THIS IS FROM ESPN ON SOME VERY EARLY 2018 WIN PROJECTIONS. THE PROJECTED 89 WINS WOULD LEAVE US 8 OR 9 GAMES BEHIND THE CUBS BUT 20 GAMES ABOVE MILWAUKEE BASED ON THESE ESTIMATES. 65% WE’LL BE PLAYING NEXT OCTOBER.
St. Louis Cardinals
Pre-hot stove win projection: 88.8
Change in win projection from 2017 preseason: 5.8 (Rank: 7)
Regression looks like the Cardinals’ friend after a disappointing 2017 season. The upside of disappointment is that it can motivate you going forward. The Cardinals have been frequently mentioned as an aggressor in early hot stove activity, and an impact player tacked onto this baseline would put the Cardinals back near baseball’s elite tier.
I’d think that we’d need more than just one impact player to greatly change our fortunes…and the front office actually has to make the changes and make the trades to get better, not just fill spots on the roster…