Marco Gonzales traded

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  • #28316
    Brianpnoonan
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    Would I have done the trade? Absolutely. Please more.

    I just think it is shortsighted to call us the winner outright. I like that one gm looked outside the box a bit and called us for middle relievers because we have some under control for a few years that are decent to good.

    I like it even more that we not only called back but we made a deal with our excess. I mean … What a concept right? Deal from strength to fill a weakness.

    We got the higher ceiling player… But stuff happens. It is another lottery ticket. And a good one.

    catch is… You cant do just one trade like this … More prospects mitigates risk. So I dont think we are done.

    You might lose an individual trade. You win in this case by getting enough pieces to overwhelm the odds of failure. Say O’Neill has a 25% shot of being an all star and 50% odds of playing five years (not a huge stretch in either case)… Get four players like him and your team looks pretty good most likely at some point.

    These are trades you have to make in our position. Every time. But sometimes you lose those trades anyway.

    #28318
    Cardinals2016
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    Yeah – there’s no guarantee either one of them ever does anything. Marco might go on and have a great career. But this is a trade, from the Cardinals perspective, I would do every single time. From the Mariners perspective, well, the reaction in Seattle isn’t so good right now.

    #28319
    Brianpnoonan
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    Seattle is like us… In no man’s land. They’re making a play for the wild card. They have decent odds too.

    Better odds than we have at the division probably.

    O’Neill has no place there long term. Gonzales can pitch now and spot start as necessary … For several years. It is a lot better value for them than getting a guy who walks at year end.

    Nobody on our board or who follows our guys doubts gonzales will get people out in short bursts. For good reason. He’s got the stuff and has been ready for years outside of the injury.

    Dealing for a veteran reliever with his production level might have cost twice as much.

    That is why the guy in seattle was smart. That is also why our gm should be selling hardcore if he gets solid offers like this. Long term we most likely win big.

    The trade market is just high right now.

    #28330
    CariocaCardinal
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    Paid - Monthly

    Brian, as monitor is there any way you can bring the theaded discussion that goes off.the mobile screen back to where we can read it?

    #28331
    stlcard25
    Participant

    Paid - Annual

    CC, if you rotate your phone to landscape, you’ll be able to see replies, at least as a patch until we get an update.

    #28470
    PadsFS
    Participant

    Brianpnoonan
    The more I read the more I agree with this.

    He needs some development yet but he probably slots in behind reyes and kelly prospect wise… Which is impressive.

    MLB Pipeline put O’Neill at #4 behind Reyes, Kelly, and Weaver, ahead of Perez and Flaherty.

    https://m.mlb.com/prospects/2017?list=stl

    #28471
    PadsFS
    Participant

    How about that 10.8% BB-rate in AA and 11.1% in AAA this year?

    #28474
    Brianpnoonan
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    Good stuff thx 🙂

    #28479
    SoonerinNC
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    Paid - Annual

    I think it is a good move. I believe at best Gonzales would be a situational lefty. He often is real good the first time through the lineup and then blotto. We probably have other good prospects to fill the sit lefty role.

    On the other hand as much as we pick at the numbers we got a guy that was #2 in the Seattle system and top 50 (actually mid 30’s) in 3 of 4 BA pundits. A guy with the power we have sadly missed in the middle of the lineup. I know we, me probably more than others quibble with BA’s rankings but we have to remember those rankings are due to a lot of scout input.

    So we part with a possible back end of the rotation lefty or a situation lefty for a legitimate power hitter and a decent outfielder with plus arm. Also only 22 years old at AAA.

    #28484
    Brian Walton
    Keymaster

    Paid - Annual

    I am keeping an open mind, but in the area of home runs, O’Neill’s key differentiator, he is not much different from two guys already in Memphis this season.

    #28486
    Brianpnoonan
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    Bader is roughly a year older. Wisdom is 25.

    Seems like what youre saying is “these guys are good too”. Which im good with… Lol… A year is a lot in prospect rankings but the guys we had are pretty darn solid.

    Imo…if bader plays center he is probably every bit as good of a prospect simply due to positional differences even if his d is slighly below average. Just gets back to what a few of us have said before about our guys being underrated.

    #28491
    stlcard25
    Participant

    Paid - Annual

    While those guys have done well this year, O’Neill also had 24 homers last year in AA and 32 the year before. He’s got pretty legit power, I think.

    #28534
    bccran
    Participant

    British Isles are faring well with Kelly, Weaver, and O’Neill.

    #186117
    Ratsbuddy
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    Looking back……who won this trade?

    #186120
    GACard
    Participant

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    It would have been really easy to call this a win for us before O’Neill’s struggles this year. I have confidence that Tyler comes back from IL ready to go, so I think it’s hard to say we lost this trade.

    #186121
    blingboy
    Participant

    Paid - Annual

    Gonzales turned into a reliable innings eating starter with a winning record year after year for Seattle. That is more valuable that most outfielers these days.

    #186142
    bicyclemike
    Moderator

    Paid - Annual

    Too early to tell. O’Neill was our best player last year and I expected him to tear it up this year. With that combination of power and speed, plus a solid defender, there is no reason he won’t put up some impressive numbers once he is healthy and gets in a groove.

    The deal we really lost and may look back on as a huge deficit was giving up Alcantara and Gallen for Ozuna. That one could become Carlton-esque in another 5 years or so.

    #186155
    Bob Reed
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    Free

    Prior to 2021, Seattle had won the trade.
    Two months ago, the Cards had won the trade, because a star is more valuable by far than a merely solid starting pitcher.
    And now, it’s To Be Determined.

    With better hitting coaches, I truly believe Tyler wouldn’t have scuffled so badly prior to 2021, or struggled terribly this season. As evidence, during the 2018 campaign, Tyler was one of the Cardinals who immediately blossomed as soon as John Mabry was replaced midseason as Redbird batting coach by the Two Old Guys.

    2018, with Mabry, 92 OPS+
    2018, w/Old Guys, 130 OPS+

    ———————————

    For whatever it’s worth, Marcell Ozuna and Kolten Wong also experienced similar, immediate transformations back in 2018.

    Ozuna/Mabry: 92 OPS+
    Ozuna/Oldsters: 133 OPS+

    Kolten/Mabry: 91 OPS+
    Kolten/Two Old Guys Fired Soon Thereafter Because They Don’t Speak Fluent “Metrics”: 127 OPS+

    #186197
    sjeff70
    Participant

    Free

    During a broadcast last month Jimmy said O’Neill sought council from Mark McGwire during the off season last year. He was ready in spring training last year. Maybe he should give him a ring.

Viewing 19 posts - 26 through 44 (of 44 total)
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