All posts by Brian Walton

Brian Walton runs The Cardinal Nation, covering the St. Louis Cardinals and minor league system.

The Cardinal Nation Blog top stories of 2009 #1: The big trades

The addition of Mark DeRosa, then Matt Holliday defined the 2009 St. Louis Cardinals season.

    Seeing a very legitimate chance of going deep into the playoffs and perhaps taking their second World Series in four years, the St. Louis Cardinals took a major risk on July 24 by trading for outfielder Matt Holliday. One month earlier, the club had added Mark DeRosa, who offered the promise of stability at third base and some immediate long ball pop.

    Matt Holliday and Mark DeRosa (AP Photo/Jeff Roberson)In acquiring the two veterans, both impending free agents, the organization paid a high price, giving up in return five players taken in the first two rounds of the 2006 through 2008 drafts. All were considered top organizational prospects, with three having made their MLB debuts, one in Triple-A and the other in Double-A at the time.

    They included relievers Chris Perez and Jess Todd, sent to Cleveland for DeRosa plus starting pitcher Clayton Mortensen, outfielder Shane Peterson and the Cardinals’ first-round pick in 2008, third baseman Brett Wallace, who went to Oakland in return for Holliday.

    The return was immediate and noticeable.

    When the former Cubs fan favorite DeRosa was added on June 27, the Cardinals had lost their first place status and were trending south. Though the third baseman contributed, he hit the disabled list by July 1 due to a wrist injury that required post-season surgery. Despite slamming eight home runs in his first 22 games with the club, DeRosa skidded to a .228 average by season’s end.

    By the time the Holliday deal was announced on July 24, the team had a precarious lead of just 1 ½ games. The Cards would go on to win 39 and lose 25 over the remainder of the regular season for a post-Holliday winning percentage of .609. They were the first to clinch and their final divisional cushion was a comfortable 7 ½ games after having reached a high-water mark of 11 1/2 games out front in early September.

    Holliday offered what the Cardinals had been lacking and what caused manager Tony La Russa to campaign for his addition for several years, a legitimate clean-up hitter behind Albert Pujols.

    Pujols’ rate of intentional walks had been an increasing problem as more and more National League managers decided to avoid giving Pujols a chance to beat them. That changed once Holliday arrived. The rate of Pujols’ intentional walks was more than cut in half once Holliday was batting behind him.

    Pujols could not be pitched around as Holliday was on fire, batting .357 with 13 home runs and 57 RBI in just 63 games with St. Louis. Holliday’s total of 12 game-winning RBI was second-highest on the team. Pujols had 19, but it took him all season to accumulate them. At his new home, Busch Stadium, Holliday was even better, batting .385 (50-for-130) with nine home runs and 35 RBI in 34 games.

    The success did not continue in the post-season, however. With Los Angeles manager Joe Torre avoiding Pujols, Holliday didn’t make the Dodgers pay. He batted just 2-for-12 (.167) in the three NLDS defeats, and did not immediately atone for his game 2 fielding error that turned a sure win into a loss. In the season-ending game 3 at home, Holliday went 0-for-4 with three left on base.

    On the other hand, DeRosa, still dealing with the wrist problem, went 5-for-13 (.385) against the Dodgers, second to Colby Rasmus among the Cardinals starters.

    Following the season, St. Louis offered both free agents arbitration, but they declined as expected. The Cardinals never seemed serious about re-signing DeRosa, instead likely using him as part of a fallback plan had they been unable to lure Holliday back.

    Perhaps seeing the writing on the wall, DeRosa signed a two-year contract with San Francisco prior to Holliday’s decision to remain a Cardinal for the next seven or eight years.

    The Cardinals receive a compensatory pick in the 2010 draft for DeRosa’s departure, softening a bit of the blow of having yielded Perez and Todd. Yet the aggregate impact of the trades clearly weakened the Cardinals farm system with several years likely required to reload.

    The acts of the trades as well as the subsequent financial commitment made to Holliday should have settled the lingering questions of some over Cardinals ownership’s commitment to win.

    All in all, in my view, these bold trades and their subplots became the top story across the Cardinal Nation in 2009.

    Next up: A look back at how my prediction from 12 months ago of the top five Cardinals stories of 2009 came to pass, followed by my look ahead to the top five Cardinals stories of 2010.

    Link to The Cardinal Nation Blog’s top 20 stories of the year countdown

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    Counting down The Cardinal Nation Blog’s top 20 stories of 2009

    Cards celebrate 2009 NL Central title (AP photo)It is once again time for my view of the top 20 stores across the St. Louis Cardinals Nation during this past year. The countdown begins with story number 20 and will continue until number one.

    I will then wrap up the series with another repeat feature, my prediction for the top five Cardinals stories of 2010.

    This placeholder post will carry the links to all 20 stories as well as last year’s articles.

    The Cardinal Nation Blog’s top 20 stories of 2009

    20. Wagner Mateo
    19. Minors coaching turnover
    18. Shelby Miller
    17. John Smoltz
    16. Change in centerfield
    15. Shortstop shuffle
    14. Whitey to the Hall
    13. Memphis and Springfield success
    12. Duncan’s disc, discord and departure
    11. Third base turmoil
    10. Kennedy’s final season Skip-ped
    9. The return of Big Mac
    8. Franklin the finisher
    7. Penny for Pineiro
    6. The successful odd couple – Mo and TLR
    5. The failed finish
    4. Holliday’s free agent romp
    3. Cy close and closer
    2. The repeat MVP
    1. The big trades

    Reviewing the predictions: TCN Blog’s top five Cardinals stories of 2009
    Projected top five St. Louis Cardinals stories of 2010

    From January 2009

    Top 20 Cardinals Stories of 2008: #16-20
    Top 20 Cardinals Stories of 2008: #11-15
    Top 20 Cardinals Stories of 2008: #6-10
    Top 20 Cardinals Stories of 2008: #1-5
    Projected top five St. Louis Cardinals stories of 2009

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    Descalso to get shot at third base?

    One report has St. Louis Cardinals second base prospect Daniel Descalso joining the spring third base scrum, but it seems an isolated thought.

    I have received several queries regarding a comment from the most recent installment of his always-informative Wednesday weekly chats in which Post-Dispatch writer Joe Strauss made this statement:

    “Descalso and David Freese are the only LISTED third baseman so far due in camp.” (caps are Strauss’ emphasis)

    If true, this position change would be new and significant news, as several minor league-knowledgeable readers noted.

    Daniel Descalso (Brian Walton photo)Spring training rosters released this week by the Cardinals only group Daniel Descalso with the infielders, without specifying position. The 23-year-old will be attending his first major league spring training camp after having been added to the 40-man roster in November.

    Our 10th-ranked Cardinals prospect at TheCardinalNation.com/Scout.com does have some experience at the position defensively, but it was three years ago. In his 2007 professional debut, Descalso spent about 2/3 of his time at third base (47 games) with the rest (23 games) at second between Batavia and Quad Cities. That is the last time he had meaningful time at the hot corner.

    The next season, he was almost exclusively a second baseman between Palm Beach and Springfield (110 games), with a bit of time at short (a dozen contests) and a pair of token appearances at third. In 2009, he was exclusively a second baseman with the exception of 21 at-bats taken while a fill-in at first base. Descalso also played second base with Team USA and in the Arizona Fall League after leaving the Memphis club.

    Daniel Descalso (Brian Walton photo)Offensively, Descalso would seem to be lacking in what is traditionally expected from a third baseman. Short of his very hot first half in 2009 with Springfield, he has not stood out with the bat. His career minor league OPS is .746 and he has just 18 home runs in 1277 plate appearances as a professional.

    In a Thursday off-line exchange, Strauss referenced an item at the ESPN site labeling Descalso at third base. I was unable to find that in a brief search, and in ESPN’s Keith Law’s top ten Cardinals rankings coincidentally released Thursday (ESPN Insider content), Descalso is listed at his normal second base position. It may not matter as Strauss acknowledges whatever he read may simply be someone’s projection.

    Actually, as Strauss pointed out, Descalso not being at third would only strengthen his central point. Other than Freese, there is not another player on the major-league roster or invitee list with third base as his primary position. Of course, there is still time to address it, though I doubt it will be with Descalso, who is realistically a year away. At this point, he is the longest of long shots to make the 2010 Cardinals out of spring training at any position. Just to make sure though, I have a query in to the Cardinals. If I receive an unexpected positive response, I will ensure I share it here.

    In-house reserve options in big league camp may include Joe Mather, Allen Craig, Ruben Gotay, Julio Lugo and Tyler Greene. Starting third baseman Brendan Ryan also has played some third base in the majors. None are likely considered third base starting material if Freese fails or is injured.

    Some combination of the above along with recently-signed minor league journeyman infielder Kevin Howard will likely man third base in Memphis in 2010. Howard did not score a big league camp invitation.

    Free agents still on the market capable of playing third each have questions. They include Joe Crede (health), Felipe Lopez (money) and Melvin Mora (age and money). Others without jobs for 2010 now listed as first basemen who played third in their younger, healthier days include Russell Branyan, Hank Blalock, Nomar Garciaparra and Greg Norton. Hardly an inspiring lot.

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    The Cardinal Nation Blog top stories of 2009 #2: The repeat MVP

    The continued greatness of Albert Pujols was not taken for granted as he earned his third NL Most Valuable Player Award in 2009.

      One year ago, Albert Pujols’ status for 2009 was under question. He had undergone nerve transposition surgery in his right, throwing elbow before officially collecting the 2008 National League Most Valuable Player Award, his second. By January, pain in the same elbow due to bone spurs led him to require a cortisone injection.

      Albert Pujols (AP Photo/Al Behrman)Just as always since Pujols’ 2001 arrival, the 2009 St. Louis Cardinals needed their first baseman to have a competitive club. He did not disappoint, getting out of the gate quickly, winning the April NL Player of the Month honors while leading the Cards to a 16-7 start.

      Pujols added one more chapter to his growing legend by breaking the letter “I” in the Big Mac Land sign in left field with a May 21 home run. He put together a record-breaking first half that culminated in him being voted to start in the All-Star Game at Busch Stadium.

      Pujols led the Cardinals offense as he has done for nine seasons. In 2009, he was first in the major leagues in runs (124), on-base percentage (.443) and slugging (.658).

      Though he endured a career-long home run drought that began on September 9, Pujols still hit a career-high 47 home runs, becoming just the second Cardinal (Mark McGwire, 1998-99) since 1940 (Johnny Mize) to lead Major League Baseball. His .327 average paced the Cardinals for a ninth consecutive season, something no other player has ever done.

      Perhaps most impressive was Pujols’ 2009 production with the bases loaded. He batted 10-for-17 (.588) in that situation, setting team single-season (five) and career (11) records for grand slams.

      Especially prior to the arrival of Matt Holliday, Pujols was pitched around often. Albert collected a team single-season record (44) intentional walks, surpassing his record 34 from the 2008 season. This also set the MLB record for right-handed hitters.

      Defensively, Pujols continued to stand out, breaking the MLB record with 185 assists as a first baseman, despite continued elbow soreness due to bone spurs that required post-season surgery. He secured the record on the final day of the season, surpassing Boston’s Bill Buckner (184 in 1985).

      On the bases, Pujols led the Cardinals club and all MLB first basemen with 16 stolen bases. He became just the second player in MLB history to have 100 RBI in each of first nine seasons, joining Hall of Famer Al Simmons (11).

      In fact, Pujols is the National League’s Triple Crown winner for the decade, leading in batting average (.334), home runs (366) and RBI (1,112) despite playing in just the final nine seasons.

      Concerns over Pujols’ elbow resurfaced on October 21, as he made the decision to undergo surgery to have the bone spurs removed from his right elbow. It was feared by some that Pujols might require immediate Tommy John elbow ligament replacement surgery, which would have knocked him out of action for at least the first half of the 2010 season.

      Instead, famed surgeon Dr. James Andrews of Birmingham, Alabama said Pujols’ ligament was in good enough shape that he would not need replacement surgery. This was great news, and contrary to previous belief that it would be required at some point to address the problem that first surfaced in 2003.

      His post-season awards were numerous, including Player of the Year Awards from Sporting News and Players Choice, The Hank Aaron Award, another Silver Slugger Award and of course, his second consecutive National League Most Valuable Player Award. All 32 voters placed Pujols first on their ballot. In the process, Pujols tied the great Stan Musial with his third MVP Award, most ever by a Cardinal.

      For a look at Pujols’ 2009 compared to the rest of his stellar career, check out my October article at The Cardinal Nation entitled, “Scout.com Cardinals 2009 Player of the Year”.

      Link to The Cardinal Nation Blog’s top 20 stories of the year countdown

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      Cardinals spring training rosters and numerology

      New and changed uniform numbers for players invited to St. Louis Cardinals major league spring training.

        On Tuesday, the St. Louis Cardinals announced that 17 non-roster invitees (NRIs) will be attending spring training camp along with the 38 players already on the 40-man roster. As always, there are two places to get the ongoing scoop on which players are where.

        The roster pages at The Cardinal Nation/Scout.com have a wealth of free information. For example, here is the St. Louis 2010 page. Generally, the players there are the ones that are either on major league deals or ended the 2009 season in the majors. The other spring invitees are sprinkled throughout the Memphis and Springfield roster pages.

        Be aware that Scout has not flipped the default view of rosters over to 2010, so you will have to use the dropdown box to get the current year. I have freshened the free player pages for 2010 for all 300 Cardinals players under contract. You’ll see all articles related to the players, links to stat sites, scouting video for many players, current bios and multiple years of season highlights and many photos. I continue to believe this is an underutilized resource as there is nowhere on the web where this much information about a player can be found in one place.

        The other ongoing source is the roster matrix, still maintained right here. At this point of the year, I am not worried terribly about minor league levels. I am more focused on keeping every name current. All of the 38 players on the 40-man roster are in bold and the 17 NRIs are in italics. The matrix will come in even handier once the season begins when you want to see the entire system in one place.

        For those interested, here are some spring training uniform numbers of interest for those attending the MLB camp. By default, many of them, especially the NRIs, will be on the move soon, so most of their player pages have not been changed to reflect these transient numbers:

        40-man roster (where there are high numbers and/or changes)

        54 Jaime Garcia
        65 Ben Jukich
        71 Tyler Norrick
        75 Adam Ottavino
        33 Brad Penny
        73 Francisco Samuel
        62 P.J. Walters
        67 Bryan Anderson
        83 Mark Hamilton
        66 Allen Craig
        7 Matt Holliday
        68 Jon Jay
        84 Daryl Jones
        22 Joe Mather
        64 Shane Robinson
        34 Nick Stavinoha

        NRIs

        48 Rich Hill
        70 Lance Lynn
        76 Evan MacLane
        77 Pete Parise
        78 Oneli Perez
        72 Fernando Salas
        79 Eduardo Sanchez
        99 Charlie Zink
        80 Tony Cruz
        81 Charles Cutler
        82 Steven Hill
        86 Robert Stock
        87 Daniel Descalso
        3 Ruben Gotay
        88 Pete Kozma
        89 Donovan Solano
        74 Tyler Henley

        For those subscribers interested in the minor leagues, I have posted the minors spring training schedules and notification of four new signees on the main The Cardinal Nation home page. Next up for The Cardinal Nation subscribers will be the minor league spring camp invitees.

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        When Musial didn’t wear number 6

        A search through baseball history is underway to identify a most unusual Stan Musial photo.

          Albert Pujols, spring training 2001 (Getty Images)What if the greatest St. Louis Cardinals player ever, Stan Musial, didn’t always wear number 6 as has been reported for the last 70 years? It would be akin to catching Albert Pujols sporting something other than 5, a number that seems destined one day to be retired alongside Musial’s 6.

          Actually, the latter did occur. It was during in spring training 2001 when the then-relatively unknown Pujols was assigned number 68. The attached photo offers proof. Of course, that didn’t last long as Albert soon stormed onto the major league scene, assigned his familiar number 5 forever more.

          My Monday and Tuesday was turned upside down upon receiving a note Mike Oasheim sent to SABR member Mark Stang. Oasheim enclosed a photo from The Baseball Magazine supplement of young Musial. It was taken by well-known photographer William C. Greene of The New York World-Telegram and copyrighted in 1942.

          Stan is not wearing number 6.

          The mystery Musial photoGreene is very familiar to Stang, the latter being the author of numerous books, including a Cardinals photo history entitled “Cardinals Collection, 100 Years of St. Louis Cardinals Photos”. Based on having viewed hundreds of the Greene’s photos, Stang observes that the photographer did all of his work in New York at either the Polo Grounds or Yankee Stadium.

          Number 18 or 19

          This sent an army of SABR members and researchers scurrying off to access Cardinals schedules, scorecards, box scores and rosters to try to determine when Stan would have been photographed in New York’s Polo Grounds against the Giants in late 1941 or during 1942 and when he might have worn number 18 or 19.

          This seems an impossible task. That is about the time I joined the search.

          When Musial came up to the Cardinals late in 1941, he was immediately assigned number 6, never to wear another jersey. I have seen this written about in many places, including at least three books. I re-confirmed with Cardinals Museum curator Paula Homan Tuesday morning that Stan always wore number 6 with St. Louis.

          To date, all information unearthed by SABR members affirm Musial’s use of number 6 when playing in New York. Further, 1942 scorecards identify Cardinals Lon Warneke and Harry Gumbert as having worn the numbers in question in the games in question, Stang notes.

          The Rochester theory

          Musial’s uniform looks like the standard issue Cardinals wools from that timeframe, but the front is obscured by his swing. Something else looked odd to me. As I zoomed in on the cap logo, it was clear that it is not the standard “StL”. It is a bird.

          I immediately wondered it might be a Rochester Red Wings cap. Just prior to joining the Cardinals late in the 1941 season, Stan played for the International League Red Wings, then St. Louis’ top minor league affiliate.

          After Musial joined the Wings, I found a reference to him playing in Jersey City in front of GM Branch Rickey. In addition, Stang noted the Wings faced Newark in the 1941 IL post-season. Photographer Greene might easily have been dispatched from nearby New York, especially to cover the playoffs. The Newark Bears were the top Yankees’ farm club and had a most-impressive 100-54 record heading into the post-season.

          The Red Wings are still in business today and though they are no longer associated with the Cardinals, they are a member of the family in a way. Rochester Community Baseball, the parent of the Wings, the Twins Triple-A affiliate, operates the Cardinals New York-Penn League affiliate, the Batavia Muckdogs.

          Chuck Hinkel, the very helpful Wings PR director, has no record of what number Stan wore in 1941, but after reviewing the cap and jersey, he verified they do not match Rochester garb of the era. Hinkel also contacted the Baseball Hall of Fame in Cooperstown for assistance, but they have no photos of Musial as a Red Wing that indicate his uniform number.

          The spring training theory

          After I unearthed several other photos of Musial wearing a similar bird-logoed cap in spring training 1942 and Stang checked other archives, he gravitated to thinking that was the date of the photo. Stang cited the wooden supports of the grandstand roof in the background suggesting a minor league setting rather than a major league park.

          Certainly trying to identify the background would help, but lacking specifics, we don’t know if the minor league park was in Florida rather than New Jersey. If the former, then we would also need to solve the mystery of why the New York photographer would have been in Florida when there is apparently no other record of him having shot photos there.

          Then, of course, there is the question of why Musial would be wearing a number other than 6 in 1942 spring training after he had already played the final weeks of the 1941 major league season with 6 on his back.

          Yet the idea of Stan wearing a higher number in spring training is hardly out of the question. What if it wasn’t in 1942 when he was already a major leaguer, but was earlier?

          The Man’s man

          I contacted Dick Zitzmann, Musial’s personal representative. He asserts the major league team wore the bird-logoed caps in that era and believes the photo is from spring training 1941.

          Like the rest of this hunt, I am not so sure.

          It seems less likely to me that Musial would justify an individual photo shoot in spring 1941, as he was considered a struggling low-level minor league player at the time. Musial, who was in the very early stages of trying to handle a conversion from pitching to the outfield after injuring his arm the previous summer, was reportedly worried he might be released. Biographies note that he was unwanted by the Cardinals’ A and B level clubs coming out of spring training 1941.

          At best, Musial seemed destined to return to Class D for a fourth season after having pitched there the previous three seasons until Springfield’s Ollie Vanek agreed to take Stan for his Class C club in 1941. Vanek helped teach Stan how to play the outfield. Musial would excel most of the summer there (MO) before being promoted to Rochester, then ultimately St. Louis before the 1941 season ended.

          I am hoping we can get Musial’s own view, but I don’t yet know about that.

          More to come….

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          The Cardinal Nation Blog top stories of 2009 #3: Cy close and closer

          Chris Carpenter and Adam Wainwright led the St. Louis Cardinals pitching staff all season long but fell short in individual recognition.

            As St. Louis Cardinals fans know too well, their co-aces, Chris Carpenter and Adam Wainwright, finished second and third in the 2009 National League Cy Young Award voting, collecting 94 and 90 points respectively. In one of the closest three-way races ever, San Francisco’s Tim Lincecum won with 100 points in the Baseball Writers Association of America balloting.

            Chris Carpenter and Adam Wainwright (Dilip Vishwanat/Getty Images) The Cardinals two were absolutely crucial in the 91-win season posted by their over-achieving 2009 club. The two are at opposite ends of the career spectrum. Carpenter is 34, having become a professional back in 1994 while the 28-year-old Wainwright just completed his third season as a major league starter.

            With just one more win, Wainwright would have reached the magic 20-win plateau that could have iced his Cy Young. He came very close. In fact, had Wainwright not been let down by his teammates in his final start, he would have been just the ninth major league pitcher this decade to win at least 20 games, fan 200 or more and post an ERA of 3.00 or less. He achieved two of three, but finished with 19 wins.

            Those 19 victories were tops in the league as were his 233 innings pitched. It was the first time in a quarter century that a Cardinal led the NL in innings (Joaquin Andujar in 1984). Wainwright’s 34 starts were a career high.

            Wainwright’s 2.63 ERA was fourth-lowest in the league and his home ERA of 2.05 also ranked fourth. He had an impressive 26-game run of working at least six innings and a 13-game quality start streak.

            As the season lengthened, Wainwright only got stronger. In his 18 starts from July 1, he went 11-3 with a 1.90 ERA. Over his last 22 starts, the team won 16 times and lost just six.

            With his 2.24 ERA, Carpenter was the first Cardinals pitcher to take the NL ERA title since Joe Magrane in 1988. He allowed just seven home runs all season long, the lowest ratio per nine innings in the majors (0.33). His 1.78 walks per nine innings was the third-stingiest rate in the NL.

            In arguably the most important contests, in the NL Central Division, Carp was a perfect 11-0. In those tilts, his ERA was 1.58 and he held opposing hitters to a collective .205 batting average.

            Carp was also most effective during the heat of summer, ripping off an 11-game winning streak from July 5 through September 7. Overall, the Cardinals starter finished second in the NL in wins with 17.

            Carpenter’s spectacular season was diminished in the eyes of voters because of an early-season oblique injury. He sat out exactly 30 contests after pitching in game nine of the Cardinals’ season and returning to the mound in game 40. As a result, he made just 28 starts compared to Wainwright’s 34.

            Best of all, the two are under team control for at least the next three seasons, ensuring they will have the opportunity to continue to excel together.

            Link to The Cardinal Nation Blog’s top 20 stories of the year countdown

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            McGwire needs to separate coaching from the Hall

            Diffusing the ongoing outrage over Mark McGwire may require a clarification of the end objective.

              As the divisive battles rage on over the status of former home run king-turned St. Louis Cardinals hitting coach Mark McGwire, there is one perspective that I do not think is being fully understood.

              McGwire's hallway press conference (Dustin Mattison photo)I see two main issues here that are tangled together. One is the acceptance of McGwire as the Cardinals new hitting coach. The other is his legacy in the game and his standing for Baseball’s Hall of Fame.

              Personally, I think he has done enough to satisfy the former and I sense many agree. I think many in the national media are hung up on the latter because though that prism, McGwire did not do enough in their eyes to clear his name – not as a hitting coach, but as a former home run hero.

              To date, Mac has been coy about the Hall of Fame, saying he is leaving it to the voters to decide. The writers then understandably want to know more about what he used, when he used it, etc. to try to determine how to assess his results.  They are clearly unconvinced by McGwire’s assertion that steroids did nothing to help his numbers. That is understandable.

              Unless/until he can separate the two, the job and the Hall, I believe the controversy will continue.

              Of course, that is easier said than done. McGwire has already made his statements and clarifications. He should have said that he has no way of knowing how steroids affected his results. That would have been believable, but it would have put his numbers into question (as if they weren’t already). There does not seem an easy way to backtrack. At this point, perhaps there is nothing McGwire can say to help his cause, especially if the past details he is avoiding are too damning.

              That doesn’t mean there isn’t a way out.

              Assuming McGwire does not want to provide specifics at the level the national press demands, one way to try to cut the ties would be to say, “I will not talk further about my past steroid use just to try to improve my Hall of Fame chances. I believe I have said enough to be allowed to become the Cardinals hitting coach. That is all I want.”

              That would most likely cement his low vote totals into the future, but would return him to the more familiar world where “I am not here to talk about the past.” This would offer a safer port for Big Mac in the storm and perhaps allow him to carry out his new hitting coach assignment in some semblance of peace.

              Having suggested that, we have no idea if McGwire is willing to chance giving up what remains of his legacy for this job. Yet the entire Cardinals community in its broadest sense (including ex-players, fans, etc.) has both dealt out and taken a lot of heat on his behalf with no end in sight. It may be time for McGwire himself to do something more to turn down some of that heat.

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              The Cardinal Nation Blog top stories of 2009 #4: Holliday’s free agent romp

              For the ongoing services of outfielder Matt Holliday, the St. Louis Cardinals and agent Scott Boras carried out an intricate dance for months.

                Making a quick playoff exit was not what the St. Louis Cardinals had in mind when giving up three top prospects for the final two and a half months of Matt Holliday’s expiring contract. Making matters even worse was the reality that the outfielder’s agent, Scott Boras, was plotting the course, a man with a well-deserved reputation for finding top dollar for his clients via free agency.

                John Mozeliak, Matt Holliday, Bill DeWitt Jr., 01/07/10 (AP/Jeff Roberson)The situation would remain front and center on the minds of the Cardinal Nation from July through the end of 2009. In fact, it remained topical right up until January 5, when Holliday came to terms on a new, seven-year, $120 million deal with an eighth-year option to remain with St. Louis.

                It was a long and painful journey to get there.

                From his very first meeting with the press as a Cardinal, a session I attended on July 24, Holliday was asked, then later asked and re-asked about his future plans. The now-30-year-old made it clear from the start that he was in no hurry to discuss a long-term contract.

                As the Cardinals season moved toward its close, it was unclear whether or not Boras and the club had yet spoken regarding the matter. On September 24, Boras laid down the law by telling the media he was looking for a Mark Teixeira-like, eight-year, $180 million deal for the man he labeled a “blue-collar superstar”.

                Holliday Cardinals futures took a severe beating in fan markets as a result. Into the off-season, Boras hoped to interest the deepest-pocketed teams in New York, Boston and Los Angeles in the bidding.

                By early November, when Holliday officially filed for free agency, the Cardinals had seemingly lost whatever small advantage they previously may have enjoyed. Holliday was rumored to have said he would not be giving the club preferential treatment. Chairman Bill DeWitt Jr. acknowledged his Cardinals would not be the high bidder even as the Angels, Giants and Braves stated they were not interested.

                The Cardinals offered Holliday arbitration at the start of December, which was rejected as expected. Boras toughened his stance, pulling the St. Louis future of Albert Pujols into the fray. By mid-month, the Cards made their first reported formal offer, rumored to be five years at about $16 million per year, but apparently received no reply.

                As the Jason Bay talks with the Red Sox stumbled, that club expressed interest in Holliday. In fact, it later came out that Boston made him a five-year, $82.5 million offer before giving the same deal to pitcher John Lackey, who accepted. Their AL East competitors from New York never got into the mix, though the Mets at least tried to leverage Holliday in their own Bay negotiations before finally landing their initial target.

                As December came to a close, a rumor surfaced that Baltimore offered Holliday eight-years, $130 million guaranteed. A number of other sources, including the Orioles team president, shot down the report. In hindsight, a number of industry-watchers felt the Cardinals gave the outfielder too many years, therefore spending too much in total. Perhaps the Baltimore rumor hastened that.

                After a meeting between Cardinals executives and Boras in Austin, Texas the first weekend of January, it took only a few more days to lock down the deal, thus ending one of the most up-and-down free agent sagas the Cardinal Nation has ever had to endure – until Pujols nears free agency, that is…

                Link to The Cardinal Nation Blog’s top 20 stories of the year countdown

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                The Cardinal Nation Blog top stories of 2009 #5: The failed finish

                The 2009 St. Louis Cardinals won their division handily, but carried a final-month slump into a quick post-season exit.

                  Following the bold acquisition of outfielder Matt Holliday on July 24, the St. Louis Cardinals seemed virtually unstoppable. For the remainder of the regular season, the Cards would win 39 and lose 25 for a winning percentage of .609. They were the first to clinch and their final divisional cushion was a comfortable 7 ½ games. All seemed well.

                  Yet in reality, there were two very different periods within that timeframe. From Holliday’s signing through a July in which only one opponent had a winning record at the time, the Cardinals would reach their high-water mark of the season on September 9. At that point, the club was 84-57, 27 games over .500 and 11 ½ games ahead in the division, both season-bests. The Holliday-led Cardinals were 32-11 (.744).

                  From there through the end of the regular season, the Cardinals limped home with a 7-14 (.333) mark. The stretch included stinging losses such as the bullpen failure that cost Adam Wainwright his 20th win and likely the National League Cy Young Award. Closer Ryan Franklin, coming off being named the top NL reliever for August and celebrating the signing of a new contract, fell apart, picking up three blown saves and two losses during September.

                  As a team, the Cardinals continued a disturbing pattern in 2009, still having not posted a winning September/October finish to the regular season since 2004. In taking the 2006 World Series, they were able to overturn their 12-16 final month as injured players came back online.

                  The 2009 club had no such boost entering the National League Division Series against the 95-win Los Angeles Dodgers. Just a few more September victories would have enabled the 91-71 Cardinals to hold home-field advantage instead of the Dodgers.

                  Manager Tony La Russa and pitching coach Dave Duncan had re-worked their rotation such that their co-aces, Chris Carpenter and Wainwright, would work games 1 and 2 in Los Angeles with 15-game winner Joel Pineiro ready to start game 3 at home.

                  Dodgers manager Joe Torre neutralized the Cardinals offense by having his pitchers avoid confronting NL Most Valuable Player Albert Pujols. No one seemed able to pick up the slack. Matt Kemp’s two-run first-inning home run off Carpenter put the Cardinals in a game 1 hole from which they could never crawl out.

                  Matt HollidayIn game 2, a tremendous start by Wainwright and the lead were wiped out by Holliday’s crucial error with two outs in the ninth inning when he dropped a ball lost in the Dodger Stadium lights. A Franklin lapse that followed seemed to finish off the Cardinals’ LDS chances.

                  The offense continued its listless ways in game 3 at home against Vicente Padilla, a pitcher dumped by the Texas Rangers in August. The Cardinals tallied just one run in the final game of the Dodgers sweep, plating just six in total over the three losses.

                  Since the Cardinals clinched the NL Central, they went a total of 1-9, including the post-season. They were swept for the first time ever in NLDS or NLCS play and for only the third time overall in the postseason. The 2009 Cardinals joined the 1928 club that was swept by the Yankees in the World Series as the only teams in franchise history to fail to win a playoff game.

                  It was an extremely disappointing finish to what had appeared to be a most promising season.

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                  The Cardinal Nation Blog top stories of 2009 #6: The successful odd couple, Mo and TLR

                  Working together, the manager and GM brought great results for the 2009 St. Louis Cardinals.

                    The two men with the highest-profile jobs running the St. Louis Cardinals on the field and off come from very different backgrounds.

                    Tony La Russa and John MozeliakOne is a 65-year-old who has worn the uniform of a major league manager for over 30 years and is a future Hall of Famer. He has a pair of World Championships and over 2,500 career wins in the dugout, approaching half with St. Louis.

                    The other is a quarter century younger, a man who worked his way up through the system to become the general manager of one of the most storied franchises in the history of Major League Baseball.

                    It now seems longer ago than just two years when the former boss of both Tony La Russa and John Mozeliak was summarily fired. Then-general manager Walt Jocketty was responsible for bringing both men to St. Louis. La Russa arrived as field manager prior to the 1996 season, having worked with Jocketty in Oakland. Mozeliak served under Jocketty in Colorado and traveled with him when he joined the Cardinals the year prior to La Russa’s arrival.

                    After internal political pressure over investment and protection of the player development pipeline hastened Jocketty’s departure following the 2007 season, an external GM search was fruitless. In-house candidate Mozeliak was charged with bringing all parties together while keeping the organization moving forward.

                    Though the club missed the playoffs for a second consecutive season in 2008, Mozeliak made great headway in laying the groundwork for the future. He signed co-ace Adam Wainwright and catcher Yadier Molina to smart long-term contracts and resolved a very challenging situation with Scott Rolen by swapping him to Toronto for Troy Glaus.

                    No one can make perfect moves every time as Mozeliak gambled and lost on troubled shortstop Khalil Greene and seems to have overpaid for Kyle Lohse. Yet he also diffused two other potential clubhouse situations by moving Adam Kennedy and Chris Duncan.

                    In 2009, Mozeliak’s in-season adjustments helped the Cardinals take their first division crown since 2006. He acquired Matt Holliday, Mark DeRosa and Julio Lugo via trade, added John Smoltz and signed relievers Ryan Franklin and Trever Miller to contract extensions.

                    While the organizational tension could have crushed their relationship, instead Mozeliak offers a calming influence behind the fiery La Russa. Sometimes it requires tact to diffuse La Russa dreams like signing Barry Bonds or having 46-year-old Mark McGwire appear as a pinch-hitter, yet Mo seems up for the job.

                    Because La Russa has the decorated career and works for a perennial contender, it is more difficult for him to contend for game-wide recognition. Yet he was close to receiving the Manager of the Year Award in a sixth career season in 2009.

                    Though Colorado’s Jim Tracy received the 2009 NL nod, La Russa came in second. He took a club that most experts placed second or third in its division prior to the season and brought it in with 91 wins and a 7-1/2 game cushion in the NL Central. In the process, he coaxed career years from stars as well as the unlikely before falling uncharacteristically early in the post-season.

                    Starting his 32nd season in a job that many can’t hold for more than a couple means La Russa is a true survivor. As with anyone in such a public role for so long, the manager has his detractors. Yet his players are the first to defend him as always having their backs.

                    While La Russa remains one of the premier managers in the game, he is hinting his time in the role is nearing its end. He took several weeks following the conclusion of the 2009 season deciding whether or not to return for 2010 and when he did, it was only via a one-year contract, his first since joining the Cardinals.

                    Perhaps La Russa has even a little more fire in his belly to try to bring the 11th World Championship to St. Louis in 2010. It would be his third crown as an MLB manager and Mozeliak’s first in the head role.

                    Link to The Cardinal Nation Blog’s top 20 stories of the year countdown

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                    Wainwright fires at sabermetric voters

                    St. Louis Cardinals pitcher Adam Wainwright tells those who value baserunners more than runs scored where they can stick their views.

                      St. Louis Cardinals pitcher Adam Wainwright must have remembered what his manager Tony La Russa tweeted back on November 25 about the 2009 National League Cy Young Award voting process.

                      “Respect Tim, but Adam & Chris earned CY. Computer data best when aid to personal observation & analysis.”

                      In a Monday radio interview on 101 ESPN in St. Louis, Wainwright teed off on several voters’ thought processes for the Award. The 28-year-old finished third behind San Francisco’s Tim Lincecum and his Cardinals teammate Chris Carpenter.

                      Adam Wainwright (Stephen Dunn/Getty Images)“I was bothered that two guys didn’t vote for Chris Carpenter. I think that is absurd. Of course, they are entitled to their own opinion, but there is no possible way that you can look at numbers and see that he wasn’t one of the top three pitchers. I think there were three deserving candidates and I don’t think you could go wrong with any of them,” Wainwright said.

                      After remarking that wins apparently no longer matter to voters, a category in which he led the NL in 2009 and Carpenter finished second, Wainwright was asked if he thinks sabermetrics is overrated in the voting process.

                      “I think it is overrated because it doesn’t matter how many people you get on base or whatever, if you don’t give up runs… If I walk one more guy an inning than Tim Lincecum or Javier Vazquez, it shouldn’t matter if they don’t score.

                      “They can take all that sabermetric stuff and stick it where the sun don’t shine, as long as you don’t have people that score. The name of the game is going as long as you can, keeping your team in the game, winning ball games and not letting people score. And if you are not letting people score, then you are doing your job.

                      “I don’t care if you walk the bases loaded every inning and strike the side out, or get out of it every time without any runs scoring, you are doing your job – as long as you are going deep (into games).

                      “So if you are going out there and throwing a ton of innings, which Tim did anyways, if you are going out there and keeping your team in the games, which Tim did, he is a deserving candidate.

                      “But the sabermetrics argument is just a bunch of hogwash to me,” Wainwright concluded.

                      Link to audio

                      Looking back to November, ESPN’s Keith Law had left Carpenter off his ballot, placing Vazquez second. His logic was partially based on Carp having thrown fewer innings and Atlanta’s Vazquez pitching in what he feels is a more difficult division, the NL East.

                      Stats he used to justify his rankings included FIP (Fielding Independent Pitching), VORP and WAR. In FIP specifically, Vazquez ranked second in the NL, just ahead of Carpenter. Carp was second in VORP, with Vazquez seventh. In WAR, Carpenter was sixth among NL pitchers, with Vazquez second.

                      Law specifically noted he does not consider wins. Link to explanation (ESPN Insider article)

                      Injury expert Will Carroll of Baseball Prospectus was the other voter who did not include Carpenter in his top three. He placed Wainwright and Lincecum ahead of Dan Haren. Carroll also considered Jair Jurrjens.

                      Like Law, Carroll cited Carpenter’s fewer innings pitched as a factor. Though Carroll’s article included a table with stats categories including WARP3, SNLVAR and SNWP, he did not specifically mention their role in his thought process.  Link to explanation

                      Carpenter led the NL in the most traditional measure of run scoring, ERA, but like wins, it was not cited as a factor by these two voters. In re-reading their articles, I did not sense the high level of focus on baserunners over runs scored that Wainwright emphasized, however.

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                      Can Edmonds follow Lankford’s sequel?

                      Just as his Cardinals centerfield predecessor Ray Lankford did, Jim Edmonds wants to return after a year out of the game.

                        Jim Edmonds’ ambush of Tony La Russa’s ARF “Stars to the Rescue” benefit on Sunday night to announce his desire to come back after a year out of the game and challenging La Russa to hire him was one of Monday’s biggest stories across The Cardinal Nation.

                        Unlike La Russa’s recent dream of sending new hitting coach Mark McGwire up to the plate as a late-season pinch-hitter, this proposal was neither of his making nor immediately completely shot down by general manager John Mozeliak. That didn’t mean that both the manager and the GM weren’t surprised.

                        The only commitment given the 39-year-old was that the idea would get a fair hearing in organizational meetings scheduled this week in St. Louis. While the club needs a reserve centerfielder, Edmonds hits left-handed like starter Colby Rasmus, so isn’t a perfect fit.

                        Edmonds did all he could to eliminate objections, though. He first volunteered to play for free, but then modified his stance. Edmonds still said he is willing to play for the major league minimum salary.

                        Ray Lankford and Jim Edmonds (AP Photo/Tom Gannam)Edmonds’ move reminded me of a similar situation six years earlier when former Cardinals centerfielder Ray Lankford returned to the club after having been out of the game for a year.

                        Another similarity is that both players left St. Louis via trades to San Diego. After a season and a half with the Padres, Lankford did not play in 2003. As 2004 spring training camp was about to open, the Cardinals announced the signing of the then-36-year-old Lankford to a make-good deal. He earned a spot on the club as a non-roster invitee.

                        During that 2004 season, Lankford ended up leading the club in starts in left field with 43, but his involvement declined as the season went on. He suffered a wrist injury in late July that just preceded the arrival of Larry Walker from Colorado. Lankford returned when rosters expanded at the start of September but was not named to the post-season roster. He then became a free agent but retired for good.

                        Lankford first qualified for the Hall of Fame balloting this year, but failed to receive a vote and will be removed from future ballots. Whether it is in four years or perhaps six, Edmonds is assured of collecting more support in his first year of eligibility.

                        Lankford’s final season didn’t add much to his long and distinguished Cardinals ledger, but at least he ended his career wearing the Birds on the Bat. If for no other reason other than to do the same, I would be in favor of bringing Edmonds to spring training and if he could actually contribute to the 2010 Cardinals team, all the better.

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                        Cardinals arbitration, spending and more dry powder

                        The St. Louis Cardinals wouldn’t have to wait until their arbitration cases are settled to make their next move, but they may have good reasons for doing so.

                          Here in mid-January, the St. Louis Cardinals payroll management strategy for 2010 still remains under question.

                          One milestone occurred in early December when during a presentation at Webster University, team president Bill DeWitt III hinted his club might not spend up to their total player budget, expected to be around $100 million.

                          “Clubs have a tendency — and we’ve been guilty in the past — of putting every resource into the team in the offseason. That just doesn’t leave you any flexibility,” DeWitt III said.

                          Showing restraint would be a repeat of an approach that was widely ridiculed during the previous winter. The term “keeping powder dry” in reference to holding back money was first coined by his father, team chairman Bill DeWitt Jr.

                          As we saw in 2009, if game attendance exceeds the Cardinals planning numbers, they could also choose to apply additional financial resources to players. Some combination of “dry powder” plus new expense money opened the door to trade for and take on the salaries of Mark DeRosa and Matt Holliday in June and July, respectively.

                          About ten days ago, back on January 7, as the club digested the Holliday re-signing, general manager John Mozeliak was quoted as saying the following:

                          “[Assistant GM John] Abbamondi, myself, Jeff [Luhnow, scouting director and farm director] and the group will sit down tomorrow. I’ll then also get with Tony [La Russa, manager] over the weekend and we’ll kind of prioritize what we think, if we had a bullet to use, what would we use it on. Once we get to that point, then we’ll look at what’s out there and how to use that resource if it’s there. We may stand pat. But we’ll see.”

                          In the process, Mozeliak outlined the two primary outcomes for some or all of the remaining budget – either acquire one additional significant player using their so-called “bullet”, keep dry powder or perhaps a combination of the two.

                          How much money are we talking about?

                          Skip Schumaker and Ryan Ludwick (AP photo)The Post-Dispatch offered a graphical summary following Holliday’s re-signing. In it, they suggest the Cardinals will have $7.4 million remaining to spend. One of the few assumptions required was an estimation of the 2010 salaries of arbitration-eligible players Skip Schumaker and Ryan Ludwick.

                          Though Schumaker is hinting he is close to coming to terms, completely resolving both players’ 2010 salaries may not be happening soon. At Winter Warm-Up, Mozeliak said the Cardinals would like the contracts of both Schumaker and Ludwick completed before his club dips back into the free-agent pool.

                          This sequencing doesn’t completely hold together to me.

                          In his first season of arbitration eligibility, Schumaker should be the easier of the two to sign. The real question is how big of a raise Ludwick is looking for coming off a season in which he made $3.7 million, but delivered declining results compared to 2008.

                          (For my detailed views of how comparable players’ salaries might be applied, The Cardinal Nation subscribers can read my January 7 article, “How Much Will Schumaker and Ludwick Make?”. At the low end, I have the two coming in at $6.9 million combined, while the P-D estimates they will make $8.5 million in total when all is said and done.)

                          Here’s my concern. The Cardinals surely have a planning bandwidth for the two arbitration cases and would seem to be position to have at least $6 million remaining once the two arbitration deals are done. (This assumes the Post-Dispatch estimates for the two will turn out to be $1.4 million too low, which I strongly doubt is the case.)

                          Both sides will formally know how far they are apart on Tuesday, when club and player arbitration amounts must be filed. Though the parties could come to terms at any time, if disagreement remains, the conclusion could drag on until a hearing scheduled as late as the third week in February – the time pitchers and catchers are due to report for spring training.

                          Again, either way, with conservatively $6 million or more in their chest, why would they be waiting, unless they are planning to save dry powder?

                          The P-D reports the Cardinals have been in contact with pitcher John Smoltz’ agent but they would like the veteran to wait for a potential offer until they have a better feel for their payroll. The paper has been in contact with the future Hall-of-Famer, who says he has heard nothing substantive from the Cardinals. Smoltz went on to say that while he would like to return to St. Louis, he is preparing to move on.

                          At 43 years old next season, Smoltz offers at least as an intriguing relief alternative as he would be a fifth starter. His likely contract would include a base deal of several million dollars with incentives for several more, seemingly within the amount of money the Cardinals have remaining.

                          High on the list of other possible options could include a right-handed hitting outfield reserve who could spell Colby Rasmus in centerfield and veteran depth at third base behind untested starter David Freese.

                          There is one other possibility for waiting – the knowledge that as spring training nears, prices for the remaining unsigned free agents will go down. Though Mozeliak isn’t saying it, using some of that dry powder over the next six weeks wouldn’t necessarily keep them from gaining and deploying more later.

                          Even if the Cardinals decide not to make another significant signing this winter, they have already done enough to position themselves as National League Central Division favorites for 2010. Without immediate additional spending, not everyone will be content, however. The annual resurrection of the “DeWallet” loonies, armchair critics of ownership’s player payrolls, is quite possible if the Cardinals head into the season with a mid-$90 million payroll. Instead of applauding player development and efficient spending, the simplistic minds of the habitual complainers can only compare annual bottom lines.

                          After last year, I have become a believer that if the Cardinals need help during the season and they play well enough to deserve it, ownership will come through. In the meantime, the primary pressure should be on the players and coaches to win.

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                          2010 Cardinals spring radio and television

                          Preliminary spring training television and radio plans for the 2010 St. Louis Cardinals.

                          Note: This post has been superceded by a newer version of this information.

                          As I do each spring, I will maintain a post with the most complete and current plans for St. Louis Cardinals radio and television coverage. This list varies from the official site in that it covers all known sources, including away team television coverage as well as satellite radio.

                          Keep checking this page as I will update it as more information is known. It is also always accessible from the task bar at the top of the page via “Events/Info” > “Television and radio”.

                          First confirmation of two televised 2010 spring games

                          The ESPN schedule for MLB spring games include two Cardinals Florida contests on March 25 and 29. Opponents are the New York Mets and Minnesota Twins, respectively.

                          Spring schedule reminders

                          For those with satellite radio and television, I will also be watching the Cardinals’ spring opponents’ plans as they announce which games they plan to cover. In addition to the two from ESPN, I have very preliminary, unconfirmed word that five spring contests may reach the television airwaves this spring. One overlaps with the 3/25 ESPN game. They are penciled in below.

                          Spring radio plans not announced

                          On the radio side, in past years the Cardinals have originated broadcasts for Tuesday, Thursday, Saturday and Sunday games. Though there has been no announcement yet, I expect the pattern to continue.

                          WWU coverage on FS Midwest

                          Fox Sports Midwest is planning two post-Winter Warm-Up shows starting Monday, January 18. For those who can’t attend the real thing, this will be the next best alternative. Dates and times here.

                          The regular schedule

                          In case you don’t have your 2010 Cardinals one-page printable schedule for the regular season, you can download a copy here. While game times are known, some of the weekend contests are subject to the whims of the television networks.

                          Regular season TV schedule not yet available

                          None of the regular season televised games are listed yet. We may still be several weeks away from confirmed schedules. As soon as they are released, I will get them posted.

                          Spring 2010 Date Home Visitor Time (ET) Radio GDA$ XM& TV MLB Net%
                          Thursday 4-Mar Mets Cardinals 1:10 SNY
                          Friday 5-Mar Cardinals Mets 1:05
                          Saturday 6-Mar Marlins Cardinals 1:05
                          Sunday 7-Mar Cardinals Marlins 1:05
                          Monday 8-Mar Red Sox Cardinals 1:05
                          Tuesday 9-Mar Twins Cardinals 1:05
                          Wednesday 10-Mar Cardinals Nationals 1:05
                          Thursday 11-Mar Marlins Cardinals 1:05
                          Friday 12-Mar Cardinals Red Sox 1:05
                          Saturday 13-Mar Cardinals Astros 1:05 KSDK?
                          Sunday 14-Mar Nationals Cardinals 1:05
                          Monday 15-Mar Mets Cardinals 1:10 SNY
                          Tuesday 16-Mar Cardinals Nationals 1:05
                          Wednesday 17-Mar open
                          Thursday 18-Mar Cardinals Braves 1:05
                          Friday 19-Mar Marlins Cardinals# 1:05 FS Florida
                          Nationals Cardinals# 7:05
                          Saturday 20-Mar Cardinals Mets 1:05 WFAN KSDK?
                          Sunday 21-Mar Braves Cardinals 1:05
                          Monday 22-Mar Astros Cardinals 1:05 FS Houston
                          Tuesday 23-Mar open
                          Wednesday 24-Mar Cardinals Orioles 1:05 BAL 105.7 FS Midwest?
                          Thursday 25-Mar Cardinals Mets 1:05 ESPN
                          FS Midwest?
                          Friday 26-Mar Nationals Cardinals 1:05
                          Saturday 27-Mar Cardinals Marlins 1:05 FS Midwest?
                          Sunday 28-Mar Mets Cardinals 1:10 WFAN WPIX – NY
                          Monday 29-Mar Cardinals Twins 1:05 ESPN
                          Tuesday 30-Mar Mets Cardinals 1:10
                          Wednesday 31-Mar Cardinals Nationals 1:05
                          Thursday 1-Apr Cardinals Marlins 11:05
                          Friday 2-Apr Twins* Cardinals 5:10 (CT) FS North
                          Saturday 3-Apr Twins* Cardinals 1:10 (CT) FS North
                          Times are local
                          # split squad
                          * in Minneapolis
                          Jupiter dates in bold
                          $ MLB Gameday Audio
                          % MLB Network & .TV
                          & XM Satellite Radio

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                          The Cardinal Nation Blog top stories of 2009 #7: Penny for Pineiro

                          Will Brad Penny become the 2010 St. Louis Cardinals’ version of 2009’s Joel Pineiro, the unsung hero?

                            Ever winter, it seems the same thing happens. The Cardinal Nation works itself into a frenzy speculating over moves rumored, only to have the club do something completely unexpected.

                            Brad Penny (Getty Images)So it was on December 7 when at Baseball’s Winter Meetings, St. Louis announced that free agent right-handed pitcher Brad Penny agreed to terms on a one-year contract with a $7.5 million base plus $1.5 million in incentives. The right-hander, most recently of the San Francisco Giants, was not even rumored to be a target of the Cardinals.

                            Once again, the Cardinals moved quickly and quietly to secure a free agent, this time a fourth veteran for their rotation, with the 31-year-old Penny effectively replacing free agent Joel Pineiro and joining Chris Carpenter, Adam Wainwright and Kyle Lohse.

                            According to the terms of the contract, Penny will receive the full $9 million if he reaches 204 innings. In addition, in an accommodation to ease his potential re-entry into the market following the 2010 season, the Cardinals agreed not to offer Penny arbitration if he performs well enough to become a Type A free agent. It seems a stretch given that two years of stats are used and he was not even a Type B this year.

                            Still, the upper 90’s-thrower and two-time National League All-Star offers intriguing potential for the 2010 Cardinals rotation. Like 2009 late-season addition John Smoltz, Penny had been released by the deep-pocked Red Sox during the season. After being dropped by Boston on August 27, Penny drew interest from a number of clubs including Colorado, Florida, Minnesota, the White Sox and the Yankees.

                            Ultimately, Penny cast his lot with the Giants for the major league minimum and pitched so well during the final month, he likely priced himself out of San Francisco’s plans for 2010.

                            On the downside, Penny hasn’t thrown a complete game in three years. Two of his former managers in Los Angeles, Joe Torre and Jim Tracy, now with Colorado, were rumored to be against having Penny on their respective clubs. Yet the Cardinals have had success with others who had arrived in town with “me first” reputations and there is no reason to believe Penny can’t follow.

                            Penny broke the pattern of recent Cardinals rotation additions in that he had resurrected his value elsewhere and signed with the Cardinals for more than he had been paid the previous season.

                            Joel Pineiro (AP photo(His predecessor Pineiro had also flamed out with the Red Sox. The Cardinals added him at the 2007 deadline in return for a minor leaguer. Pineiro pitched so well that by October, he earned a two-year contract to remain that was surprising to many, both because of the money ($13 million) and duration.

                            Despite making 25 starts around a pair of stints on the disabled list in 2008, Pineiro managed just seven wins and posted an ERA over five. It seemed his $7.5 million salary for 2009 would never be earned. Yet, Pineiro did that and more.

                            The 2009 Cardinals featured both unexpected team success and a commensurate number of individual standouts. A club picked by most to be a second- or third-place finisher instead won 91 games while dominating the National League Central before a quick post-season exit.

                            NL Most Valuable Player Albert Pujols and mid-season acquisition Matt Holliday offered star power on the offense while Chris Carpenter and Adam Wainwright each just fell short of the Cy Young Award. First-time closer Ryan Franklin finished second in the NL Rolaids Relief Man Award tally.

                            Yet the Cardinals player who may have overachieved most, and in doing so provided the greatest boost to the club’s cause, was a well-traveled veteran that some fans wanted to see disposed of prior to the season – Pineiro.

                            Much was made in spring training about Cardinals third base coach and Team Puerto Rico manager Jose Oquendo leaving the 31-year-old out of his World Baseball Classic rotation. Some believe the perceived snub motivated Pineiro, while others look to his new found sinker, a pitch he calls a one-seam fastball, for his 2009 success.

                            The right-hander was consistent and efficient all season long, picking up 15 wins, one off his career best, while tossing a personal-high 214 innings. Pineiro spun three two-hitters.

                            His control was impeccable. Pineiro ranked first in the major leagues with his 1.14 walks per nine innings. He had 13 outings in which he walked no one and pitched three nine-inning complete games, facing fewer than 30 batters in each – quite a contract to Penny’s inability to finish his starts.

                            Pineiro helped himself by keeping the ball down. He led the majors with his 2.73-to-1 ground ball-to-fly ball ratio and placed among the top five MLB pitchers in inducing ground ball double plays with 1.22 per nine innings.

                            The Puerto Rican native finished the regular season 15-12 with a 3.53 ERA, his most wins since 2003 and lowest ERA since 2002, both achieved when he was with Seattle. Unfortunately for the Cardinals, Pineiro pitched so well that he priced himself out of the team’s future plans, not unlike Penny and the Giants. But Pineiro’s future sights were set higher.

                            Despite being branded by some a product of Cardinals pitching coach Dave Duncan’s tutelage, Pineiro set out to find at least a three-year contract in the $10 million dollar per year range. Due to market realities, he may have to settle for a two-year deal for half the amount or less, $15 million. In other words, it may be about the same annual value as Penny’s 2010 base. The Mets and Dodgers are rumored to be most interested in Pineiro’s services.

                            No matter how you slice it, the 2010 Cardinals would have to be delighted if they could achieve a comparable return from Penny as they received from Pineiro in 2009.

                            Link to The Cardinal Nation Blog’s top 20 stories of the year countdown

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                            La Russa needed coaching, too

                            Just as when Mark McGwire spoke out, St. Louis Cardinals manager Tony La Russa is catching considerable heat for what he said and did not say.

                              Wednesday, day three of the Mark McGwire re-entry program as architected by the crisis-management firm of former White House press secretary Ari Fleischer, apparently called for a shift in focus to the all-new Big Mac. The Cardinals hitting coach is shown swinging the bat and happily teaching his hitting students in California, relieved by his confession and ready to move forward.

                              It was inevitable that change would not go completely smoothly. Jose Canseco, self-proclaimed whistle-blower of the steroid era, did his best to ensure that, trying to keep the focus on the past, instead of the future.

                              While the primary subject of Canseco’s claims, widespread use of illegal drugs in baseball, was again reinforced, McGwire’s former Bash Brother teammate still has a long history of contradicting himself, embellishing details and later wishing he had handled himself differently.

                              With that backdrop, the “he-said, she-said” debate over whether or not Canseco injected McGwire, where, when and how often is most incredulous. What we have here is a dispute between two admitted long-time drug users, both of whom have been proven to foster a long-term habit of avoiding or at least severely bending the truth.

                              The phrase, “the first liar doesn’t stand a chance” was coined for situations precisely as this. If you hooked these two up to a polygraph, as Canseco has challenged, there would probably be an explosion the likes of which hasn’t been seen since Godzilla and Ghidorah destroyed Tokyo.

                              Canseco’s counterattacks included a blast fired at his former manager and the current skipper of the St. Louis Cardinals, Tony La Russa. In an ESPN Radio appearance, Canseco vehemently disputed La Russa’s claim that the manager was unaware of McGwire’s use of steroids until this Monday.

                              Said Canseco: “That’s a blatant lie. There are some things here that are so ridiculous, and so disrespectful for the public and the media to believe.”

                              It is a sad state of affairs indeed when Canseco is left to define what is ridiculous and disrespectful.

                              Putting the foolishness aside, I have been among the many troubled by the apparent rigidity of the manager’s remarks. Just as in McGwire’s damning unwillingness to acknowledge the performance-enhancing nature of performance-enhancing drugs, La Russa’s insistence that he was unaware of McGwire’s use all these years is a credibility-crusher.

                              Tony La Russa (AP photo)As the result of his remarks, La Russa has been hammered in many corners of the press, almost as much as McGwire himself, it seems.

                              La Russa’s assertion that he did not know of McGwire’s past use may have been akin to Bill Clinton swearing he didn’t inhale. A member of the legal profession like the former President, La Russa never said he did not have past suspicions. He only said he did not KNOW until Monday.

                              Of course, he didn’t know. Without positive drug tests, no one knew for absolute certain until McGwire himself said so. Yet, La Russa left himself wide open by avoiding the obvious.

                              It is not as if La Russa didn’t have past suspicions about steroids use on his own team, as did current Cardinals first base coach and former A’s strength and conditioning coach Dave McKay. At the time, during the original “don’t ask, don’t tell” era, there were no processes to deal with the issue, so everyone apparently just kept quiet.

                              Directly from the Mitchell Report:

                              “…La Russa and McKay acknowledged that they had suspected Canseco of using steroids when he was playing with Oakland. McKay said: ‘It just got to the point where you knew he [used them].’ Neither La Russa nor McKay shared their concerns with the Oakland front office, however. According to La Russa, ‘I thought, what’s the use? So I didn’t say anything.’”

                              In a Wednesday St. Louis Post-Dispatch article, Joe Strauss recounted the following discussion with La Russa this week:

                              “La Russa referred to McGwire’s initial experimentation with steroids in 1989-90 as ‘a little flavor here and there. That is not right, either. But he was not a big abuser at that point,’ La Russa said.”

                              If the manager didn’t know about McGwire’s use back then, during the final years of when Canseco and Big Mac were Oakland teammates, the only logical assumption one can make is that his hitting coach must have shared those details of his steroid use for the first time when he spoke with La Russa on Monday.

                              As one might expect, the manager is defending his new hitting coach to the nth degree, including McGwire’s controversial, logic-defying stance that his long-term steroid use was solely for health reasons.

                              ”He admitted his performance was enhanced when he took steroids because it kept him healthy,” La Russa said Tuesday. ”But he also worked on his stroke, put better spin on the ball, learned the game between pitcher and hitter and became more dangerous as a result. With that stroke, good things happened.”

                              As MLB executives, Cardinals chairman Bill DeWitt Jr. and general manager John Mozeliak together worked the details of McGwire’s re-entry plan with Fleischer and company leading up to Monday’s blitz, La Russa was kept on the outside.

                              On one hand, I understand that, as the job of any team’s field manager is in the dugout, not in helping to define a very ticklish public relations rollout. On the other, this isn’t any manager, nor is La Russa detached from the story personally. There seemed both benefit and risk avoidance reasons for including La Russa in the process.

                              La Russa had spent the last five years on a seemingly ever-shrinking island, angrily defending McGwire against any and all attackers while the former player himself remained far underground. A major pillar of that defense was La Russa believing McGwire when the slugger assured his manager he did not use steroids.

                              In a January 18, 2009 New York Times interview that did not receive enough attention at the time, La Russa said the very thing he needed to this week, but did not.

                              La Russa acknowledged that Canseco (and therefore by implication, his teammates, as well) may have been using drugs behind his back and those of his staff. La Russa remained firm that McKay ran a “100 percent straight” program in Oakland, but the manager explained that he and his coaches couldn’t be everywhere.

                              “Now, as José (Canseco) said, when you go to the toilet or you leave the ballpark, Dave didn’t control that,” La Russa told the Times.

                              In his defense of McKay, La Russa only reinforced the obvious – coaches can’t be with their players all the time. As such, especially when there was no drug testing, they could not be sure what the players were taking or not taking. Yet for reasons only he knows, La Russa did not say that again this week in McGwire’s context when he easily could and should have.

                              One might wonder if in his staunch desire to defend his own, La Russa purposely drew more than his share of the heat in an attempt to take some focus away from McGwire. If so, the maneuver seemed instead to fan the flames that lap at both of them.

                              Just as if McGwire had simply said something realistic like, “I have no way of ever knowing how the drugs I took affected my performance and results.”, had La Russa repeated his earlier comments, as common-sense as they seem, a lot less dirt would have been thrown around this week.

                              Instead, the trenches around that lonely island are seemingly being dug even deeper – when they didn’t necessarily have to be.

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                              The Cardinal Nation Blog top stories of 2009 #8: Franklin the finisher

                              A big question turned into a strength of the 2009 Cardinals as Ryan Franklin seized the closer’s job and solidified the bullpen.

                                The 2008 St. Louis Cardinals missed the post-season for the second consecutive year, something that hadn’t occurred since 1999. A major reason why was a bullpen that could not find a reliable ninth-inning man and amassed an amazing total of 31 blown saves, 12 games lost in extra innings and 13 walk-off losses, all MLB-worsts.

                                What a difference a year makes. The 2009 relief corps represented one of the strengths of the team, albeit often overlooked in the shadows of National League Most Valuable Player Albert Pujols and Cy Young Award contenders Chris Carpenter and Adam Wainwright.

                                Ryan Franklin (AP Photo/Al Behrman)It didn’t begin well.

                                Coming into 2009 spring training, manager Tony La Russa declined to name a closer and training camp competition did not clarify the situation. Jason Motte was given the first opportunity and blew the opening day save. Since-traded Chris Perez didn’t step up, so Franklin just quietly took the reins and strengthened his hold every time out. The situation was finally so obvious that before too long into the season, even the cautious La Russa had to admit that Franklin had indeed become his closer.

                                Before long, Franklin was most appropriately named to the National League All-Star Team, his first such recognition at the ripe old baseball age of 36. At that point, he was 21 for 22 in save opportunities and had an ERA of 0.79.

                                Franklin was named the MLB Delivery Man of the Month in August after converting 11 of 12 chances while not allowing an earned run. On September 1, the Cardinals announced Franklin signed a contract extension for $6.5 million plus incentives covering 2010 and 2011. Feast quickly turned to famine, however. In his ten outings after September 1, Franklin walked ten, yielded 15 hits and allowed seven runs for a 6.75 ERA. He went 2-2 and was just 3-for-6 in save opportunities.

                                Despite that month-long late season slump, Franklin and his billy goats gruff facial hair finished with 38 saves, third-best in the league and the best by a Cardinal since 2005. His conversion rate was fifth-best in team history for a closer with 30 or more saves. Franklin placed second in the NL Rolaids Relief Man of the Year competition in his first full season as a closer and second among NL closers with his 1.92 ERA.

                                Here are some of Franklin’s impressive results in tabular form, with his 2008 numbers offered in contrast. Note how Franklin improved in every category possible in the year-to-year comparisons.

                                Franklin 2009 Number Percent
                                Franklin 2008 Number Percent
                                Saves/opportunities 38/43 88.4% Saves/opportunities 17/25 68.0%
                                Inherited runners stranded 14/16 87.5% Inherited runners stranded 13/22 59.1%
                                First batter retired 45/62 72.6% First batter retired 52/74 70.3%
                                ERA 1.92 ERA 3.55
                                Won-loss 4-3 57.1% Won-loss 6-6 50.0%
                                Strikeouts-to-walks 44/24 1.83:1 Strikeouts-to-walks 51/30 1.70:1

                                Even with a much younger supporting cast in 2009, the stability of the closer undoubtedly solidified the entire pen. Comparing this group to last season’s again demonstrates a marked improvement in every measure.

                                Cardinals bullpen 2009 Number Percent
                                Cardinals bullpen 2008 Number Percent
                                Saves/opportunities 43/58 74.1% Saves/opportunities 42/73 57.5%
                                Inherited runners stranded 187/245 76.3% Inherited runners stranded 165/226 73.0%
                                First batter retired 341/480 71.0% First batter retired 330/498 66.3%
                                ERA 3.67 ERA 4.20
                                Won-loss 22-18 55.0% Won-loss 22-31 41.5%

                                While that is not all due to Franklin, as the leader of the pen, he deserves considerable credit for the solid 2009 contribution of the Cardinals relief corps.

                                La Russa and pitching coach Dave Duncan attributed Franklin’s late season woes to fatigue from pitching too frequently. They are interested in acquiring another bullpen veteran who could step in and close during those days when Franklin would be unavailable in 2010.

                                Link to The Cardinal Nation Blog’s top 20 stories of the year countdown

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                                The Cardinal Nation Blog top stories of 2009 #9: The return of Big Mac

                                In a major surprise, former slugger Mark McGwire was introduced in October as the club’s new hitting coach, and in early 2010, stepped out of the shadows.

                                  Mark McGwire (Getty Images)Currently tied for eighth on Major League Baseball’s career home run list with 583 and the former single-season leader with 70 in 1998, Mark McGwire has spent much of the past decade in seclusion.

                                  That changed in a most surprising manner when on October 26, 2009, St. Louis Cardinals manager Tony La Russa announced the reclusive McGwire was returning to baseball as the club’s full-time hitting coach for 2010.

                                  This move would only help the 2010 Cardinals, La Russa explained. McGwire had worked in an informal hitting coach capacity in past winters near his California home. Among his students were current Cardinals Matt Holliday and Skip Schumaker and ex-Card Chris Duncan.

                                  There was just one problem – the 800-pound gorilla in the room – McGwire’s past.

                                  The 1998 discovery that McGwire was using a then-legal supplement banned in other sports began a marked change to the feel-good story of the former slugger, whose exciting home run chase with Sammy Sosa helped re-energize the game following strikes that had turned countless fans away.

                                  McGwire’s problems picked up momentum as allegations of more serious steroid use were raised by his former teammate Jose Canseco and others, affirmed much later by Big Mac’s own brother Jay.

                                  La Russa remained Big Mac’s staunchest defender following McGwire’s 2001 retirement and especially after his fateful 2005 Congressional testimony. Joining a number of then-current players subpoenaed, McGwire’s infamous refusal to discuss his past made him an unwitting symbol of baseball’s steroid era.

                                  Having become eligible for Hall of Fame consideration four years ago, McGwire has yet to receive more than 25 percent approval in the annual vote where 75 percent is the minimum. Voters often cite the unanswered questions about Big Mac’s alleged steroid use as the reason for withholding their support.

                                  The day McGwire’s hiring was announced, general manager John Mozeliak emphasized the new coach would meet with the press “sooner, rather than later”. Over two months later, there was still no sign of McGwire.

                                  That is how this story should end, since the focus of this series is last year. Had I been ranking the top 20 stories of 2009 plus the first two weeks of 2010, this would have been much higher than number nine.

                                  Because this story is so hot, I will bring it the rest of the way home – briefly, I promise, to those as weary of McGwire commentary as I.

                                  On January 7, a new wrinkle was introduced when La Russa said that he had discussed only part jokingly with McGwire on multiple occasions about the idea that the now-46-year-old might be activated as a late-season pinch-hitter for the 2010 club. Mozeliak moved quickly to write it off as a joke.

                                  Just four days later, a multi-step rollout plan for McGwire’s re-entry was carefully executed, reportedly under the guidance of the crisis-management firm led by former White House press secretary Ari Fleischer.

                                  The blitz began with a press release from the player, followed by shorter written responses from club officials and the commissioner. Next were one-on-one interviews with local media and the big show – an hour-long live interview expertly handled by MLB Network’s Bob Costas.

                                  The eyes of baseball were upon Big Mac as he tearfully told his story – at least the parts he chose to tell. He made solid points in most every aspect, from outlining key events to showing contrition, but those gains were overshadowed by an odd refusal to acknowledge that steroids could have impacted his strength and his results on the field.

                                  Still, if McGwire’s true intent was as he said, to relieve his guilt and open the way to becoming the Cardinals hitting coach, he met those objectives. Let others decide if he or any player from the steroid era should grace the Hall of Fame. McGwire said this wasn’t about that.

                                  Even without McGwire’s press blitzkrieg, concluding its second day as I post this, the sheer magnitude of importance of the return of one of team’s most popular players of all time cements this story’s placement in the 2009 top 10.

                                  Link to The Cardinal Nation Blog’s top 20 stories of the year countdown

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                                  McGwire falls on sword, but that isn’t enough for all

                                  One aspect of Mark McGwire’s tearful interview on MLB Network is a stumbling block to many – his view of the impact of steroids on his results.

                                  Mark McGwire, March, 17 2005 (AP Photo/Win McNamee)The primary concern many media members seem to have with the Mark McGwire interview with Bob Costas live on MLB Network Monday night is that McGwire would not acknowledge using steroids to enhance his home run power. He stated his only reason for using over a multi-year period was for health purposes, to help recover from injury. Further, McGwire would not accept that steroid use positively affected his strength and his numbers.

                                  Many seem to think McGwire overall did well by coming out. Yet, some are stuck on the point regarding what the slugger believes about the supposed non-impact on his results.

                                  Let me offer another perspective. Why does it matter what McGwire believes? Does it matter if he is ill-informed or naïve or in denial or just plain wrong?

                                  People wanted his admission. They wanted his apology. They surely got even more than they expected. After listening to an entire hour spent on the hot seat, McGwire not dodging any tough questions, does anyone question his sincerity?

                                  “It’s the stupidest thing I ever did. It’s an illusion,” McGwire said regarding steroid use.

                                  McGwire talked frankly about what he used and when, about his congressional testimony and that fear of prosecution was why it happened the way it did. He outlined the personal anguish. McGwire tearfully apologized and asked for a second chance.

                                  Let the Hall of Fame voters decide for themselves whether to diminish McGwire’s accomplishments or any other baseball player from his era, as difficult as that task may be. They now know beyond a shadow of a doubt that McGwire used steroids.

                                  If writers want to put into question the authenticity of his records, so be it. But that should be driven by a review of the numbers, not by what McGwire personally believes about the impact of steroids. I don’t see the relevancy.

                                  McGwire’s stated reasons for coming forward are for himself and because of his employment as the Cardinals hitting coach. He specifically said it was not about the Hall of Fame. So, why didn’t he say enough on Monday to be allowed to assume his new job in peace?

                                  A final thought. If McGwire firmly believes that steroids won’t help, is that a bad message to send to youth?

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                                  Cardinals Winter Warm-Up autograph prices reflect economy

                                  Autograph prices at the St. Louis Cardinals fan event, Winter Warm-Up, demonstrate an appreciation of the down economy.

                                  As every year at this time, I received my package with the autograph details for the St. Louis Cardinals Winter Warm-Up to be held next weekend. That provides me the opportunity to look at those rising and falling in the eyes of whoever in the Cardinals hierarchy sets what they believe to be the market prices for autographs.

                                  While the prices demanded for signatures of course do not reflect true player value, they do indicate fan value in a way. Of course, all proceeds go to charity, Cardinals Care, so the needy are the true winners.

                                  What is different this year is that there are fewer individuals signing for a donation and lower prices for the ones that are signing. In addition, more free autographs will be provided than before. This is a wise move by the Cardinals, better reflecting the current economic environment.

                                  Autograph tickets are on sale online from January 9 through January 13, with any remaining tickets available at the event. Albert Pujols, the highest-priced autograph at $175, was handled via a special lottery.

                                  The pre-imposed limit of autograph tickets per player per person is three, same as in the past except that for a few players, the previous limit was two. Last year, they were Rick Ankiel, Chris Carpenter and Adam Wainwright. That restriction went away this year, as did Ankiel.

                                  Joining Pujols at the top of the pecking order is newly-signed Matt Holliday at $100. In a sign of the economy, there is only one price increase from last year and it is understandable, new Hall of Famer Whitey Herzog.

                                  Top dogs 2010 2009 2008 Commentary
                                  Albert Pujols $175 $175 $175 Held prices flat despite winning every award in sight.
                                  Matt Holliday $100 Debuts high as expected.
                                  Second tier
                                  Yadier Molina $75 $100 $90 Drops back down under the $100 barrier.
                                  Chris Carpenter $50 $60 $75 Second year in a row for a price decrease. Bargain!
                                  Adam Wainwright $50 $60 $80 Another surprise drop in price. Just needed a few more votes.
                                  Middle of the pack
                                  Ryan Ludwick $30 $40 $10 Should have an interesting case in arbitration, too.
                                  Tony La Russa $30 $30 $30 Biggest signature was on a new contract for 2010.
                                  Colby Rasmus $25 $30 $30 Looks like one of the real bargains of the day.
                                  Skip Schumaker $25 $30 $5 Hopefully, he will get thanks for his position change.
                                  Bargains
                                  Kyle Lohse $15 $25 He still has his $41 million coming at least.
                                  Brendan Ryan $15 $15 $10 Last year, he was just a reserve. Now a starter and still $15.
                                  Ryan Franklin $10 $10 $10 Career season didn’t raise his asking price.
                                  Kyle McClellan $5 $10 Relievers don’t get enough respect.
                                  Jason Motte $5 $10 I wonder how fast he signs? Has he developed a 2nd signature yet?
                                  Trever Miller $5 $5 Steadiest member of the 2009 pen back for another year.
                                  Josh Kinney Free $5 $5 Still working on his comeback.

                                  Autograph prices are lower this year than last for 11 current players and two ex-Cardinals. In addition, the number of current and former players signing for free has been expanded from 47 to 54, while the total number of fee signers is down from 34 in 2009 to 24 this year.

                                  # of signers 2010 2009
                                  Current fee 15 26
                                  Hall of Famers 2 4
                                  Retired fee 5 4
                                  Free 54 47

                                  There are several notable Cardinals missing from the WWU autograph rolls, all for unknown reasons except one, the hitting coach.

                                  Missing in action 2010 2009 2008 Commentary
                                  Jason LaRue $5 Reserve catcher and his ‘stache missing from 2010 rolls.
                                  Brad Penny Newest Cardinal needs to meet fans. Only has one-year contract.
                                  Dennys Reyes Would he sign in Spanish?
                                  Julio Lugo Would the Boston Red Sox pay for his autograph signings, too?
                                  Mark McGwire He’d be extremely popular, but I hear he has some open issues.

                                  The ranks of the Hall of Famers signing have dropped noticeably with regulars Bob Gibson and Lou Brock being the most obvious absences.

                                  Hall of Famers 2010 2009 2008 Commentary
                                  Red Schoendienst $75 $75 $60 Get it while you still can. A true great.
                                  Whitey Herzog $60 $40 $50 Hall election reverses declining trend in autograph price.
                                  Where did they go?
                                  Bob Gibson $125 Auctioned off baseball memorabilia in 2009.
                                  Bruce Sutter $100 Retired number was questionable decision by Cards.
                                  Lou Brock $100 Always very popular. Also sold memorabilia in 2009.

                                  Among the past Cardinals heroes signing for a small fee include fan favorite Mike Matheny. John Tudor dropped off the list.

                                  I remember you! 2010 2009 Commentary
                                  Ray Lankford $10 Didn’t receive any Hall of Fame votes.
                                  Vince Coleman $10 Will he steal your money like so many bases?
                                  Mike Matheny $10 Should be a very popular autograph.
                                  Bernard Gilkey $5 $15 Can’t beat the price.
                                  Jack Clark $5 $10 Fox Sports Midwest broadcaster drops fee.
                                  Not appearing in 2010
                                  John Tudor $10 Probably still cranky.

                                  The article would not be complete without noting these ten former Cardinals who signed in past years. Best of luck, guys.

                                  The departed 2009 2008 Commentary
                                  Rick Ankiel $60 $55 Leaves St.Louis after 13 years
                                  Troy Glaus $40 Did signing aggravate that supposedly-OK shoulder?
                                  Chris Duncan $20 $40 Autograph price was already in decline.
                                  Khalil Greene $20 Just signed contract with Texas.
                                  Todd Wellemeyer $15 Still looking for work.
                                  Joel Pineiro $10 $20 Trying to find multi-year security.
                                  Chris Perez $10 Dealt to Cleveland for Mark DeRosa.
                                  Brian Barton $5 Gone and forgotten.
                                  Adam Kennedy $5 Was a WWU no-show and on his way out the door.
                                  Brad Thompson $5 $10 Released and signed with Royals.

                                  Not to be forgotten are a major batch of current and former Cardinals who will be signing for free. There are some nice names in here, so don’t think you have to drop big money to snare good autographs. For example, Jaime Garcia won’t be free next year, I bet.

                                  Mitchell Boggs Daniel Descalso Jaime Garcia Mark Hamilton Daryl Jones
                                  Josh Kinney Lance Lynn Tyler Norrick Matt Pagnozzi Matt Scherer
                                  Nick Stavinoha George Altman Andy Benes Scott Cooper Danny Cox
                                  Mike Crudale Ken Dayley Jim Donohue Curt Ford Rich Hacker
                                  Rick Horton Charlie James Tom Lawless Joe Magrane T.J. Matthews
                                  Ed Mickelson Pat Perry Jerry Reuss Ted Savage Todd Worrell
                                  Allen Craig David Freese Tyler Greene Blake Hawksworth
                                  Pete Kozma Joe Mather Adam Ottavino Shane Robinson
                                  P.J. Walters Alan Benes Glenn Brummer John Costello
                                  Boots Day Chuck Diering Neil Fiala David Green
                                  Ron Hunt Mike Jorgensen Mark Little Greg Mathews
                                  Jose Oquendo Jay Randolph Kerry Robinson Scott Terry

                                  The 14th Annual Winter Warm-Up, a three-day event, will take place on Dr. Martin Luther King Jr. weekend; Saturday, Sunday and Monday, January 16-18, 2010.

                                  For full WWU information, including signing schedules and ticket prices, follow this link.

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                                  The Cardinal Nation Blog top stories of 2009 #10: Kennedy’s final season Skip-ped

                                  After the St. Louis Cardinals ate the final year of Adam Kennedy’s contract, they turned second base over to neophyte Skip Schumaker – and it worked!

                                    Skip Schumaker and Adam Kennedy (AP Photo/Jeff Roberson)This story has its origins way back in 1997. That June, the St. Louis Cardinals drafted a pair of players who would be in and out of their picture for the next 13 years. Prior to the selection of left-handed pitcher Rick Ankiel in the second round, the Cardinals made second baseman Adam Kennedy their first pick, 20th overall.

                                    The system’s 1999 Minor League Player of the Year made his major league debut that August. He didn’t remain long however, as he was shipped off to the Anaheim Angels along with Kent Bottenfield for Jim Edmonds during the next spring training.

                                    Six years later, Kennedy came home, signing a three-year contract with the Cardinals worth $10 million. It didn’t work out well for either party.

                                    He batted .219 his first season back, which prematurely ended with knee surgery. Kennedy’s 2008 included a request to be traded over concern that he lacked a defined role on the team. He saw time at first base and made his career debut in right field in addition to second base.

                                    Despite the problems, it seemed that Kennedy would remain wearing Cardinals number seven for the final season of his contract in 2009. Then, on February 9, just days before spring training, St. Louis surprisingly gave Kennedy his release. The club remained on the hook for the $4 million due the second baseman for the season.

                                    A seemingly-crazy idea that manager Tony La Russa hatched and general manager John Mozeliak first floated in the press in late January suddenly became the Cardinals’ “Plan A” for the second base position in 2009.

                                    Outfielder Skip Schumaker would move to second base despite having only a bit of college experience at shortstop almost a decade earlier. It was a Cardinals year-to-year move last successfully pulled off by Red Schoendienst over 60 years prior, in 1945-46. Even experienced Cardinals infield coaches had questions over the likelihood of the experiment’s success.

                                    To his immense benefit, once he got past the surprise, Schumaker totally immersed himself in learning his new position on the fly. I remember a particularly difficult spring training contest when he could have packed it in after a couple of tough errors. Instead, Skip persevered, taking extra fielding practice every day led by devoted coaches Jose Oquendo and Joe Pettini. Skip held the job to start the season and never looked back, seemingly improving his defense all season long.

                                    Almost as impressively, Schumaker maintained his level of offensive performance through it all, batting .300 for the third consecutive season. In fact, his .306 average was seventh among National League leadoff hitters. In an example of how Skip gets the most out of his abilities, he led the entire NL in groundball-to-flyball ratio for the second straight year at 4.01-to-1. Schumaker, a student of former Cardinals slugger and new hitting coach Mark McGwire, is again working out with McGwire this winter in California, joined by keystone partner Brendan Ryan.

                                    Though he made the opening day roster in four consecutive springs starting in 2006, 2008 was Schumaker’s first full season as a major leaguer. As such, he just became arbitration-eligible for the first time. Skip could remain under club control for three more seasons before being eligible for free agency. Kennedy, a free agent, is on his way to his third organization since leaving St. Louis less than a year ago.

                                    No matter what the future holds, Schumaker’s amazing, defying-the-odds transformation deserves to be one of the Cardinals top 10 stories of 2009.

                                    Link to The Cardinal Nation Blog’s top 20 stories of the year countdown

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                                    What if Albert Pujols becomes Mark Teixeira?

                                    If the Cardinals ever reach the point of considering the unthinkable, trading Albert Pujols, Mark Teixeira’s history provides an important lesson.

                                      In my earlier post, “Time to act on the Holliday-Pujols contract FUD”, I concluded with a case why I think the timing is right for the St. Louis Cardinals to push to secure a contract extension for Albert Pujols on the heels of Matt Hollliday’s seven-year, $120 million deal. I said this despite the fact that Pujols is still two seasons away from free agency, an indication that perhaps there should be no urgency.

                                      I also raised the possibility, albeit remote, of trading Pujols at this July’s deadline if it could be determined he would be unsignable. It would be a year and a half prior to his reaching free agency, but the last time the Cardinals could deal their franchise player without his consent. This has significant bargaining value for the organization if needed.

                                      Many disagree with this entire line of thinking for different reasons.

                                      • Some would not consider the notion of voluntarily parting ways with a franchise icon under any circumstances. I can understand that, though I think it is bad business not to thoroughly evaluate every avenue.
                                        • Others feel that since both sides appear to be amenable to a deal, the boat should not be rocked. I can see that point of view, too, but waiting may become increasingly distracting to all involved due to external pressures. Good intentions alone do not always lead to the desired result.
                                          • Yet others suggest Pujols’ re-signing price could actually decline over the next two years due to market, performance or injury factors. This is a real possibility, though one I think is less likely than the alternative. I am also concerned that the closer it gets to Pujols reaching free agency, the chance he ends up testing it may increase.

                                          Mark Teixeira and Scott Boras, 1/6/09 (AP Photo/Kathy Willens)A first baseman with recent circumstances most similar to Pujols may be the New York Yankees’ Mark Teixeira. Last winter, agent Scott Boras extracted a mammoth commitment for $180 million over eight years for Tex, then a free agent. His $22.5 million annual salary is second only to teammate Alex Rodriguez in all of Major League Baseball.

                                          What makes Teixeira’s story even more fascinating is his trade history. It is unusual for a player of his caliber to be dealt once, let alone twice, yet that is precisely what occurred. Better yet, the trades were one-and-half and a half-year respectively prior to his free agency.

                                          As such, this offers an extraordinary view into the declining trade value of a top talent as free agency neared.

                                          In July 2007, the Texas Rangers, Teixeira’s home since he was taken in the first round of the 2001 draft, dealt him to the Atlanta Braves. Their justification was the feeling they could not afford to keep their first baseman when he would achieve free agency following the 2008 season.

                                          The Rangers’ take was immense – five of Atlanta’s top 20 prospects at the time, including their top three. (An aged journeyman lefty reliever, Ron Mahay, also joined Teixeira in Atlanta.) Three of the five prospects the Rangers received are now established major leaguers, exciting shortstop Elvis Andrus, hard-throwing pitcher Neftali Feliz and catcher Jarrod Saltalamacchia. It is certainly not entirely due to this trade, but it is still worth noting that the Rangers have improved in each of the two seasons since trading Teixeira away.

                                          Date Tex time to FA From To With For BA team rank
                                          July 2007 1.5 years Texas Atlanta Ron Mahay Jarrod Salatamacchia #1
                                          Elvis Andrus #2
                                          Matt Harrison #3
                                          Beau Jones #14
                                          Neftali Feliz #18

                                          One year later, the Braves found themselves in a similar situation, unable to keep Teixeira. With the first baseman closing in on free agency, their take from the Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim was much less. For Teixeira, they received just two players – former top prospect and major leaguer Casey Kotchman plus the Angels’ then-sixth-ranked prospect.

                                          Date Tex time to FA From To For BA team rank
                                          July 2008 .5 years Atlanta Angels Casey Kotchman MLB #1 2005
                                          Steve Marek #6

                                          With a year-and-a-half of hindsight, this second trade looks even worse than it did at the time. Kotchman has since been flipped twice, to Boston then Seattle, first for a partial season of Adam LaRoche, then for a major league reserve, Bill Hall, and a player to be named later. Kotchman is still struggling to establish himself as a front-line first base starter.

                                          Once the 2008 season ended, Teixeira spurned the Angels for the Yankees and their hefty contract. Los Angeles received two draft picks in compensation. They became the 25th and 40th selections in the 2009 draft.

                                          Date From To For Draft position
                                          Jan. 2009 Angels Yankees Michael Trout Rd 1/25th overall
                                          Tyler Skaggs Rd 1/40th overall

                                          In summary, Teixeira’s market value dropped from five top prospects at 1.5 years out to one major leaguer and a top prospect at .5 years prior to free agency to finally a pair of future draft picks at signing, two players far from being able to contribute at the major league level.

                                          While this may not have a direct relationship to Pujols’ situation with the Cardinals, it does illustrate that in the unlikely situation it is determined that he needs to be dealt, sooner is better than later, lest his trade value take a similar negative trajectory as Teixeira.

                                          I want to reiterate that I am not advocating a trade, but I do believe the Cardinals need to push the Pujols camp into providing them a clear signal as to his signability within whatever long-term financial planning guidelines club officials have established. The Holliday trade opens the door to do this if it hasn’t already been done.

                                          We as the public will likely not be informed of any discussions between the two sides, as it should be. The other edge of that sword is that no news will not be perceived by many as good news as the pages of the calendar slowly flip toward Pujols’ free agency.

                                          If not now, at some point over the next two years, the external noise over Pujols’ future will become so deafening and the repetitive questions will become so distracting that perhaps both sides will just sit down and get the deal done.

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                                          The Cardinal Nation Blog named FOXSports.com’s Blog of the Day

                                          McGwire story and association with Yardbarker leads to national exposure for Cardinals-oriented blog.

                                            I am pleased to announce that The Cardinal Nation Blog is FOXSports.com’s Blog of the Day, achieved through this site’s association with Yardbarker. What caught their attention was my unique spin on the Mark McGwire pinch-hitting story, “La Russa dreams of activating McGwire (honest)”.

                                            If you’re one of the many first-time visitors here and consider yourself a St. Louis Cardinals fan, please check this site out, register and join the discussion. I think you will enjoy the articles and commentary, with new, thought-provoking content posted 365 days a year.

                                            The link to my McGwire article is featured on FOXSports.com’s main MLB page just under Ken Rosenthal at the lower left under the heading “Blog of the Day”.

                                            Regulars on this site may have noticed recent evidence of my decision to join the Yardbarker network. This broader exposure is a prime reason why. Thanks to all for reading!

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                                            La Russa dreams of activating McGwire (honest)

                                            In an ongoing story that continues to weave along the path of the Wizard of Odd, Tony La Russa harbors a dream that he can activate slugger-turned recluse-turned hitting coach Mark McGwire as a 46-year-old late-season pinch-hitter. The Cardinals manager shared this thought with the Contra Costa (CA) Times.

                                            “If we’re in contention, we’ll put him on the roster Aug. 31. It’s a nice little dream,” said La Russa. “Is it likely? Probably not. I don’t think it’s a zero possibility. The point is, you’ll see him in spring training. He won’t be leaning on the batting cage chatting it up. He’ll work his (butt) off, and hitters will be thrilled he’s there helping them.”

                                            Tony La Russa and Mark McGwire, 1997 (AP photo)Seems to me the manager should be fantasizing about how to get McGwire in front of cameras and microphones first. Since the October 26 announcement of McGwire’s hiring, his coming out party has been “imminent” ever since.

                                            The delay, now approaching three months, has led to Cardinals beat writers hinting of problems in “coaching” the coach and suggesting that McGwire may be reconsidering the whole idea.

                                            The reluctant McGwire has been pushed by La Russa to return to the game for years. The reasons could be just to gain his teaching knowledge or to help restore some luster to the slugger’s tarnished image or a combination. La Russa admits his over-30 year managerial career is nearing its end and may be trying to settle his accounts first.

                                            When I read about the pinch-hitting idea, all I could think of was La Russa trying to make amends for sending light-hitting Kerry Robinson to the plate for McGwire in a sacrifice situation in the top of the ninth inning of the final game of the 2001 NLDS. The Game 5 loss ended the Cardinals season and would be McGwire’s final career appearance as an active player. A month later, Big Mac faxed notice of his retirement to ESPN.

                                            La Russa was conflicted over the move from the moment he made it.

                                            “One of my lowest moments as a manager was pinch-hitting for Mark. But you’ve got to try to win the game. Pinch-hitting for Mark is not something I am going to remember fondly,” La Russa said at the time.

                                            Could this recent dream be another attempt to right a past wrong?

                                            Update: In a Thursday morning radio appearance with Charlie Brennan on KMOX 1120, La Russa said McGwire and his family are likely to be in St. Louis next weekend for the Winter Warm-Up fan event and the new coach is expected to have cage time with some of his hitters also in town for WWU. The manager said that McGwire is not going to be a “celebrity coach”.

                                            It was not asked whether McGwire’s long-anticipated meeting with the media to answer questions about his past would also occur during Winter Warm-Up weekend, scheduled from January 16-18.

                                            Quizzed about the California pinch-hitting story, La Russa reaffirmed it and provided additional detail. He characterized it as a running “half-joking, half-serious” discussion between the two. La Russa said he saw McGwire at a recent hitting session in California and Big Mac was “really whistling the ball.” The manager attributed McGwire’s 2001 retirement to a “barking” back, apparently now healed.

                                            Update #2: In addition to down-playing La Russa’s dream, in a head-scratching moment, Cardinals general manager John Mozeliak spoke to MLB.com on Thursday about the McGwire event. The GM had stressed way back on October 26 that it would be held “sooner, rather than later.” It is not known if Mo was cracking a smile on Thursday while asserting the following about McGwire’s coming out:

                                            “Right now we’re on track. In terms of when we roll it out, I don’t know.”

                                            That pretty much sums up the entire McGwire situation.

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                                            Time to act on the Holliday-Pujols contract FUD

                                            Why the conditions may be right for the St. Louis Cardinals to move to lock up Albert Pujols.

                                              FUD.

                                              Ever hear the term? Fear. Uncertainty. Doubt.

                                              Albert Pujols and Matt Holliday (Getty Images)St. Louis Cardinals fans have lived under a haze of FUD almost from the moment general manager John Mozeliak announced the acquisition of outfielder Matt Holliday on July 24 without having agreement on a contract extension for the then-free agent to be. It required almost six long months to get a deal done, which was finally announced on Tuesday.

                                              Instead of celebrating the huge signing, one which makes the Cardinals the clear National League Central Division frontrunner and top challenger to the League Champion Phillies, many in the mainstream media couldn’t wait even 24 hours to start shoveling more FUD.

                                              Though far from alone, one example is Yahoo’s Jeff Passan, who kicked off our unwanted sentence of another seven years of terrible Holliday-Holiday puns with his article entitled, “Cardinals’ short-lived Holliday celebration”. The side dish is a table with the pun-ishing heading “Card sharks”.

                                              I can summarize the entire article and the reactions of many others with this single-sentence excerpt:

                                              “If Matt Holliday costs $120 million, what on earth does that make Albert Pujols worth?”

                                              Here’s the deal.

                                              Even if Holliday had never been born on January 15, 1980, one day before Pujols, Albert would still be recognized as the best player in the game today. Holliday’s contract did nothing, zero, nada, zilch to increase Pujols’ value. It was already far more than either $120 million or $17 million annually.

                                              FUD alert!

                                              While Holliday scored a nice contract, do you have any idea how many other Major League Players currently make more than his $17 million per year? How many others have a deal greater than $120 million in total?

                                              Give up? The answer is 14 and 11, respectively.

                                              Might some of their deals be a better gauge of the top end of baseball’s pay scale than Holliday’s?

                                              I know. That would blow the whole theme of part two of the FUD story – where the poor bumbling Cardinals awaken one day from their deep slumber only to see “Pujols standing next to Hal Steinbrenner or John Henry or Arte Moreno, flashing his teeth and holding up a new jersey,” as Passan suggests.

                                              The author may be a former understudy of a player agent, as he spins a yarn suggesting Pujols’ new salary might somehow be tied to the on-paper increase of the value of his franchise or club revenue growth.

                                              Let’s get real. The Cardinals wouldn’t have anted up for Holliday if they didn’t believe they could sign Pujols. The former is a very good player, but the latter is the face of the franchise. This ownership group knows what they are doing.

                                              So, what might it take?

                                              Realistically, putting aside Alex Rodriguez’ re-negotiation of his Texas Rangers contract which pays him $27.5 million per year, his Yankees teammate Mark Teixeira and Dodger Manny Ramirez are the highest-paid position players in terms of annual salary at $22.5 million each.

                                              Given the downturn in the economy, should it take more than $25-$28 million per? That would be between $8 and $11 million per year more than Holliday. If Pujols wants seven or eight years like Holliday, give it to him. $175-$224 million is a wide enough bandwidth to work within. Even at $175M, only A-Rod ($275M), Derek Jeter ($189M) and Teixeira ($180M) have bigger deals.

                                              In my opinion, the time for the Cardinals to push ahead with a substantive offer to Pujols is now. In the Thursday Post-Dispatch, Mozeliak was asked about this, but offered a reply that was far too passive for my tastes.

                                              “If he (Pujols) and his representatives want to engage, we’re ready,” Mozeliak said.

                                              Some are concerned with the idea that Pujols might feel disrespected by Holliday making more than him over the next two seasons, the remaining term on his current seven-year, $100 million contract. A way to quickly address that potential concern is to approach Pujols now about re-negotiating the next two years as part of his extension. Even if he turns the initiative down, he knows the team put forth the effort.

                                              With the signing of Holliday, the Cardinals have proven beyond a shadow of a doubt their commitment to spend. Being as sensitive as he is, Pujols would not want to be painted as the bad guy by turning away a mega-deal from the club, especially after having made such a point in the past about wanting to see ownership commit to fielding a competitive team around him.

                                              Ownership has done their part. Now it is Pujols’ turn.

                                              Yet, forcing Pujols’ next step is not without risk. If he makes it clear that he wants a record-breaking, unprecedented, beat-A-Rod contract, his greed would be exposed. It might also punch his ticket out of town, an unthinkable idea to many.

                                              While I don’t expect this to happen, if for some reason the Cardinals receive signals that crush their optimism over keeping Pujols, by acting now, they would still have time to consider how best to deal him. Waiting means the potential of receiving only a measly pair of future draft picks in return for the game’s best player if he reaches free agency.

                                              At the end of the 2010 season, Pujols will receive full no-trade protection as he completes his tenth year as a major leaguer, the last five years with the same team. Realistically, that leaves the 2010 trade deadline as the best trade-no-trade target decision date.

                                              By getting the ball rolling now, the Cardinals will put the pressure on Pujols to declare his hand. Even if Pujols really isn’t ready, both sides will have a much better idea where they stand.

                                              Could they wait? Of course, they could. Pujols still has two years remaining on his current contract. Yet given Albert’s consistent success, how would his asking price go down in the future?

                                              (I will pick up the remainder of the story here in an upcoming post.)

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                                              Can the Matt Holliday trade be judged now?

                                              Now that the Cardinals have agreed to terms with outfielder Matt Holliday on a record-setting new contract, is the jury in on the big trade that brought him to St. Louis in the first place?

                                              Matt Holliday and John Mozeliak, 07/24/09In reaction to the mass emotion exhibited at the time of the St. Louis Cardinals’ July 24 acquisition of Matt Holliday and $1.5 million from Oakland in return for Brett Wallace, Clayton Mortensen and Shane Peterson, I wrote an article entitled, “Will the Holliday trade be good, bad or neutral?”

                                              In it, I tried valiantly to remove the initial excitement, whether positive or negative, and develop a structured, rational view of how I would consider the trade, both that day and over the long haul. The idea grew out of a long discussion with the Post-Dispatch’s Derrick Goold in the press box of Philadelphia’s Citizens Bank Park that evening.

                                              To that end, I prepared a detailed decision tree with multiple conditions. We now have two of the three answers to my questions:

                                              1. Win the 2009 World Series – no
                                              2. Holliday re-signs below market value – no
                                              3. One or more of the traded players become a star – TBD
                                                • If yes, my score will be that the trade was bad.
                                                • If no, my score will be that the trade was neutral.

                                              Let’s take the points in order.

                                              1. The Cardinals did not win the World Series. I doubt anyone would disagree that the driving force behind the trade was to improve the team in 2009. One step was to get the club into the post-season, then once there, improve their chances of going all the way.

                                              For me, it wasn’t good enough to just make the playoffs. Though the Cardinals were in first place at the time of the trade, their lead was tenuous. No doubt Holliday played a key role in the 36-24 (.600) record posted by the club after his arrival. Yet the team went three and out in the NLDS, losing the pivotal second game on a Holliday error.

                                              2. Holliday clearly did not sign below market value. That means the Cardinals conceivably could have pursued him just as doggedly this winter had they not traded for him first. Offering him $120 million was just as possible had he reached the open market as a most recent member of the A’s or wherever else he might have been traded last summer instead of St. Louis. One thing we know about agent Scott Boras is that he takes his players to free agency, no matter what team they are on or how much that club wants the player back.

                                              There would have been an additional cost in losing their first-round 2010 draft pick for signing Holliday in that manner, but the Cardinals would still likely be ahead in the prospect side of the equation because they would still have the three players traded for Holliday.

                                              Though supposedly disavowed by Holliday earlier in the fall, the Cardinals may have achieved some re-signing benefit through the comfort and familiarity Holliday gained as a player with the Cardinals and his family achieved in being a part of the organization. Was that the game-changer? Asking Boras, I can bet his answer would be “no”. In reality, it probably mattered, but not in a measurable manner.

                                              Since we are talking about money, I want to delve into the terms a bit, as I am seeing a lot of mixed reports.

                                              As I believe from multiple sources, there is a $17 million per year salary with $2 million deferred annually without interest. The eighth year at $17 million vests if Holliday places among top ten in NL MVP voting in year seven or there is a year eight buyout for $1 million. Full no-trade protection was provided.

                                              The deal is stated as seven years/$120 million and could grow to eight years/$136 million. I have not seen mention of the deferral timeframe, but the AP said the present value of the deal is about $16 million.

                                              Update: The AP has published the final details:

                                              The Cardinals must decide whether to exercise the 2017 option within five days of the end of the 2016 World Series. As already noted, the option would become guaranteed if Holliday finishes among the top 10 in 2016 NL MVP voting.

                                              Depending on whether the option is exercised, Holliday will receive $1.4 million or $1.6 million each July 15 from 2020 until 2029.

                                              Holliday receives a full no-trade provision, a hotel suite on the road and the same award bonus opportunities that Cardinals teammate Albert Pujols has: $50,000 for election to the NL All-Star team, $25,000 for All-Star selection, $50,000 for division series MVP (an award that doesn’t yet exist), $100,000 for league championship series MVP, $150,000 for World Series MVP, $200,000 for NL MVP and $50,000 each for Gold Glove and Silver Slugger.

                                              Let’s consider the winners and losers.

                                              Boras originally wanted eight years, $180 million. It was alleged he later dropped his expectations to $18 million per year. Since the Red Sox reportedly offered Holliday $16.5 million per year and Jason Bay received that same average annual value (AAV) from the Mets, it provided the lower ceiling. It only seemed logical that the Cardinals could not skate by paying less than $16.5 million per year.

                                              Like in Teixeira’s deal, Boras did not settle for lower annual values in the later years of the contract.  Therefore, Boras’ wins were there and in the term of the contract, as he ended up with seven, perhaps eight years.

                                              The Cardinals seemed to want to hold to five years and around $16 million early on. Once they were willing to go seven or eight years, they were penned in.

                                              Buster Olney from ESPN is one of the many questioning the deal, quoting a rival GM who said this, “They (the Cardinals) look like they spent about $30 million more than they needed to.”

                                              To me, the viewpoint seems off base, as the AAV factor was not separated out from the number of years factor. I believe the former to be reasonable. What the other GM should have said is “The Cardinals look like they went two years too long, compared to other bidders.” That, I could understand, though the hotly-disputed rumor of Baltimore’s mystery bid of eight years, $130 million guaranteed may have been leaked to head off that avenue.

                                              On one hand, paying $17 million for a 36- or 37-year-old outfielder is concerning. On the other, what will the 2017 market be like? What will $17 million in 2017 money buy? Will it be a bad contract then? Only time will tell.

                                              Now to the final question.

                                              3. Will any of the traded players become a star? It is still far too early to know.

                                              Wallace has the best chance, but has been traded again and seems destined for first base, rather than third. His value is down since July 24. Mortensen had a very rough debut for the A’s, but it is still too soon to gauge. After the trade, Peterson continued to post a .730-ish OPS in the Texas League, a good home for hitters. He lacks size along with punch.

                                              In summary:

                                              • Taking everything into account, if one of the three traded players becomes a star, I would consider the July Holliday trade gamble to have been a bad deal for the Cardinals.
                                              • If none of the three traded players come through, I will call the Holliday trade a wash.

                                              Don’t get me wrong. I applauded the Cardinals for their bold move and still do. If the World Series was the objective, which I think it should have been, it was not achieved, however. Ultimately, the effort must be judged by the end result.

                                              Assuming his new no-trade clause is not bought out later, Holliday will remain a Cardinal for the next seven or eight years. I believe that to be a good thing overall, but the trade itself may not have been the best precursor to secure the long-term contract.

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