Supposedly the Yankees want to stay under the luxury tax this year. We shall see.
The Dodgers may or may not stay under. I think they would like to stay under but they know they have $90M coming off the books after 2021 so they could go over the tax threshold this season and easily dip back under in 2022.
When the Yankees resign LeMahieu and the Dodgers either resign Turner or acquire Arenado, the story will change in a hurry. I don’t believe for a second that either is done for the offseason.
I don’t think either is done either. The Yankees are currently $26M under the luxury tax and the Dodgers are $21M under so they both still have a little room to maneuver. I agree that LeMahieu will go back to the Yankees. I don’t know if the Dodgers will trade for Arenado but I could see them either bringing Turner back or trading for Kris Bryant. And they need another bullpen piece. Kenley Jansen isn’t that reliable any longer.
Hand is someone I would be very wary of. His velocity has dropped significantly (about 2 mph since 2018), and while he was still effective in 2020, there’s a solid chance he goes Andrew Miller or even Brett Cecil in the next couple of years.