Reply To: 2023 StL Game #53: Friday, May 26 at Cleveland

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jj-cf-stl
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WPA records the amount every PA changes the game, plus or minus, for both teams.

WPA is context dependent. It considers the score, the amount of outs remaining, etc; all the things we as fans consider.

On April 12th we hit 3 HR’s. O’Neill tied the game at 1-1 with a second inning HR for a +10% change in WPA.

In the 4th Arenado hit a 2run HR for +18% WPA, to go ahead 3-1.

By the top of the 8th it was tied 4-4. Gorman hits a 2run HR for +39% WPA.

3 different HR’s, but WPA values them differently due to the CONTEXT of the game. As BB would say, “when it matters”.

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