2019 Projections thread

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This topic contains 62 replies, has 12 voices, and was last updated by Avatar 14NyquisT 2 weeks, 5 days ago.

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  • #84773
    Brian Walton
    Brian Walton
    Keymaster

    Paid - Annual

    #84790
    Brian Walton
    Brian Walton
    Keymaster

    Paid - Annual

    Among the ten bold predictions from The Athletic’s Eno Sarris.

    “Marcell Ozuna will lead the Cardinals to the NL Central title.”

    https://theathletic.com/887237/2019/03/27/sarris-going-out-on-a-limb-with-10-bold-predictions-for-the-2019-season/

    #84823
    Brian Walton
    Brian Walton
    Keymaster

    Paid - Annual

    Jim Bowden picks the Cards third in the division and missing the playoffs.

    https://theathletic.com/889204/2019/03/27/bowden-the-2019-national-league-season-preview-and-predictions/

    #97408
    Brian Walton
    Brian Walton
    Keymaster

    Paid - Annual

    #97469
    bicyclemike
    bicyclemike
    Moderator

    Paid - Annual

    I think the Cardinals will be over that .500 projection due to having more key players under-performing to date than over-performing.

    There is always the unknown regarding how the breaks will go, which could impact a win or two one way or the other.

    But overall I think we will get to the high 80s in wins. And until we lose number 70, I am still rooting for a 93-win season.

    #100652
    Brian Walton
    Brian Walton
    Keymaster

    Paid - Annual

    #100662
    Avatar
    gscottar
    Participant

    Paid - Annual

    Nats have really surprised me. I thought they were dead in the water and Davy Martinez wouldn’t survive the season. Maybe they are finally playing up to their potential. If they only had a better bullpen.

    #100669
    Brian Walton
    Brian Walton
    Keymaster

    Paid - Annual

    The Nats added three relievers at the deadline for that very reason.

    #109493
    Brian Walton
    Brian Walton
    Keymaster

    Paid - Annual

    #109494
    Avatar
    14NyquisT
    Moderator

    Paid - Annual

    From ESPN

    St. Louis Cardinals

    91-71 | NL Central champs | 5% World Series odds

    Odds by round

    NLDS: 43% vs. Braves

    NLCS: 32% vs. Dodgers, 58% vs. Brewers, 39% vs. Nationals

    World Series: 41% vs. Yankees, 26% vs. Astros. 47% vs. Twins, 50% vs. A’s, 50% vs. Rays

    #109495
    Brian Walton
    Brian Walton
    Keymaster

    Paid - Annual

    Fivethirtyeight.com has the Cards’ odds of:

    Reaching NLCS 48%
    Reaching WS 17%
    Winning WS 6% (same as Baseball Prospectus)

    https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2019-mlb-predictions/

    #109501
    Avatar
    14NyquisT
    Moderator

    Paid - Annual

    A grassroots projection on “STRAW POLL” = ATL 52% STL 48% …..3835 votes

    https://www.strawpoll.me/18715706

    • This reply was modified 2 weeks, 5 days ago by Avatar 14NyquisT.
    • This reply was modified 2 weeks, 5 days ago by Avatar 14NyquisT.
    #109507
    Avatar
    14NyquisT
    Moderator

    Paid - Annual

    World Series odds by team

    (Odds from Bradford Doolittle’s MLB projection system)

    Houston Astros 33%

    Los Angeles Dodgers 26%

    New York Yankees 11%

    Washington Nationals 9%

    Minnesota Twins 7%

    St. Louis Cardinals 5%

    Atlanta Braves 3%

    Oakland Athletics 3%

    Tampa Bay Rays 2%

    Milwaukee Brewers 1%

    ESPN.com expert October rankings

    1. Astros (No. 1 lineup | No. 1 pitching staff)

    2. Dodgers (No. 3 lineup | No. 2 pitching)

    3. Yankees (No. 2 lineup | No. 5 pitching)

    4. Twins (No. 4 lineup | No. 7 pitching)

    5. Nationals (No. 6 lineup | No. 4 pitching)

    6. Braves (No. 5 lineup | No. 9 pitching)

    7. A’s (No. 7 lineup | No.8 pitching)

    8. Rays (No. 9 lineup | No. 3 pitching)

    9. Cardinals (No. 10 lineup | No. 6 pitching)

    10. Brewers (No. 8 lineup | No. 10 pitching)

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