Jose Abreu trade thread

Home The Cardinal Nation Forums Open Forum Jose Abreu trade thread

Viewing 22 posts - 1 through 22 (of 22 total)
  • Author
    Posts
  • #39169
    Brian Walton
    Keymaster

    Paid - Annual

    Nick Cafardo of the Boston Globe says the Cards and Red Sox are interested in trading for White Sox 1B Jose Abreu. Chicago reportedly wants “top prospects” in return.

    https://www.bostonglobe.com/sports/redsox/2017/12/09/red-sox-need-acquire-power-bat-and-soon/PKAyiTnNZT3p49hMlcGwVN/story.html

    Who said Stanton was the only big bat on the market? 😉

    #39177
    LoganAlpha30X7
    Participant

    Free

    Not sure that they’re on the same level but I guess it depends on the contract and who we’d have to trade and such…hopefully if we were to trade for him he wouldn’t be it…

    #39184
    Brian Walton
    Keymaster

    Paid - Annual

    Bob Nightengale explaining the price in this poker game would be high.

    Chicago #Whitesox say they would have to be overwhelmed by offer to trade Jose Abreu, who’s a powerful clubhouse influence. Unlikely to be traded

    https://twitter.com/BNightengale/status/939917008178696198

    #39186
    TexasCard
    Participant

    Free

    You can’t deal with that franchise and that’s why I’d dismiss this report. They are crazy what they ask for in trade.

    #39195
    thejager
    Participant

    Paid - Annual

    2 yrs of Abreu who has been very consistent is better use of prospects tha. Donaldson’s age and one year

    We have some highly regarded prospects who might not be our top prospects but might be considered high enough for the White Sox

    Alcantara plus Sierra plus tuivalala?

    #39198
    Brian Walton
    Keymaster

    Paid - Annual

    TC, not arguing, but also noting that Tampa Bay has a similar reputation. Interesting that the Abreu report came out of Boston, not Chicago. If I was running a team considering trading a player, I would always ensure there were at least two suitors and always make it clear the price will be high.

    #39201
    gscottar
    Participant

    Paid - Annual

    I would rather have Abreu than Ozuna. What would it would take to get Abreu?

    Gyorko, Grichuk, Kelly, and Hudson?

    #39202
    Cardinals2016
    Participant

    Free

    You start with the biggest upgrades first.

    What is the difference between Ozuna and Grichuk/Piscotty versus what’s the difference between Abreu and Carpenter?

    Ozuna makes a bigger impact on the team.

    #39203
    mudville
    Participant

    Paid - Annual

    Kelly, for sure. The White Sox wanted him last summer.

    #39204
    TexasCard
    Participant

    Free

    BW I agree with you and I like this player. I just don’t like the history of the White Sox organization on trades. Would love to have the player if the price is reasonable. It suspect it won’t be.

    #39206
    gscottar
    Participant

    Paid - Annual

    You start with the biggest upgrades first.

    What is the difference between Ozuna and Grichuk/Piscotty versus what’s the difference between Abreu and Carpenter?

    Ozuna makes a bigger impact on the team.

    I’m not sold on Ozuna. I think Abreu has a more sustained and proven track record.

    #39209
    Cardinals2016
    Participant

    Free

    Abreu is also older, costs more, and is at a position that doesn’t currently hurt us.

    Ozuna has hit 23 or more home runs the last three years and just won a gold glove. People weren’t sold on Ozuna last year, and all he did was have a career year.

    #39231
    gscottar
    Participant

    Paid - Annual

    Abreu makes a little more because he is a better player with a proven track record. The last four years:

    2014: Abreu 317 36 107
    Ozuna 269 23 85

    2015: Abreu 290 30 101
    Ozuna 259 10 44

    2016: Abreu 293 25 100
    Ozuna 266 23 76

    2017: Abreu 304 33 102
    Ozuna 312 37 124

    Abreu has been consistently good whereas 2017 looks to be an outlier for Ozuna. Abreu is obviously the better player.

    #39256
    Cardinals2016
    Participant

    Free

    Matt Carpenter 2017: bWAR = 2.9 fWAR = 2.9
    Jose Abreu bWAR = 4.7 fWAR = 4.1

    Randall Grichuk bWAR = 1.0 fWAR = 1.4
    Stephen Piscotty bWAR = 0.6 fWAR = 0.2
    Marcell Ozuna bWAR = 5.8 fWAR = 4.8

    Now, WHICH IS THE BIGGER UPGRADE? This is very simple math.

    #39258
    Brian Walton
    Keymaster

    Paid - Annual

    Do you really make player evaluations based on a single-season WAR view, especially when certain guys had career peaks and others had lows?

    #39314
    bicyclemike
    Moderator

    Paid - Annual

    Was thinking the same thing. Obviously the simple math works if those guys have the same production next year as this past year. But players can have huge production swings year-to-year, so you have to think more globally and try to diversify when cutting a deal. Out of those three Cardinals, Piscotty is likely better than he was in ’17. Ozuna had a career year, and has not been as good as he was in ’17.

    #39315
    Brianpnoonan
    Participant

    Free

    The answer to the question is of course “the better upgrade will not cost us carson kelly”

    #39316
    Brianpnoonan
    Participant

    Free

    ..also… If you deal carpenter for another player the abreu deal makes more sense.

    Getting caught up on “this deal isnt a huge upgrade in comparison to this deal” ignores that VEERY obvious fact.

    #39630
    DangerZone
    Participant

    Free

    Ozuna can also play an above average CF, LF, RF, and if needed could probably play 1B.

    By comparison Stick Abreu in CF and see how that goes.

    #39659
    PadsFS
    Participant

    I don’t want to sell low on Carpenter. I know some people aren’t happy with him, but I am ecstatic with his production. Leave well enough along at 1B. Martinez is a nice backup too.

    #39669
    PadsFS
    Participant

    More to this point above, the Cardinals had the fifth best production in all of baseball at 1B last year. Behind the Reds- Votto, Braves – Freeman/Adams, Diamondbacks – Goldschmidt, and Giants – Posey/Belt. Hosmer’s Royals were 7th and Abreu’s Sox were 8th.

    #39673
    Cardinals2016
    Participant

    Free

    Do you really make player evaluations based on a single-season WAR view, especially when certain guys had career peaks and others had lows?

    No, but I was the most vocal person about trading for Ozuna last year, because there were things that held him down the two previous years – like the public spat with Loria that got him sent down to AAA and the injuries to his wrist in 2016.

    Some people didn’t see the value in trading for Ozuna last year, and he goes out and hits 37 home runs and wins a gold glove while Fowler plays 118 games and gets moved out of center field because his defense is terrible.

Viewing 22 posts - 1 through 22 (of 22 total)
  • You must be logged in to reply to this topic.

First-hand news and commentary on the St. Louis Cardinalsâ„¢ and minor league system for over 25 years