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Fivethirtyeight.com, known for political and sports predictions, has the Cards winning the division at 86.
https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/did-the-cubs-miss-their-chance-to-be-a-dynasty/
New odds courtesy of BetOnline (www.BetOnline.ag, Twitter: @betonline_ag).
Pennant Odds
Odds to Win American League
Boston Red Sox 3/1
New York Yankees 3/1
Houston Astros 4/1
Cleveland Indians 8/1
Oakland Athletics 12/1
Chicago White Sox 16/1
Los Angeles Angels 16/1
Tampa Bay Rays 16/1
Minnesota Twins 25/1
Seattle Mariners 25/1
Toronto Blue Jays 50/1
Kansas City Royals 80/1
Texas Rangers 80/1
Detroit Tigers 125/1
Baltimore Orioles 250/1Odds to Win National League
Los Angeles Dodgers 4/1
Philadelphia Phillies 7/1
St. Louis Cardinals 7/1
Chicago Cubs 7/1
Atlanta Braves 8/1
Milwaukee Brewers 8/1
Washington Nationals 8/1
New York Mets 10/1
Colorado Rockies 14/1
Cincinnati Reds 25/1
Arizona Diamondbacks 40/1
Pittsburgh Pirates 40/1
San Diego Padres 40/1
San Francisco Giants 40/1
Miami Marlins 125/1Divisional Odds
Odds to Win AL East
New York Yankees 7/5
Boston Red Sox 3/2
Tampa Bay Rays 5/1
Toronto Blue Jays 10/1
Baltimore Orioles 25/1Odds to Win AL Central
Cleveland Indians 4/7
Minnesota Twins 3/1
Chicago White Sox 8/1
Detroit Tigers 16/1
Kansas City Royals 16/1Odds to Win AL West
Houston Astros 1/4
Los Angeles Angels 11/2
Oakland Athletics 11/2
Seattle Mariners 20/1
Texas Rangers 25/1Odds to Win NL East
Philadelphia Phillies 5/2
Washington Nationals 5/2
Atlanta Braves 3/1
New York Mets 3/1
Miami Marlins 25/1Odds to Win NL Central
Chicago Cubs 9/4
St. Louis Cardinals 9/4
Milwaukee Brewers 3/1
Cincinnati Reds 7/1
Pittsburgh Pirates 7/1Odds to Win NL West
Los Angeles Dodgers 1/2
Colorado Rockies 11/2
Arizona Diamondbacks 8/1
San Diego Padres 8/1
San Francisco Giants 14/12.25-1 Scotty…..same as ours…..though the smart $ has to be on our Birds. The team that has me puzzled is Cincy. That team has the potential to win 88 games…..or lose 98.
Oh the pennant…….sorry, Scotty….I would put the odds at about 18-1 for the north siders appearing in the ’19 WS. I’d put us at 7-1.
Jim Bowden at The Athletic grades the NL Central teams’ off-season:
Cubs C-
Reds B
Brewers B-
Pirates D
Cards A-If only St. Louis had “gone for it”! 😉
https://theathletic.com/851424/2019/03/06/bowden-offseason-grades-for-the-nl-central/
I’m glad to see Jimmy B’s grade of A- although he trashed the Cardinals on the radio last Sunday for the Mikolas extension.
Let’s turn that A- into an A+ by signing Kimbrel. That would be the cherry on top for me although I know the chances of it happening are less than 5%.
As for the Cubs I understand why their offseason grade is low. They didn’t have the budget room for big moves and it is harder to improve on a 95 win team than it is a 88 win team.
Interesting to note that Bowden was NOT critical of the Mikolas contract extension in the article. In fact, he called it a “significant move”. Apparently, he feels strongly both ways… 😉
As far as projections go, how many players do you think will the Cards use in the OF this season? My guess would be 8. Too High? Remember we have a couple of DL candidates right off the bat and will go with 5 on the 25-man out of ST.
This is not a projection so much as a prediction but I’m sure many have their own thoughts.
I would take the over on 8!
Fowler
Martinez
O’Neill
Bader
Ozuna
Munoz
Robinson
Thomas
GarciaYou also could see someone acquired by trade or an infielder like Gyrko or Wong out there for a few innings.
Fangraphs playoff predictions have the Cards behind the Cubs and ahead of the rest of the division.
Odds to:
Make playoffs 44.4%
Make LDS 35.6%
Win LDS 16.8%
Win LCS 8.1%
Win WS 2.7%Odds courtesy of BetOnline (www.BetOnline.ag, Twitter: @betonline_ag):
Paul Goldschmidt – Total BA in the 2019 Regular Season
Over/Under .289Paul Goldschmidt – Total HR’s in the 2019 Regular Season
Over/Under 32.5Paul Goldschmidt – Total RBI’s in the 2019 Regular Season
Over/Under 100.5Paul Goldschmidt – Total Runs Scored in the 2019 Regular Season
Over/Under 102.5Marcell Ozuna – BA in the 2019 Regular Season
Over/Under .280Marcell Ozuna – Total HR’s in the 2019 Regular Season
Over/Under 27.5Marcell Ozuna – Total RBI’s in the 2019 Regular Season
Over/Under 97.5Matt Carpenter – BA in the 2019 Regular Season
Over/Under .250Matt Carpenter – Total HR’s in the 2019 Regular Season
Over/Under 26.5Matt Carpenter – Total RBI’s in the 2019 Regular Season
Over/Under 82.5Matt Carpenter – Total Runs Scored in the 2019 Regular Season
Over/Under 94.5Yadier Molina – BA in the 2019 Regular Season
Over/Under .270Yadier Molina – Total HR’s in the 2019 Regular Season
Over/Under 21.5Yadier Molina – Total RBI’s in the 2019 Regular Season
Over/Under 25.5Paul DeJong – Total HR’s in the 2019 Regular Season
Over/Under 76.5Paul DeJong – Total RBI’s in the 2019 Regular Season
Over/Under 21.5Carlos Martinez – Total Wins in the 2019 Regular Season
Over/Under 14.5Carlos Martinez – Total Strikeouts in the 2019 Regular Season
Over/Under 174.5Jack Flaherty – Total Wins in the 2019 Regular Season
Over/Under 11.5Jack Flaherty – Total Strikeouts in the 2019 Regular Season
Over/Under 200.5Miles Mikolas – Total Wins in the 2019 Regular Season
Over/Under 14.5Michael Wacha – Total Wins in the 2019 Regular Season
Over/Under 10.5Adam Wainwright – Total Wins in the 2019 Regular Season
Over/Under 12.5Jordan Hicks – Total Saves in the 2019 Regular Season
Over/Under 29.5I would take the over on most of the hitters’ stats except probably Yadi dingers and maybe RBI (not sure what it was supposed to be besides 25.5).
I’d take almost all the pitchers’ under except Flaherty wins.
CrAzY over/under totals! Yadi 25.5 RBI?$?$….bet the ranch on the over. DeJong 76.5 homers?$?$….love the guy, but Barry Bonds he’s not. DeJong 21.5 RBI?$?$……Dal Maxvill he’s not….give me the over.
I’d bet on Flahertys K’s being over, I think he pitches 180+ innings with 225-230 strikeouts. I think he will pitch deeper into games, and has always been durable in the minors.
Latest Bovada line. Do you take over or under on 88.5 wins?
Cardinals o/u win total is at 88.5
For them to make the playoffs:
Yes: -125
No: -105
— Charlie Marlow (@CharlieMarlow_) March 25, 2019
From VEB today.
2019 Cardinals Projections: Outfielders
Player……… G…… PA….. wRC……..HR
Harrison Bader. 140+… 500-699 80-89.. 10-19
Dexter Fowler.. 81-99.. 300-499 50-69 0-9
Jose Martinez.. 100-139 300-499 100+
Tyler O’Neill.. 100-139 300-499 100+… 20-24
Marcell Ozuna.. 100-139 500-699 80-89.. 25-29I love Tristan Cockcroft of ESPN and he is a good friend. However, I expect I will be pulling this out this fall to remind him how far off he was. I think he lost sight of the divisions. I am ok with the 78.5, but the bolded part is crazy talk.
The MLB bets we would make in 2019
Reds over 78.5 wins
The Reds were a bottom-half team in scoring runs and a bottom-third squad in preventing them last season. But the additions of Sonny Gray, Tanner Roark and Alex Wood should bring their pitching closer to the middle of the pack, while the offense should be improved with the acquisitions of Yasiel Puig and Matt Kemp as well as the expectation of a bounce-back year from Joey Votto, a full, healthy year from Jesse Winker and the promotion of prospect Nick Senzel. I would call the Reds one of the most improved teams of the offseason, and I think this is at worst a .500 squad. At best, it will sneak its way into the playoffs. — Tristan Cockcroft
https://www.espn.com/mlb/story/_/id/26272093/the-mlb-bets-make-2019
The #stlcards improved from 18/1 to 14/1 to win the World Series from the end of last season until now, according to @betonline_ag. Current 14/1 is same as Cubs, with Brewers at 16/1, Reds at 66/1 and Bucs at 80/1.
— Brian Walton (@B_Walton) March 27, 2019
To win the NL, #stlcards are 7/1, Cubs 8/1, Brewers 9/1. On top are Dodgers and Phillies, both at 9/2. For NL Central, Cards and Cubs both 2/1, Brewers at 12/5.
— Brian Walton (@B_Walton) March 27, 2019
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