- This topic has 977 replies, 28 voices, and was last updated 21 hours, 53 minutes ago by
.
-
Posts
-
The guy looking at them close that I am really moving up and higher than anyone else I have seen is Mason Molina. Last year I think I got overly excited about guys like Mautz and Henderson since they had sparking ERAs, but in hindsight the underlying data wasn’t as exciting.
Molina looks a lot more likely to me to be able to make that transition to the bigs. He is consistently putting up swinging strike rates of over 15% in his seasons so far which is 2-3% higher than Henderson or Mautz every did at their best of any level. He has improved his first strike % a good amount this year and his walk rate has been an acceptable amount. A pitchers first strike % is a very strong indicator of their future BB%.
a ball hit the exact same as last year would travel 8-10% further. For guys like Honeyman, that makes me question even his modest 8 HR total more
I guess it would be interesting to know if HR totals are running ahead of last year in the affected leagues. I assume exit velocities would be higher as well.
Exit velocities are the same. For the 8-10% increase in distance, the comparison point was a ball hit with the same angle and exit velocity. But HR totals are up. Linking to BA as they did the research earlier this year.
- You must be logged in to reply to this topic.