I saw this in an Anthony Castrovince article on the MLB site.
“there is some healthy skepticism attached to putting Gray, Lance Lynn and Kyle Gibson in front of an iffy defense”.
Ouch. I decided to look at how much swing and miss we might expect in 2024 by checking what kind on K/9s our presumed rotation put up in 2023.
Lynn 9.4
Gray 9.0
Matz 8.4
Gibson 7.4
Mikolas 6.1
Well, lets see how many hits per 9 IP
Gray 7.6
Lynn 9.3
Matz 9.3
Gibson 9.3
Mikolas 10.1
WHIP
Gray 1.147
Mikolas 1.316
Gibson 1.318
Matz 1.333
Lynn 1.394
That strikes me as a pretty solid but unspectacular 5, with a #1 and everybody else. I would agree that the defense behind them will make a differece, positive or negative.