Minor League Game thread – 2026 Week 20

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  • #315279
    Brian Walton
    Keymaster

    Paid - Annual

    #315338
    Gagliano
    Participant

    Paid - Annual

    Gorman pops another HR. 5th in his last 27 ABs. Maybe he’s figured something out?

    #315340
    blingboy
    Participant

    Paid - Annual

    He was good at popping minor league mistakes. But yeah, maybe he is getting himself sorted out. I dread the thought of enduring a homer a week and nothing in between again.

    #315341
    Jnevel
    Participant

    Paid - Annual

    Well, hitting more homers is certainly a better sign than striking out every other at bat (or every at bat) even if it is Memphis.

    #315345
    Gagliano
    Participant

    Paid - Annual

    He’s fanned 8 times in those 27 ABs, which is a lot. But before he struck out a remarkable 40 times in 73 ABs. Curious if we’ll hear about him on the podcast in the morning…

    #315360
    AlbertTheMachine
    Participant

    Paid - Annual

    The Springfield lineup with Gurevitch and Peete being promoted and then Ragsdale coming in is going to be fun. A lineup full of top 30 prospects in the system.

    #315361
    Bob Reed
    Participant

    Free

    Teen phenom Yhoiker Fajardo also promoted to AA and scheduled to start on Wednesday, after a mixed tenure for Peoria. (Mixed, yes, but nevertheless strong enough for Keith Law of The Athletic to rank him baseball’s overall #14 pitching prospect in his recent update.)

    His ERA for the Chiefs was very solid, but not great, at 4.01. I know that doesn’t sound so good, but the Midwest League ERA this year is a bloated 5.33 and Fajardo’s teammates are even worse at 5.79. Weirdly, the kid coughed up 11 homers in 76 innings, after permitting just 2 in 123 IP across 2024/25. And moreover, he allowed a fairly amazing .359 BABIP.

    So why the promotion, and why the tremendous ranking from Law? Well, there are 519 minor league arms with 60+ innings this year, and Yhoiker ranks 6th in Swinging Strike Percentage at 17.7%. The top three in SwStr%? Superduper arms Seth Hernandez, Kade Anderson, and Anthony Eyanson. And right behind Fajardo at #7? Gage Wood, the 5th-best pitching prospect in all the minors, per Fangraphs.

    Not surprisingly, with so much swing n’ miss, Yhoiker has registered a slew of strikeouts. Out of those 519 pitchers, he rates 26th in K/9 at 12.50, and 27th in K% with 32.1%. In other words, 95th percentile in both.

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    But it goes deeper than that. Fajardo has also done a good job of limiting free passes. His K-BB% is 12th overall, at just over 24%. So, 98th percentile at the thing that’s most important, except perhaps for ERA.

    All of that said, I don’t really see the need to push a 19-year-old pitcher to Double-A, especially when he’s not exactly dominating High-A in the actual prevention of runs. But hey, the Cardinal development people know the young man, and wouldn’t promote him on a whim.

    #315362
    blingboy
    Participant

    Paid - Annual

    Fajardo doesn’t go past 80 pitches and that usually gets him 4+ innings. That seems OK for a teenager, but there is a step up to make still ahead of him. Or should be, but who knows now days. He is entering danger territory for a power arm strike out type. He is used to throwing it past everyone. That will get a lot harder to do vs more advanced hitters from here on up. He might respond to that by reaching for a little more, and a little more until his arm blows. He might respond some other way, but guys tend to do what got them there. We just have to wait and see what happens.

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