2019 Projections thread

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This topic contains 42 replies, has 11 voices, and was last updated by Avatar Cardinals27 2 days, 12 hours ago.

Viewing 18 posts - 26 through 43 (of 43 total)
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  • #81955
    Brian Walton
    Brian Walton
    Keymaster

    Paid - Annual

    Fivethirtyeight.com, known for political and sports predictions, has the Cards winning the division at 86.

    https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/did-the-cubs-miss-their-chance-to-be-a-dynasty/

    #82162
    Brian Walton
    Brian Walton
    Keymaster

    Paid - Annual

    New odds courtesy of BetOnline (www.BetOnline.ag, Twitter: @betonline_ag).

    Pennant Odds
    Odds to Win American League
    Boston Red Sox 3/1
    New York Yankees 3/1
    Houston Astros 4/1
    Cleveland Indians 8/1
    Oakland Athletics 12/1
    Chicago White Sox 16/1
    Los Angeles Angels 16/1
    Tampa Bay Rays 16/1
    Minnesota Twins 25/1
    Seattle Mariners 25/1
    Toronto Blue Jays 50/1
    Kansas City Royals 80/1
    Texas Rangers 80/1
    Detroit Tigers 125/1
    Baltimore Orioles 250/1

    Odds to Win National League
    Los Angeles Dodgers 4/1
    Philadelphia Phillies 7/1
    St. Louis Cardinals 7/1
    Chicago Cubs 7/1
    Atlanta Braves 8/1
    Milwaukee Brewers 8/1
    Washington Nationals 8/1
    New York Mets 10/1
    Colorado Rockies 14/1
    Cincinnati Reds 25/1
    Arizona Diamondbacks 40/1
    Pittsburgh Pirates 40/1
    San Diego Padres 40/1
    San Francisco Giants 40/1
    Miami Marlins 125/1

    Divisional Odds
    Odds to Win AL East
    New York Yankees 7/5
    Boston Red Sox 3/2
    Tampa Bay Rays 5/1
    Toronto Blue Jays 10/1
    Baltimore Orioles 25/1

    Odds to Win AL Central
    Cleveland Indians 4/7
    Minnesota Twins 3/1
    Chicago White Sox 8/1
    Detroit Tigers 16/1
    Kansas City Royals 16/1

    Odds to Win AL West
    Houston Astros 1/4
    Los Angeles Angels 11/2
    Oakland Athletics 11/2
    Seattle Mariners 20/1
    Texas Rangers 25/1

    Odds to Win NL East
    Philadelphia Phillies 5/2
    Washington Nationals 5/2
    Atlanta Braves 3/1
    New York Mets 3/1
    Miami Marlins 25/1

    Odds to Win NL Central
    Chicago Cubs 9/4
    St. Louis Cardinals 9/4
    Milwaukee Brewers 3/1
    Cincinnati Reds 7/1
    Pittsburgh Pirates 7/1

    Odds to Win NL West
    Los Angeles Dodgers 1/2
    Colorado Rockies 11/2
    Arizona Diamondbacks 8/1
    San Diego Padres 8/1
    San Francisco Giants 14/1

    #82170
    Avatar
    gscottar
    Participant

    Paid - Annual

    What are the Cubs odds of winning the NL?

    #82172
    Avatar
    PugsleyAddams
    Participant

    Paid - Annual

    2.25-1 Scotty…..same as ours…..though the smart $ has to be on our Birds. The team that has me puzzled is Cincy. That team has the potential to win 88 games…..or lose 98.

    #82173
    Avatar
    PugsleyAddams
    Participant

    Paid - Annual

    Oh the pennant…….sorry, Scotty….I would put the odds at about 18-1 for the north siders appearing in the ’19 WS. I’d put us at 7-1.

    #82176
    Brian Walton
    Brian Walton
    Keymaster

    Paid - Annual

    Yes, 7-1 for Cubs is correct. I added it. Not sure why it was omitted.

    #83358
    Brian Walton
    Brian Walton
    Keymaster

    Paid - Annual

    Jim Bowden at The Athletic grades the NL Central teams’ off-season:

    Cubs C-
    Reds B
    Brewers B-
    Pirates D
    Cards A-

    If only St. Louis had “gone for it”! 😉

    https://theathletic.com/851424/2019/03/06/bowden-offseason-grades-for-the-nl-central/

    #83380
    Avatar
    gscottar
    Participant

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    I’m glad to see Jimmy B’s grade of A- although he trashed the Cardinals on the radio last Sunday for the Mikolas extension.

    Let’s turn that A- into an A+ by signing Kimbrel. That would be the cherry on top for me although I know the chances of it happening are less than 5%.

    As for the Cubs I understand why their offseason grade is low. They didn’t have the budget room for big moves and it is harder to improve on a 95 win team than it is a 88 win team.

    #83390
    Brian Walton
    Brian Walton
    Keymaster

    Paid - Annual

    Interesting to note that Bowden was NOT critical of the Mikolas contract extension in the article. In fact, he called it a “significant move”. Apparently, he feels strongly both ways… 😉

    #83394
    Avatar
    CariocaCardinal
    Participant

    Free

    You can make a positive move and overpay for it. (Not that that is what I think happened)

    #83586
    Avatar
    14NyquisT
    Participant

    Paid - Annual

    As far as projections go, how many players do you think will the Cards use in the OF this season? My guess would be 8. Too High? Remember we have a couple of DL candidates right off the bat and will go with 5 on the 25-man out of ST.

    This is not a projection so much as a prediction but I’m sure many have their own thoughts.

    #83590
    Avatar
    CariocaCardinal
    Participant

    Free

    I would take the over on 8!

    Fowler
    Martinez
    O’Neill
    Bader
    Ozuna
    Munoz
    Robinson
    Thomas
    Garcia

    You also could see someone acquired by trade or an infielder like Gyrko or Wong out there for a few innings.

    #83961
    Brian Walton
    Brian Walton
    Keymaster

    Paid - Annual

    Fangraphs playoff predictions have the Cards behind the Cubs and ahead of the rest of the division.

    Odds to:

    Make playoffs 44.4%
    Make LDS 35.6%
    Win LDS 16.8%
    Win LCS 8.1%
    Win WS 2.7%

    https://www.fangraphs.com/standings/playoff-odds

    #84203
    Brian Walton
    Brian Walton
    Keymaster

    Paid - Annual

    Odds courtesy of BetOnline (www.BetOnline.ag, Twitter: @betonline_ag):

    Paul Goldschmidt – Total BA in the 2019 Regular Season
    Over/Under .289

    Paul Goldschmidt – Total HR’s in the 2019 Regular Season
    Over/Under 32.5

    Paul Goldschmidt – Total RBI’s in the 2019 Regular Season
    Over/Under 100.5

    Paul Goldschmidt – Total Runs Scored in the 2019 Regular Season
    Over/Under 102.5

    Marcell Ozuna – BA in the 2019 Regular Season
    Over/Under .280

    Marcell Ozuna – Total HR’s in the 2019 Regular Season
    Over/Under 27.5

    Marcell Ozuna – Total RBI’s in the 2019 Regular Season
    Over/Under 97.5

    Matt Carpenter – BA in the 2019 Regular Season
    Over/Under .250

    Matt Carpenter – Total HR’s in the 2019 Regular Season
    Over/Under 26.5

    Matt Carpenter – Total RBI’s in the 2019 Regular Season
    Over/Under 82.5

    Matt Carpenter – Total Runs Scored in the 2019 Regular Season
    Over/Under 94.5

    Yadier Molina – BA in the 2019 Regular Season
    Over/Under .270

    Yadier Molina – Total HR’s in the 2019 Regular Season
    Over/Under 21.5

    Yadier Molina – Total RBI’s in the 2019 Regular Season
    Over/Under 25.5

    Paul DeJong – Total HR’s in the 2019 Regular Season
    Over/Under 76.5

    Paul DeJong – Total RBI’s in the 2019 Regular Season
    Over/Under 21.5

    Carlos Martinez – Total Wins in the 2019 Regular Season
    Over/Under 14.5

    Carlos Martinez – Total Strikeouts in the 2019 Regular Season
    Over/Under 174.5

    Jack Flaherty – Total Wins in the 2019 Regular Season
    Over/Under 11.5

    Jack Flaherty – Total Strikeouts in the 2019 Regular Season
    Over/Under 200.5

    Miles Mikolas – Total Wins in the 2019 Regular Season
    Over/Under 14.5

    Michael Wacha – Total Wins in the 2019 Regular Season
    Over/Under 10.5

    Adam Wainwright – Total Wins in the 2019 Regular Season
    Over/Under 12.5

    Jordan Hicks – Total Saves in the 2019 Regular Season
    Over/Under 29.5

    #84210
    stlcard25
    stlcard25
    Participant

    Paid - Three Months

    I would take the over on most of the hitters’ stats except probably Yadi dingers and maybe RBI (not sure what it was supposed to be besides 25.5).

    I’d take almost all the pitchers’ under except Flaherty wins.

    #84212
    Avatar
    gscottar
    Participant

    Paid - Annual

    I would take the under on Ozuna, Waino, and CMart.

    #84233
    Avatar
    PugsleyAddams
    Participant

    Paid - Annual

    CrAzY over/under totals! Yadi 25.5 RBI?$?$….bet the ranch on the over. DeJong 76.5 homers?$?$….love the guy, but Barry Bonds he’s not. DeJong 21.5 RBI?$?$……Dal Maxvill he’s not….give me the over.

    #84241
    Avatar
    Cardinals27
    Participant

    Paid - Annual

    I’d bet on Flahertys K’s being over, I think he pitches 180+ innings with 225-230 strikeouts. I think he will pitch deeper into games, and has always been durable in the minors.

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