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  • in reply to: Trade Ideas/Acquisition Ideas/Non-Cards Rumors – 2017-2018 #37484
    Avatargscottar
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    That would be a steal for the Cubs. Surely the Giants aren’t that foolish.

    in reply to: Monday Cardinals moves – Lynn, Rosenthal, Mejia, Rosario #37449
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    There is nothing preventing Rosenthal from coming back to the Cardinals eventually.

    in reply to: Trade Ideas/Acquisition Ideas/Non-Cards Rumors – 2017-2018 #37338
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    Been hearing some chatter on the radio about Zack Cozart being a fit for the Cardinals. I guess the thought is he would play SS and we could move DeJong to 3B. Gyroko would become expendable I suppose.

    Thoughts?

    in reply to: Trade Ideas/Acquisition Ideas/Non-Cards Rumors – 2017-2018 #37253
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    Teams have until Monday to offer QO’s. Players then have until Nov. 16 to accept or decline.

    in reply to: Non-tender Candidates #37248
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    OK, I wasn’t aware that Holland’s salary was bumped due to incentives and I wasn’t aware of the CBA rule about no more than a 20% decrease for an arbitration player. You are correct then, the Cards won’t be doing a deal with Rosenthal.

    in reply to: MLB playoff thread #37247
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    I agree that the Astros have a definite window. When their young players become eligible for the big money they will probably not be able to keep them all. The Cubs, on the other hand, have much more payroll muscle than the Astros.

    As for the Dodgers, the point I was making is that a lot of their sunk costs and bad contracts were pre-Andrew Friedman. He will eventually get them under the tax penalty threshold.

    in reply to: Trade Ideas/Acquisition Ideas/Non-Cards Rumors – 2017-2018 #37243
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    I think Conforto would be a starter for us but we would have to overpay to get him. What do the Mets need? They need a CF and a 3B. Maybe we send them Gyroko, Grichuk, and Fowler (and $4M) for Conforto. Of course Fowler would have to waive his NTC and who knows if he would. Actually, the guy I would like to get from the Mets is Matz. He had a great rookie year then dealt with injuries this year but still has tons of potential and control left. Gyroko, Grichuk, and Bader for Matz?

    As for Pederson, I don’t think he would be much of an upgrade over Piscotty and Grichuk. He has kind of flamed out after breaking onto the scene with a good rookie year. Yes he had a good World Series but the rest of his 2017 stunk.

    • This reply was modified 3 years, 4 months ago by Avatargscottar.
    • This reply was modified 3 years, 4 months ago by Avatargscottar.
    • This reply was modified 3 years, 4 months ago by Avatargscottar.
    in reply to: Giancarlo Stanton thread #37203
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    Yeah, salaries go up by:

    Carpenter: 1.0
    Pham: 4.0??
    Gyorko: 1.5
    Grichuk: 3.5??
    Wong: 2.5
    Piscotty: 6.0
    Diaz: 2.5??
    Wacha: 3.0?
    Lyons: 1.0?

    CC must have higher arb salaries projected than I do for a few of these guys.

    Well there is a good chance that half of the guys on that list won’t even be on the roster by 2019 so we are all shooting in the dark.

    in reply to: MLB playoff thread #37202
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    People talk a lot of about the Dodgers payroll but a huge chunk of it is going towards players who either aren’t on the team anymore or play a minimal role.

    Of the players who actively contributed to their WS run, only Kershaw, Hill, Jansen, and Turner were paid over $10M this year. Most of the rest of their payroll was in sunk costs.

    in reply to: Trade Ideas/Acquisition Ideas/Non-Cards Rumors – 2017-2018 #37201
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    Factoring in arbitration raises and the salaries for the minimum wage players we are currently sitting around $125M for 2018. Depending on how far the FO wants to push payroll I could see us adding at least $40M to annual payroll this winter, and that’s not counting any subtractions if were to trade someone like Gyroko, Grichuk, Piscotty, Fowler, Wong, or Carp.

    Let’s say we end up with $50M to play with. Stanton would cost half of that and we would still need bullpen and rotation help. Someone like JD Martinez, Donaldson, or Hosmer would cost almost as much as Stanton for 2018 but not near as much long term obviously. Davis or Holland will be at least $15M per season, Lynn will want close to $20M, Arrieta will want $20M to $25M, Bruce at least $15M. Of course guys like Archer and Simmons are cheaper salary wise ($6.4M and $11M respectively), but will cost a lot in prospects.

    There are so many different ways this could go I could type several pages with all of the possibilities and I know many of you could as well.

    in reply to: Giancarlo Stanton thread #37171
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    Waino’s salary Comes off in 2019 but raises will add +/- $28 million in 2019.

    Really? I don’t see where that number is coming from. I’m seeing around $13M in raises for 2019 then a $19.5M decrease from Waino. Of course, that is before any arbitration increases which would be a little difficult to predict this far out.

    • This reply was modified 3 years, 4 months ago by Avatargscottar.
    • This reply was modified 3 years, 4 months ago by Avatargscottar.
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    in reply to: Giancarlo Stanton thread #37154
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    I’m not sure it works that way Jager. Yes, Waino’s $19.5M comes off the books but not until 2019. Next year’s payroll would be severely inflated by taking on all of that Marlin salary. And fans would focus on the 2018 payroll that might be $160-170M. Then in 2019 when the Waino salary is gone what if the payroll dropped down to $150-155? Would the fans remember that the Cards planned it this way all along or would they say the front office is being cheap by allowing the payroll to drop from 2018 to 2019?

    The point is once the payroll reaches a certain level it is difficult for the front office to reduce it the next year w/o taking a lot of PR flak. Most likely the fans would say reinvest that $19.5M into another player instead of using it to reduce the overall payroll.

    • This reply was modified 3 years, 4 months ago by Avatargscottar.
    in reply to: Trade Ideas/Acquisition Ideas/Non-Cards Rumors – 2017-2018 #37153
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    Speaking of the rotation what about moving Wacha out of the rotation to the bullpen? His numbers indicate a huge drop off in effectiveness the third time through the order. The front office has not shown any indication to consider this move but I think it is worth thinking about at least.

    As for your trades Jager:

    For Simmons I would send them Gyorko, Diaz, Piscotty, and Flaherty.
    For Archer I would send them Grichuk, Kelly, Alcantara, Hicks, and Wisdom

    I would not pursue a trade with the Marlins: Stanton’s contract worries me, they would ask too much for Ozuna and Yelich, and I have no interest in Gordon or Prado.

    For our big bat I would sign JD Martinez or Bruce for RF.

    in reply to: Trade Ideas/Acquisition Ideas/Non-Cards Rumors – 2017-2018 #37116
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    Jager, I would definitely do the Archer and Simmons deals. I would do them yesterday. As a matter of fact, those are the two players in all of MLB that I would like to have on our team (not counting pipe dreams like Trout, etc…)

    I would not do the Marlins deal. Way too expensive. If we could get Archer and Simmons, re-sign Nicasio, we could finish the off season by adding Jay Bruce and I think we would be ready for the playoffs.

    in reply to: Giancarlo Stanton thread #37107
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    Acquiring Stanton, Martin, and Prado would add $50m to the payroll next year minus whatever the Marlins would eat and whatever players the Cards moved. And that is before we spent any money to address the rotation and bullpen. I just don’t see our front office taking on a big chunk like that nor should they.

    in reply to: Giancarlo Stanton thread #37100
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    I would consider Stanton as long as the Marlins weren’t asking for Reyes or someone like that. As for Gordon I just don’t see him as a big upgrade over Wong, especially considering the difference in salary. And we don’t need Prado at all even as a throw in. We already have a cheaper version of him in Gyroko and Gyroko is a better player.

    in reply to: MLB playoff thread #37099
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    I generally root for the NL team so I guess my preference would be for the Dodgers to win. The only exception to this maxim was in 2016.

    in reply to: Trade Ideas/Acquisition Ideas/Non-Cards Rumors – 2017-2018 #37097
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    I would definitely bring back Nicasio. He has electric stuff and a bulldog mentality.

    I would also consider Neshek on a one year deal, see what Cishek might want. I would consider bringing Duke back if he was cheap enough. He is absolutely better than Choate ever was. Also, the Royals might move Herrera since he only has one year of control left.

    in reply to: Trade Ideas/Acquisition Ideas/Non-Cards Rumors – 2017-2018 #37062
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    And if we tender Lynn then he signs elsewhere for at least $50M we would get a comp pick after the second round? Is that correct?

    in reply to: Non-tender Candidates #36979
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    Brian, I’m still not totally following that line of thinking about two discounted years.

    Scenario One: Cards offer two year $10M contract. 2018: $2M, 2019: $8M

    Scenario Two: Rosey is non-tendered. Does anyone sign him for 2018 for just one month of service? If so, for how much? He might end up with zero. $2M is more than zero. Then what kind of deal does he get for 2019 as a free agent coming off an injury? Greg Holland only got one year for $6M for 2017 so I don’t think it is a slam dunk Rosey gets a big offer, therefore, the 2 year $10M offer in scenario 1 may not sounds so bad.

    • This reply was modified 3 years, 4 months ago by Avatargscottar.
    in reply to: Non-tender Candidates #36973
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    Yep, the only four arb eligible players we have are Rosey, Wacha, Lyons, and Grichuk.

    I agree that Rosey is the only one non-tendered although I wish they could work out a two year deal.

    in reply to: Lilliquist, Ilsley Let Go – Maddux new PC #36912
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    Works for me. I assume Hickey is going to the Cubs.

    • This reply was modified 3 years, 4 months ago by Avatargscottar.
    in reply to: Trade Ideas/Acquisition Ideas/Non-Cards Rumors – 2017-2018 #36907
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    I haven’t underestimated the Cubs at all the last several years. If anything I was leading the charge explaining how they were building a monster while the Cardinals were sitting around. I could see it coming while some on this board doubted it would actually happen. Well it happened.

    Having said that, Theo Epstein is no dummy and I don’t think they will spend $50m on their rotation this winter even if they have the money to do it. He knows that would cripple them in soon time. They might go after one of the big pitchers like Darvish or Arrieta but then they will trade some assets for a more affordable ace like Archer then have plenty of money left to rebuild the bullpen and add a another bat if they want.

    I’m not advocating for the Cardinals to sit around and do nothing this winter. I think we can make a couple of moderately big moves that push up close to the 90 win mark (Simmons, Cain, or Bruce, etc…) then go for the jugular in 2019 when the Cubs will be farther along in their boom/bust cycle and will be forced to pay more to their young sluggers.

    in reply to: Trade Ideas/Acquisition Ideas/Non-Cards Rumors – 2017-2018 #36842
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    Mo recently stated something to the effect that Molina was the only untouchable this offseason. I’ve been thinking about that. It seems to me that the only real advantage we have over the Cubs right now is young, controllable pitching, therefore, I don’t think I would be trading any of that away.

    We are not going to be able to out slug the Cubs in the foreseeable future even if we do add a big bat so let’s focus on our strength. True, the Cubs may deal some young bats for young elite pitching like Archer, but for now, we have the advantage there. They are most likely losing Arrieta and Lackey, and Lester will be 34 next season and starting to show signs of slowing down. That really leaves them with Hendricks and Quintana as young guns.

    I say all of this to recommend that we add CMart, Reyes, and Weaver to the untouchable list and I would have to be blown away to consider dealing Flaherty, Hudson, Gomber, or any of the rest. I’m sure the Marlins or whoever else we deal with will ask for young pitching but I would say no unless we are made an offer we just can’t refuse. We have about 50 outfielders we need to trade plus a few infield pieces too.

    • This reply was modified 3 years, 4 months ago by Avatargscottar.
    in reply to: Staff Changes #36841
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    Bernie Miklasz sees this as a “get rid of Matheny’s coaches and bring in Mo’s coaches”. I don’t think I would buy that unless Matheny really chose the guys who were let go. Didn’t the front office pick the previous guys, too?

    https://www.101sports.com/2017/10/24/message-sent-mozeliak-rips-mathenys-coaching-staff-message-received/

    You might be right about that Brian. I really don’t know who chose the previous staff. I always assumed it was a collaborative effort between the FO and manager but you never know. Regardless, when a team shakes up the coaching staff no matter what the sport is, it serves as a warning sign to the head coach that he is next unless performance improves.

    I wonder if they are grooming Schildt to be the next manager?

Viewing 25 posts - 6,801 through 6,825 (of 7,016 total)

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