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Over/under win totals for NL Central teams from @betonline_ag. #stlcards 88 1/2, #Cubs 87 1/2, #Brewers 86 1/2, #Reds 79 1/2, #Pirates 77 1/2.
— Brian Walton (@B_Walton) March 27, 2019
Among the ten bold predictions from The Athletic’s Eno Sarris.
“Marcell Ozuna will lead the Cardinals to the NL Central title.”
Jim Bowden picks the Cards third in the division and missing the playoffs.
According to new MLB win totals from @betonline_ag, #stlcards have dropped from 88-1/2 wins pre-season to 81-1/2 now. That -7 wins is tied with PHI for 5th biggest decline after DET (-10), KC (-9), NYM and TOR (-8 each). Cubs now at 86-1/2 wins, MIL at 82-1/2, Reds, Bucs 77-1/2.
— Brian Walton (@B_Walton) July 9, 2019
I think the Cardinals will be over that .500 projection due to having more key players under-performing to date than over-performing.
There is always the unknown regarding how the breaks will go, which could impact a win or two one way or the other.
But overall I think we will get to the high 80s in wins. And until we lose number 70, I am still rooting for a 93-win season.
An oddsmaker's (@betonline_ag) view of the last month to win the NL. Dodgers stay at 5/4 as favorite. Braves lengthen slightly to 5/1. Cubs flat at 7/1. #stlcards odds SHORTEN from 12/1 to 8/1. Nats also shorten from 14/1 to 10/1. Brewers, Phils change opposite Nats. Interesting.
— Brian Walton (@B_Walton) August 2, 2019
Nats have really surprised me. I thought they were dead in the water and Davy Martinez wouldn’t survive the season. Maybe they are finally playing up to their potential. If they only had a better bullpen.
The #stlcards are 4/1 odds to win the NL and 10/1 to win World Series, per new odds from @betonline_ag. Braves odds are identical to Cards with Dodgers NL favorites.
— Brian Walton (@B_Walton) September 30, 2019
From ESPN
St. Louis Cardinals
91-71 | NL Central champs | 5% World Series odds
Odds by round
NLDS: 43% vs. Braves
NLCS: 32% vs. Dodgers, 58% vs. Brewers, 39% vs. Nationals
World Series: 41% vs. Yankees, 26% vs. Astros. 47% vs. Twins, 50% vs. A’s, 50% vs. Rays
Fivethirtyeight.com has the Cards’ odds of:
Reaching NLCS 48%
Reaching WS 17%
Winning WS 6% (same as Baseball Prospectus)A grassroots projection on “STRAW POLL” = ATL 52% STL 48% …..3835 votes
World Series odds by team
(Odds from Bradford Doolittle’s MLB projection system)
Houston Astros 33%
Los Angeles Dodgers 26%
New York Yankees 11%
Washington Nationals 9%
Minnesota Twins 7%
St. Louis Cardinals 5%
Atlanta Braves 3%
Oakland Athletics 3%
Tampa Bay Rays 2%
Milwaukee Brewers 1%
ESPN.com expert October rankings
1. Astros (No. 1 lineup | No. 1 pitching staff)
2. Dodgers (No. 3 lineup | No. 2 pitching)
3. Yankees (No. 2 lineup | No. 5 pitching)
4. Twins (No. 4 lineup | No. 7 pitching)
5. Nationals (No. 6 lineup | No. 4 pitching)
6. Braves (No. 5 lineup | No. 9 pitching)
7. A’s (No. 7 lineup | No.8 pitching)
8. Rays (No. 9 lineup | No. 3 pitching)
9. Cardinals (No. 10 lineup | No. 6 pitching)
10. Brewers (No. 8 lineup | No. 10 pitching)
GameCard asked:
How many wins did they (Fangraphs) predict the Cardinals to win last year prior to the season?
The answer should be on this thread. (Also, one should understand that the process to develop player stat projections and team win projections are not always the same. Further, different sites may host multiple different projection systems. For example, Fangraphs posts ZIPS, Steamer and others.)
Anyway, the ZIPS answer to your question is 86 wins.
https://blogs.fangraphs.com/the-super-duper-official-final-preseason-2019-zips-projected-standings/
I see where you are coming from, but the regular season is still three months away.
There is also a separate 2020 Projections thread here for those looking ahead.
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