St. Louis 2026 Game #25 thread – Friday, April 24 vs. Seattle Mariners

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Viewing 20 posts - 76 through 95 (of 95 total)
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  • #305775
    1toughdominican
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    Nice way to begin the home half of the 8th. Do you flash a sign for a baserunning play?

    #305776
    1toughdominican
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    He missed that third strike by plenty.

    #305777
    blingboy
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    need a tater here in the 9th

    #305778
    1toughdominican
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    Church with the base hit to extend it to Urias.

    #305779
    1toughdominican
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    Had a chance in the 8th, but the GIDP snuffed it out. Easy to second guess, but probably should have put on some sort of baserunning play with runners at 1B and 2B and 0 outs.

    #305780
    Ratsbuddy
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    The Reds were down to their last strike in the bottom of the 9th against Detroit. Steer singles and Lowe homers. 9-8 Reds your unhappy final.

    Cubs down to the Doyers. 4-0 in the 5th.

    #305784
    ZTR
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    Walker seems to be coming back to earth in a hurry.

    He adjusted and now the league is adjusting

    Can he adjust to the adjustments??

    We shall see.

    #305788
    Brian Walton
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    #305791
    Gagliano
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    Winn has sure come on. He, Burly, and Herrera are all at wRC+ of 120 or 121. Church might be righting the ship? 9 of his last 24, 3 walks, 6 K’s. Graceffo’s only given up 5 hits in 13.2 ip this year. Soriano has only given up 4 in 10.1. Too many walks, but perhaps they can be the folks who supplement O’Brien and Romero. Pallante looked different to me last night with the K pitches. Perhaps Dobbins flips with Leahy and the rotation is solid. There are some encouraging signs they could make the season interesting, especially if Noot really does come back in a month and looks like the good Noot.

    But watching to see how quickly Walker can get back on track does seem the key for whether they have a centerpiece hitter.

    Edit: If the bench right now is Pozo, Urias, Fermin, and Saggese, they are a combined -0.6 fWAR, with none in positive territory. Oof.

    #305792
    blingboy
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    I think it takes pitchers a little while to get dialed in. Walker hasn’t hit a homer since the 13th, which tells me he isn’t seeing meatballs like he probably was the first couple weeks of the season. Maybe that’s why he is chasing more. If he can stay off the faders that drift outside, the more closed stance should help with coverage of the outer half, but only if he lets it get deep so he doesn’t get it off the end of the bat. He was doing that earlier. I’m not sure if he was delaying his swing decision or if he was able to trail the bat head, but either approach would work to let the ball come and get the sweet spot on it. It has to be tough trying to develop those bat control skills at the MLB level when he came up with a repeatable swing biometrically optimized to blast meatballs. I have to admit being impressed with his effort to get better both at the plate and in the field. He would have benefitted from a different experience and handling coming up.

    #305793
    bicyclemike
    Moderator

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    Tough to lose those one-run games. Yeah, Walker is back to struggling, biting on the low and outside pitch too often and not squaring up pitches in the zone.

    Cubs are on a roll and look to be the early division favorites. Pirates and Reds are improved. Tough division.

    #305795
    blingboy
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    To me, JJ is looking more like a potential solid performer and less like a potential standout. Obviously, its early and no telling how his career will go. But for now, his batting line is steadily settling from the lofty start and he is less of a dynamic presence leading off than it looked like he would be. For now.

    #305796
    Brian Walton
    Keymaster

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    No idea how you define “dynamic presence”, but I looked at the data. Wetherholt is getting on base at a higher rate lately in his whopping 25 career games played.

    As far as his batting line supposedly “steadily settling”, if you’d asserted that a week or 10 days ago, the data would have supported you. That is no longer the case, however.

    Here is his season to date line at three consistent points, after each third of his games:

    Through 8 games: .276/.371/.379/.751
    Through 16 games: .213/.329/.279/.607
    Through 25 games (current): .220/.360/.341/.700

    Now, let’s look at these three blocks of games on their own:

    Games 1-8: .276/.371/.379/.751
    Games 9-16: .156/.289/.188/.477
    Games 17-25: .233/.415/.467/.833

    Yes, he slumped badly in his middle week-plus of his three-week-plus career. But that is old news.

    Unless one is fixated on BA instead of OBP, despite the latter being his primary job, he is clearly improving. And that doesn’t include his higher slugging and OPS, as well.

    #305798
    Brian Walton
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    Among all qualified MLB leadoff hitters, Wetherholt is currently fourth in OBP, just ahead of Shohei Ohtani.

    What were your expectations for his first 25 career games?

    #305799
    blingboy
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    I agree OBP is the most important for JJ. I don’t think he will keep it .140 above his BA for long though. I also thought he would run more.

    I do notice that his BABip is quite low, well below league average. Not sure if it is bad luck or weak contact. Another thing to note is his OBP exceeds his SLG. If that persists, I expect the org to try fixing it, with uncertain results. I recognize that the two homer game vs Cleveland on the 14th upped his SLG, but besides that he has had two extra base hits all month and his SLG is settling.

    Its early, like I said, I am just noting what it looks like to me as of now. I feel like there is a little more cause for concern than reason for optimism.

    #305801
    Brian Walton
    Keymaster

    Paid - Annual

    Excluding good games to support one’s case is weak sauce, especially when he only has 25 games played in total. Shall we exclude one bad game for each good one?

    Many folks might think an unusually low BABIP could right itself over time with a higher BA. Unless you are reaching for negatives, of course. His BABIP in the minors was consistently above .330. That it is only .254 now suggests improvement is coming.

    Last year, he stole one base about every five games. This year, he is stealing one every six games. Not much difference. And it is only normal he could be more careful early while learning a whole new set of pitchers at a higher level.

    And expecting the organization will screw him up in the future is grasping for straws, IMO.

    I think your initial expectations are too high, so we will have to agree to disagree. In my view, and the data supports it, he is doing ok so far and is trending up again. What might or might not happen later is anyone’s guess.

    #305806
    blingboy
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    Who should I criticize next?

    #305807
    KeepComingBack
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    Who should I criticize next?

    You fill an important role Bling. Just keep doing you

    #305809
    blingboy
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    My boy JJ is tearing it up today.

    #305817
    KeepComingBack
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    My boy JJ is tearing it up today.

    This is why we love you

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