2023 Arizona Fall League

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Viewing 25 posts - 101 through 125 (of 141 total)
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  • #237048
    Bob Reed
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    Free

    “Well, the other side of the coin is that Winn’s OPS over 500 plate appearances at Triple-A was .833.”

    And moreover, that solid .833 OPS in AAA was achieved despite the fact that Masyn (1)just turned 21 during Spring Training, and (2)got off to an absolutely atrocious start in Memphis. Specifically, as of 4/23 he was batting .202/.260/.292 with a rickety 5/22 walk/strikeout tally.

    But then, from April 25 to his MLB promotion, Winn fairly crushed the ball to the tune of .309/.385/.520 with a more than acceptable 39/61 BB/K ratio across 403 plate appearances. In other words, after a very brief period of adjustment he was an excellent Triple-A batter over a large sample size. At 21. He’s gonna hit, guys. Probably soon.

    And I agree wholeheartedly with those who would like Tommy Edman, our Gold Glove middle infielder, to remain a middle infielder. He doesn’t have the arm for outfield play, and frankly lacks the bat as well — at least from the left side of the plate.

    Winn & Edman could be a dynamite defensive middle infield for the next few years. I’d sure love to see it.

    #237051
    1toughdominican
    Participant

    Free

    Yeah, he did a nice job out there last season, but for reasons that you mention, I just don’t think the Cardinals can win anything with him consistently situated in CF. He’s a MI’er. For some odd reason I believe in placing a mitt where it belongs…

    #237054
    blingboy
    Participant

    Paid - Annual

    Brian, Kiermaier is not illustrative of the point at all. He had four very solid offensive seasons before the downturn which you highlight. The point I made above is that a player like Ozzie would probably not last long enough in MB today to eventually get it together offensively.

    K Kliermaier first 4 seasons OPS+: 117, 99, 104, 113.
    Ozzie Smith first 4 seasons OPS+: 82, 48, 71, 62.

    Again, I don’t think Winn, over a full season, will put up an OPS+ 29 like he did in 2023, but he could double that and the offense would still be dragging an anchor all year. The point is not that the 21 year old Winn will not get better, it is more that he will need to get better enough, fast enough.

    Remember Brendan Ryan? Top glove man at short, but never could hit enough. As soon he started making arb money he was offed. These days, I doubt a player would even hang around that long.

    #237055
    jj-cf-stl
    Participant

    SS Volpe just hit .209 over 601 PA’s, at age 22. Just won a GG. Just put up 3.3 bWAR. That’s the flight path for Winn.

    #237057
    Brian Walton
    Keymaster

    Paid - Annual

    bb said:

    The point is not that the 21 year old Winn will not get better, it is more that he will need to get better enough, fast enough.

    If that is the point, there should be little to no worry. Winn has three option years remaining, giving them until at least spring 2027 before any tough decisions would have to be made (not that I believe that much time will be necessary).

    I do agree with those who think the Cardinals are exposed at backup SS, especially if Edman is destined to be the CF. They have a boatload of second basemen (and keep adding more) but no good SS options beyond Winn and Edman. I’d rather see Edman focus on one position, hoping it might help his offense, too.

    I might be coming around to your view, bling, that Gorman could be the least painful trade chip to get a decent pitcher.

    #237060
    Brian Walton
    Keymaster

    Paid - Annual

    #237061
    blingboy
    Participant

    Paid - Annual

    I might be coming around to your view, bling, that Gorman could be the least painful trade chip to get a decent pitcher.

    I would rather lose Arenado than Gorman. Use that payroll money to get a pitcher. Mo needs to looking out the windshield not in the rearview mirror.

    #237062
    jj-cf-stl
    Participant

    Bill already has Arenado’s red jacket sized.

    #237063
    jj-cf-stl
    Participant

    Remember how Gorman finished his minors career? He hasn’t done that at mlb yet. Not like that. I hope he’s a Cardinal then.

    #237066
    blingboy
    Participant

    Paid - Annual

    Arenadp, 33, 109 OPS+, $30 Million
    Gorman, 23, 117 OPS+, $0.8 Million.

    Who do we want?

    #237068
    jj-cf-stl
    Participant

    Who does legacy Bill want?

    #237070
    Brian Walton
    Keymaster

    Paid - Annual

    I agree with jj. What we might want personally is interesting, but what the Cardinals want to do is all that really matters.

    As recently as this week, Mo was asked if he could envision a scenario this winter in which they couldn’t get the pitchers they wanted and would pivot to a plan to trade veteran stars. He said that is not on their radar (or similar words).

    Despite that, I fully expect Arenado trade “rumors” to pop up regularly, as they did last winter. Good message board and social media fodder, but personally, I’d rather talk about things that have more than 1% odds of actually happening.

    Regarding trading Gorman, you have to give quality to get quality. It would be great if they could turn three marginal guys into one decent starting pitcher, but that is not realistic.

    #237071
    blingboy
    Participant

    Paid - Annual

    I’d rather talk about things that have more than 1% odds of actually happening.

    That will be a pretty depressing discussion, especially given mo’s recent statements.

    #237072
    jj-cf-stl
    Participant

    13 mlb players had a higher HR%, with at least as many as Gormans 464 PA’s. How many teams have that at 2B?

    #237073
    blingboy
    Participant

    Paid - Annual

    Leveraging strength to address weakness is the obvious path out of this mess. But I agree it will be the path not taken.

    #237075
    stlcard25
    Participant

    For the record, I’m pro trading Arenado too if it keeps Gorman at his best position. At the same time, the ticket sales would surely flag if we are trading one of our two most marketable players…so it won’t happen.

    #237076
    blingboy
    Participant

    Paid - Annual

    For the record, I’m pro trading Arenado too if it keeps Gorman

    Keeps Gorman and pays for nearly any starter you can name.

    #237077
    gscottar
    Participant

    Paid - Annual

    My goodness who are trying to trade for, Gerrit Cole? I don’t think Gorman would have to be traded to get a decent pitcher. Shane Bieber comes to mind. No way we would have to give up Gorman to get him and there are probably others.

    #237079
    blingboy
    Participant

    Paid - Annual

    Here is a clip on Bieber I took note of back when he was on the 60IL. from CBS sports.

    “Bieber’s first 19 starts this season saw him pitch to a 3.77 ERA (109 ERA+) and a 2.88 strikeout-to-walk ratio. While those are solid outputs, they’re well below his usual level of performance. Indeed, that’s his worst ERA+ since his rookie season in 2018, and by far the lowest strikeout-to-walk ratio he’s posted in the majors. As well, Bieber since last season has shown diminished velocity, and in 2023 his ability to get swings and misses has notably declined. All of that could be partly due to the underlying elbow issue.”

    #237081
    gscottar
    Participant

    Paid - Annual

    Yes I am aware of Bieber’s 2023, which is why his trade value is diminished and wouldn’t require Gorman. I wouldn’t project him to be our number one but would be a solid number 2 or 3 starter.

    #237088
    blingboy
    Participant

    Paid - Annual

    Or he could struggle with “underlying elbow issues” and go under the knife. Bargains aren’t always bargains.

    #237089
    gscottar
    Participant

    Paid - Annual

    As long as we don’t have the same medical staff who approved the Ozuna trade we should be ok.

    #237091
    blingboy
    Participant

    Paid - Annual

    I guess so. I just don’t want a reverse Brock for Broglio.

    #237094
    mudville
    Participant

    Paid - Annual

    Gorman is still only 23 hears old… turns 24 on May 10. Given his improvement after 2022 offseason work, I think it would be a mistake to trade Gorman.

    Trading Edman would change the whole way the Cardinals are managed. He has been used as a super-utility guy here in St. Louis. IMO, he is not a utility guy or a backup, he is a starting position player who doesn’t have a clear position to play in St. Louis. It might be better for Edman longterm if he goes to another ballclub. It might be better for the Cardinals, also, if they can get a frontline starter for him in a trade.

    Also, Cesar Prieto and Thomas Saggese can both play shortstop, and there are 14 shortstops entering free agency this offseason, including Paulie.

    #237096
    blingboy
    Participant

    Paid - Annual

    It will be interesting to see what happens with the outfield. Noot should and will be out there somewhere. Walker will be out there in RF, with us hoping for the best. All else remains to be seen.

Viewing 25 posts - 101 through 125 (of 141 total)
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