big 2019), Betts and Trout for sure in 2020, Lindor and Bryant, possibly Seager and Correa in 2021.
Put it this way…if Ozuna rebounds and has a 5 win season in 2019 (which I think is possible), would you pay even 6/$180M for him at 28 vs 10/$300M for these guys at 26 if you’re a smart GM?
Ozuna Hypothetical 2017-19: 5.1, 2.7, 5.0 (fWAR)
Machado 2016-18: 6.3, 2.6, 6.2 (fWAR)
Harper 2016-18: 3.0, 4.8, 3.5 (fWAR)
Machado may be a top 10 overall MLB player but it’s close and a lot of his value is in defense, which of course is tricky as he ages. Harper would be better off taking the best one year deal he can get and hoping to put up another 2015 season to score that huge deal.
I’m now of the opinion that the most I’d offer either is 8 years and $220 million, and leave it at that.
January 11, 2019 at 2:00 pm #79823
jj-cf-stlParticipantIf Ozuna puts up a five win season in 19′ I’d make a Q-offer and hope he declines it. I don’t want him long term.
January 11, 2019 at 2:10 pm #79825
stlcard25ParticipantIf Ozuna puts up a five win season in 19′ I’d make a Q-offer and hope he declines it. I don’t want him long term.
I don’t think I would either. I was just making the point that you could make a good case that Ozuna would fall between Harper and Machado in value with a good 2019 and no one in their right mind would say he’s a $30 million AAV player on a long term deal.
January 11, 2019 at 2:17 pm #79827The self-proclaimed “award-winning baseball writer” who said that Manny Machado was signing with the Yankees and spoke down to everyone who had the nerve to question him—-has deleted his account. https://t.co/rI9kr8g44U
— Chuck Garfien (@ChuckGarfien) January 11, 2019
January 11, 2019 at 6:05 pm #79847Finally, the mystery team has appeared. I had been wondering why they don’t want to win… 😉
Machado camp is telling some folks there’s a mystery team in addition to Chisox, Phils. Validity is unknown.
— Jon Heyman (@JonHeyman) January 11, 2019
January 12, 2019 at 1:21 pm #79878jj-cf-stl
Participant
Free
If Ozuna puts up a five win season in 19′ I’d make a Q-offer and hope he declines it. I don’t want him long term.I totally agree! Take the pick from the QO offer, make O’Neill the starting LF in 2020, and use the unused money to bring back Goldy and sign Arenado.
January 13, 2019 at 9:47 pm #79930The Chicago White Sox have offered Manny Machado an eight-year deal and could be compelled to go even longer, league sources tell ESPN. The Phillies remain in on him as their Bryce Harper pursuit heats up. The latest on the biggest free agents, at ESPN: https://t.co/UojB6trmDX
— Jeff Passan (@JeffPassan) January 14, 2019
January 14, 2019 at 8:07 pm #79968PadsFS
ParticipantIf they’ve only given him a 7 year deal, couldn’t we look into that? A 7yr/210M deal isn’t too bad for an elite, young player like Machado.
January 15, 2019 at 3:57 am #79970I admit that I am a traditionalist, but if a guy admits he does not want to hustle right before becoming a free agent and then tries multiple times to injure opponents in the post-season, I don’t want him on my team, especially for the next 7-10 years. There is more to the game than just good stats and a nice contract, IMO.
January 15, 2019 at 6:11 am #79972Brian milling about at 4am……that’s a first.
January 15, 2019 at 6:25 am #79973Good morning, Pugs. Early flights to Florida today. Instructional camp, then Winter Warm-Up, then Hall of Fame meeting. A busy week ahead.
January 15, 2019 at 7:58 am #7997514NyquisT
ParticipantVery lucky guy!…
January 15, 2019 at 8:07 am #79976Rather Cards get their brains working and just go sign Harper!
January 15, 2019 at 8:34 am #79978I’ll be glad when Machado and Harper both sign so we can stop talking about them. The Cardinals aren’t signing either which is what I predicted many months ago. I knew we would talk about them all winter but I guess there isn’t much else to talk about. Unless we want to debate who our third best player will be at Johnson City this year? :o)
January 15, 2019 at 9:18 am #79980Gscott, I opened to the forum and saw the Harper and Machado threads at the top and was going to post the exact same thing. They dont seem like they are on the Cardinal radar anymore or even that of any division rival so I dont understand the obsession.
January 15, 2019 at 3:32 pm #79987I’ll be glad when Machado and Harper both sign so we can stop talking about them.
Yeah, but it’s nice to dream. This is kind of like buying a lottery ticket in that you know darn well that you’re not going to win, but just knowing that you have a chance gives you hope and pleasure……until those numbers are drawn, or in this case when Harper signs with Philly and Macho Man with the ChiSox.
January 16, 2019 at 11:24 am #80058The White Sox offer to Machado is for $175 million, over seven years. In some ways, their approach is like Boston's w/ J.D. Martinez last winter — the Red Sox offered $100 million and waited for two months. If CWS offer emerges as best, a big ? is: Would Machado/NYY re-engage?
— Buster Olney (@Buster_ESPN) January 16, 2019
January 16, 2019 at 11:41 am #80059
stlcard25ParticipantWow, that’s a far cry from what it was expected that he would get. Who’d have thought that reason might prevail in this free agent craze??
January 16, 2019 at 1:14 pm #8006514NyquisT
ParticipantI’ll be glad when Machado and Harper both sign so we can stop talking about them.
January 16, 2019 at 3:23 pm #80073Heyman disagrees with Olney.
hear that the rumor of a chisox 175M offer for 7 years for manny machado is not correct. am told it is "way off," though not sure exactly how off. I'd say offer has to be higher and almost surely begins with a 2.
— Jon Heyman (@JonHeyman) January 16, 2019
January 16, 2019 at 6:57 pm #80080The agent fires back at the rumor mill…
(I included the Spanish tweet just for Pugs.)
Dan Lozano luce molesto. De hecho, si yo fuera el agente de Machado y entrando casi a enero 17 no tengo al menos 10 ofertas (de entre el salario mínimo y $500 millones) yo también estaría molesto. Esto fue lo que dijo el agente 👇🏽 pic.twitter.com/IywEUBdYB7
— Enrique Rojas/ESPN (@Enrique_Rojas1) January 17, 2019
January 16, 2019 at 8:01 pm #80109Well, I’m onboard with the minimum salary offer. Might even go 10+ years at that AAV 🙂
January 16, 2019 at 8:58 pm #80121NJ315
ParticipantThe Spanish comment is right on point.
January 17, 2019 at 12:19 am #80126In times like this I wonder if Lozano tries to persuade owners and GMs with prostitutes or has them duke it out for his client.
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